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MJ Santner betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallFIRST_CLASS241548237436.965.29.170.7HIGH
overallT201121893138327.8136.917.635.9HIGH
overallTEST15554105524.152.57.075.0HIGH
overallODI2950753225.495.310.245.9HIGH
overallHUNDRED1319813666.0145.616.225.0MEDIUM
overallFIRST_CLASS50802326722.732.3HIGH
overallT20320838701607.224.2HIGH
overallTEST29951456462.931.7HIGH
overallODI23021805524.734.7HIGH
overallHUNDRED365486178.028.6HIGH

Why we like it

Splits where MJ Santner scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: England (TEST)HIGH sample

    278 runs off 484 balls in 5 TEST matches — strike rate 57.4 vs 52.5 overall, average 39.7 vs 24.1 overall.

  • Opposition: Canterbury (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    362 runs off 452 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 80.1 vs 65.2 overall, average 60.3 vs 36.9 overall.

  • Venue: Seddon Park (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    400 runs off 498 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 80.3 vs 65.2 overall, average 33.3 vs 36.9 overall.

  • Venue: Bay Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    354 runs off 422 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 83.9 vs 65.2 overall, average 88.5 vs 36.9 overall.

  • Venue: Cobham Oval (New), Whangarei (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    228 runs off 412 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 55.3 vs 65.2 overall, average 57.0 vs 36.9 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    816 runs off 1204 balls in 20 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 67.8 vs 65.2 overall, average 68.0 vs 36.9 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: Auckland Aces (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    234 runs off 430 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 54.4 vs 65.2 overall, average 23.4 vs 36.9 overall.

  • Venue: McLean Park (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    140 runs off 350 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 40.0 vs 65.2 overall, average 17.5 vs 36.9 overall.

  • Venue: Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    156 runs off 318 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 49.1 vs 65.2 overall, average 39.0 vs 36.9 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    536 runs off 980 balls in 24 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 54.7 vs 65.2 overall, average 19.1 vs 36.9 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (TEST)HIGH sample

    199 runs off 481 balls in 11 TEST matches — strike rate 41.4 vs 52.5 overall, average 22.1 vs 24.1 overall.

  • Opposition: India (T20)MEDIUM sample

    190 runs off 151 balls in 11 T20 matches — strike rate 125.8 vs 136.9 overall, average 23.8 vs 27.8 overall.

Current projections

New Zealand v India
Twenty20 International
11.8 runs
median 0 · 90th percentile 40 · plays 63% · 15 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

Central StagsFIRST_CLASS862495039.065.79.971.2HIGH
Wellington FirebirdsFIRST_CLASS432852441.062.68.471.8HIGH
EnglandTEST527848439.757.48.374.8HIGH
CanterburyFIRST_CLASS436245260.380.111.564.2HIGH
Auckland AcesFIRST_CLASS623443023.454.46.074.0HIGH
Sri LankaTEST312526720.846.85.676.0MEDIUM
IndiaODI716416623.498.811.446.4MEDIUM
IndiaT201119015123.8125.815.235.8MEDIUM
CanterburyT20719812066.0165.020.024.2MEDIUM
AustraliaTEST2321058.030.54.886.7LOW
PakistanODI51079735.7110.39.335.1LOW
AustraliaODI4768725.387.49.247.1LOW
Sri LankaT2061088236.0131.714.634.1LOW
OtagoT2051157338.3157.521.934.2LOW
IndiaTEST1376618.556.17.672.7LOW
West IndiesODI2516551.078.57.749.2LOW
West IndiesT2061156557.5176.927.732.3LOW
LancashireT2021065953.0179.725.428.8LOW
WellingtonT204795619.8141.123.242.9LOW
Guyana Amazon WarriorsT202545427.0100.07.446.3LOW
Sri LankaODI4375212.371.27.757.7LOW
NetherlandsT2028451—164.725.535.3LOW
Birmingham BearsT202825041.0164.022.026.0LOW
PakistanTEST1254825.052.18.377.1LOW
EnglandT205774625.7167.421.730.4LOW
BangladeshTEST1364636.078.38.756.5LOW
DerbyshireT201644564.0142.220.035.6LOW
South AfricaT204424514.093.311.155.6LOW
BangladeshT202414241.097.67.135.7LOW
Central DistrictsT20532426.476.24.852.4LOW
Jamaica TallawahsT2025540—137.517.535.0LOW
Southern BraveHUNDRED2593959.0151.315.415.4LOW
AucklandT203583429.0170.620.623.5LOW
Manchester Super GiantsHUNDRED24433—133.315.233.3LOW
ZimbabweTEST1193019.063.33.356.7LOW

Bowling

Central StagsFIRST_CLASS2248898442.420.4HIGH
Wellington FirebirdsFIRST_CLASS1126394162.124.6HIGH
Auckland AcesFIRST_CLASS100866263.9110.3HIGH
EnglandTEST874438133.033.7HIGH
Sri LankaTEST54226612.9266.0HIGH
CanterburyFIRST_CLASS50628843.472.0HIGH
IndiaODI46339775.156.7HIGH
AustraliaTEST41425013.6250.0HIGH
PakistanODI39030394.733.7HIGH
Sri LankaODI31220473.929.1MEDIUM
IndiaTEST291157133.212.1MEDIUM
South AfricaTEST2829362.015.5MEDIUM
BangladeshODI24615653.831.2MEDIUM
BangladeshTEST23411663.019.3MEDIUM
AustraliaODI22220145.450.3MEDIUM
IndiaT2021031178.944.4MEDIUM
ZimbabweTEST2057742.319.3MEDIUM
WorcestershireFIRST_CLASS1928422.642.0MEDIUM
South AfricaODI18016335.454.3MEDIUM
EnglandT2018023177.733.0MEDIUM
CanterburyT20174206107.120.6MEDIUM
South AfricaT2017419686.824.5MEDIUM
West IndiesT20174207127.117.3MEDIUM
Sri LankaT2016216886.221.0MEDIUM
PakistanTEST1535922.329.5MEDIUM
West IndiesODI1478443.421.0LOW
PakistanT2014417947.544.8LOW
IrelandODI12010355.120.6LOW
Central DistrictsT2010813287.316.5LOW
OtagoT2010813437.444.7LOW
EnglandODI1027534.425.0LOW
Gujarat TitansT2010213838.146.0LOW
Manchester OriginalsHUNDRED9510876.815.4LOW
IrelandT209011547.728.8LOW
United Arab EmiratesT20909256.118.4LOW
WellingtonT209011647.729.0LOW
AustraliaT208412488.915.5LOW
Royal Challengers BengaluruT207210628.853.0LOW
Delhi CapitalsT20667666.912.7LOW
Punjab KingsT20667436.724.7LOW
Southern BraveHUNDRED608038.026.7LOW
NetherlandsODI605955.911.8LOW
ScotlandODI606006.0—LOW
AucklandT20608638.628.7LOW
Birmingham PhoenixHUNDRED55105111.5105.0LOW
Chennai Super KingsT20558228.941.0LOW
HampshireT20536837.722.7LOW
London SpiritHUNDRED506317.663.0LOW
BangladeshT20483254.06.4LOW
Birmingham BearsT20485927.429.5LOW
KentT20485256.510.4LOW
LancashireT20484625.823.0LOW
Lucknow Super GiantsT20486718.467.0LOW
NetherlandsT20485516.955.0LOW
NottinghamshireT20486027.530.0LOW
Sunrisers HyderabadT20486317.963.0LOW
Kolkata Knight RidersT20444826.524.0LOW
Jamaica TallawahsT20422523.612.5LOW
Mumbai IndiansT20424436.314.7LOW
ScotlandT20424236.014.0LOW
ZimbabweT20424816.948.0LOW
Guyana Amazon WarriorsT20404516.845.0LOW
St Kitts and Nevis PatriotsT20363626.018.0LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Seddon ParkFIRST_CLASS640049833.380.312.465.5HIGH
Bay OvalFIRST_CLASS235442288.583.913.364.0HIGH
Cobham Oval (New), WhangareiFIRST_CLASS222841257.055.36.873.8HIGH
McLean ParkFIRST_CLASS414035017.540.05.782.9HIGH
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandFIRST_CLASS215631839.049.15.775.5HIGH
Bay OvalTEST215131775.547.66.377.0HIGH
Galle International StadiumTEST312526720.846.85.676.0MEDIUM
Hagley OvalFIRST_CLASS219224496.078.79.862.3MEDIUM
Seddon Park, HamiltonTEST112515562.580.612.967.7MEDIUM
Seddon Park, HamiltonT20622313755.8162.821.229.2MEDIUM
County Ground, New Road, WorcesterT20516310232.6159.826.535.3LOW
Brian Lara Stadium, TaroubaT2041099336.3117.211.839.8LOW
Cobham OvalFIRST_CLASS2789239.084.88.763.0LOW
Melbourne Cricket GroundTEST1307815.038.56.484.6LOW
Cazaly's Stadium, CairnsODI3597529.578.78.049.3LOW
National Stadium, KarachiODI3737524.397.38.040.0LOW
Narendra Modi Stadium, AhmedabadT207797319.8108.212.342.5LOW
Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium, PuneTEST1376618.556.17.672.7LOW
Kensington Oval, Bridgetown, BarbadosODI2516551.078.57.749.2LOW
Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal, HyderabadODI2936193.0152.521.327.9LOW
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiT207466011.576.76.750.0LOW
Sportpark Westvliet, The HagueT2028451—164.725.535.3LOW
Eden Park, AucklandT203804980.0163.326.538.8LOW
Seddon ParkT204584819.3120.816.741.7LOW
Basin Reserve, WellingtonT202714635.5154.326.141.3LOW
Shere Bangla National Stadium, MirpurTEST1364636.078.38.756.5LOW
County Ground, DerbyT201644564.0142.220.035.6LOW
Dubai International Cricket StadiumODI2364118.087.87.353.7LOW
Rangiri Dambulla International StadiumT202354017.587.510.042.5LOW
Shaheed Veer Narayan Singh International Stadium, RaipurODI1273927.069.27.756.4LOW
Seddon ParkTEST1233923.059.07.776.9LOW
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchT204633521.0180.025.731.4LOW
Edgbaston, BirminghamT201563256.0175.021.921.9LOW
McLean Park, NapierT203333211.0103.16.334.4LOW
Stanley Park, BlackpoolT201573257.0178.125.028.1LOW
R Premadasa Stadium, ColomboT202563156.0180.622.632.3LOW
Queens Sports Club, BulawayoTEST1193019.063.33.356.7LOW

Bowling

Seddon ParkFIRST_CLASS1606636242.426.5HIGH
McLean ParkFIRST_CLASS1042442182.524.6HIGH
Bay OvalFIRST_CLASS750306162.419.1HIGH
Galle International StadiumTEST54226612.9266.0HIGH
Kennards Hire Community OvalFIRST_CLASS50439044.697.5HIGH
Bay OvalTEST42913651.927.2HIGH
Cobham OvalFIRST_CLASS36017622.988.0HIGH
Cobham Oval (New), WhangareiFIRST_CLASS3026441.316.0MEDIUM
National Stadium, KarachiODI30022764.537.8MEDIUM
Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium, PuneTEST291157133.212.1MEDIUM
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiTEST2829362.015.5MEDIUM
Perth StadiumTEST24614603.6—MEDIUM
Shere Bangla National Stadium, MirpurTEST23411663.019.3MEDIUM
Wankhede Stadium, MumbaiT20224268107.226.8MEDIUM
Seddon ParkTEST2108812.588.0MEDIUM
Queens Sports Club, BulawayoTEST2057742.319.3MEDIUM
County Ground, New Road, WorcesterFIRST_CLASS1928422.642.0MEDIUM
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchT20192220106.922.0MEDIUM
Hagley OvalFIRST_CLASS18013224.466.0MEDIUM
Gaddafi Stadium, LahoreODI18014664.924.3MEDIUM
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiT2018016995.618.8MEDIUM
Melbourne Cricket GroundTEST16810413.7104.0MEDIUM
Cazaly's Stadium, CairnsODI16212124.560.5MEDIUM
Narendra Modi Stadium, AhmedabadT2015622228.5111.0MEDIUM
Kensington Oval, Bridgetown, BarbadosODI1478443.421.0LOW
Trent Bridge, NottinghamTEST14611324.656.5LOW
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandFIRST_CLASS1449604.0—LOW
Lord's, LondonTEST1386803.0—LOW
Seddon Park, HamiltonT2012616267.727.0LOW
Dubai International Cricket StadiumODI1208734.329.0LOW
Eden Park, AucklandODI12011125.655.5LOW
Himachal Pradesh Cricket Association Stadium, DharamsalaODI12011735.839.0LOW
Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal, HyderabadODI12011565.819.2LOW
The Village, Malahide, DublinODI12010355.120.6LOW
County Ground, New Road, WorcesterT2012015267.625.3LOW
Harare Sports ClubT2010813847.734.5LOW
Seddon Park, HamiltonTEST1049275.313.1LOW
Eden Park, AucklandT2010214388.417.9LOW
Kennington Oval, LondonT209211097.212.2LOW
M Chinnaswamy Stadium, BengaluruODI905723.828.5LOW
Brian Lara Stadium, TaroubaT20889736.632.3LOW
Seddon ParkT208411258.022.4LOW
Headingley, LeedsHUNDRED7511639.338.7LOW
Old Trafford, ManchesterHUNDRED758546.821.3LOW
Sabina Park, Kingston, JamaicaT20726465.310.7LOW
Sydney Cricket GroundT20727866.513.0LOW
Civil Service Cricket Club, Stormont, BelfastT20668928.144.5LOW
Dubai International Cricket StadiumT20666946.317.3LOW
Trent Bridge, NottinghamHUNDRED659138.430.3LOW
MA Chidambaram Stadium, Chepauk, ChennaiT20616826.734.0LOW
Grange Cricket Club Ground, Raeburn Place, EdinburghODI606006.0—LOW
Hagley OvalODI605125.125.5LOW
Holkar Cricket Stadium, IndoreODI605805.8—LOW
MA Chidambaram Stadium, Chepauk, ChennaiODI603113.131.0LOW
Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium, PuneODI605805.8—LOW
Narendra Modi Stadium, AhmedabadODI603723.718.5LOW
Pallekele International Cricket StadiumODI603313.333.0LOW
Rangiri Dambulla International StadiumODI605305.3—LOW
Rawalpindi Cricket StadiumODI604404.4—LOW
Wankhede Stadium, MumbaiODI605105.1—LOW
Queen's Park Oval, Port of SpainT20604134.113.7LOW
Brian Lara Stadium, Tarouba, TrinidadT20585245.413.0LOW
Kennington Oval, LondonHUNDRED556026.530.0LOW
McLean Park, NapierT20543914.339.0LOW
University Oval, DunedinT20547528.337.5LOW
University OvalODI482322.911.5LOW
Basin Reserve, WellingtonT20485727.128.5LOW
Bharat Ratna Shri Atal Bihari Vajpayee Ekana Cricket Stadium, LucknowT20486608.3—LOW
R Premadasa Stadium, ColomboT20484816.048.0LOW
Rangiri Dambulla International StadiumT20484425.522.0LOW
Sportpark Westvliet, The HagueT20485516.955.0LOW
Trent Bridge, NottinghamT20485937.419.7LOW
The Rose Bowl, SouthamptonT20455937.919.7LOW
Basin Reserve, WellingtonODI422713.927.0LOW
The Rose Bowl, SouthamptonODI423815.438.0LOW
Arun Jaitley Stadium, DelhiT20426539.321.7LOW
Edgbaston, BirminghamT20424536.415.0LOW
Grange Cricket Club Ground, Raeburn Place, EdinburghT20424236.014.0LOW
Saxton Oval, NelsonT20426529.332.5LOW
Seddon Park, HamiltonODI362313.823.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownFIRST_CLASS241548237436.965.29.170.7HIGH
UnknownT201101883137428.1137.017.835.9HIGH
UnknownTEST15554105524.152.57.075.0HIGH
UnknownODI2950753225.495.310.245.9HIGH
UnknownHUNDRED1319813666.0145.616.225.0MEDIUM

Bowling

UnknownFIRST_CLASS50802326722.732.3HIGH
UnknownT20310037321567.223.9HIGH
UnknownTEST29951456462.931.7HIGH
UnknownODI22421761524.733.9HIGH
UnknownHUNDRED365486178.028.6HIGH
ZimbabweT2010813847.734.5LOW
PakistanODI604404.4—LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS241444220036.165.69.170.8HIGH
old_ballTEST1549897123.751.36.875.3HIGH
middleT2069100975734.8133.316.535.7HIGH
deathT207370246720.6150.318.430.4HIGH
deathODI2132626723.3122.112.733.0MEDIUM
middleODI1618126530.268.37.558.9MEDIUM
new_ballFIRST_CLASS1010417452.059.89.269.0MEDIUM
powerplayT201818215936.4114.520.852.8MEDIUM
new_ballTEST4568428.066.79.571.4LOW
middleHUNDRED8877187.0122.512.733.8LOW
deathHUNDRED121116555.5170.820.015.4LOW

Bowling

old_ballFIRST_CLASS47322158702.730.8HIGH
old_ballTEST28811387452.930.8HIGH
middleT20221626601117.224.0HIGH
middleODI18101343394.534.4HIGH
powerplayT20564636196.833.5HIGH
deathT20428574308.019.1HIGH
deathODI354356126.029.7MEDIUM
new_ballFIRST_CLASS34816822.984.0MEDIUM
middleHUNDRED25531697.435.1MEDIUM
powerplayODI13810614.6106.0LOW
new_ballTEST1146913.669.0LOW
deathHUNDRED7011379.716.1LOW
powerplayHUNDRED405718.657.0LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

SPINFIRST_CLASS20816120468.067.89.370.4HIGH
PACEFIRST_CLASS2453698019.154.77.172.4HIGH
PACET2098100475127.1133.717.737.9HIGH
SPINT207578755629.1141.517.833.5HIGH
SPINTEST1334053728.363.38.269.6HIGH
PACETEST1119948122.141.45.880.2HIGH
SPINODI2422926422.986.78.348.9MEDIUM
PACEODI2827726027.7106.512.341.5MEDIUM
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS619619098.0103.217.963.2MEDIUM
PACEHUNDRED131238461.5146.417.927.4LOW
UNKNOWNT20211027625.5134.215.832.9LOW
SPINHUNDRED7594359.0137.211.623.3LOW
UNKNOWNTEST415377.540.55.483.8LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.