MJ Swepson betting stats, splits & projections
All-rounder
Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.
Record by format
Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.
| overall | FIRST_CLASS | 92 | 1360 | 1878 | 15.8 | 72.4 | 9.1 | 62.8 | HIGH |
| overall | LIST_A | 13 | 123 | 137 | 15.4 | 89.8 | 8.8 | 51.8 | MEDIUM |
| overall | TEST | 4 | 28 | 54 | 7.0 | 51.9 | 5.6 | 70.4 | LOW |
| overall | T20 | 15 | 56 | 42 | 6.2 | 133.3 | 19.0 | 42.9 | LOW |
| overall | ODI | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | LOW |
| overall | FIRST_CLASS | 22814 | 11590 | 336 | 3.0 | 34.5 | HIGH |
| overall | T20 | 912 | 1195 | 29 | 7.9 | 41.2 | HIGH |
| overall | LIST_A | 898 | 754 | 29 | 5.0 | 26.0 | HIGH |
| overall | TEST | 892 | 458 | 10 | 3.1 | 45.8 | HIGH |
| overall | ODI | 158 | 161 | 3 | 6.1 | 53.7 | MEDIUM |
Why we like it
Splits where MJ Swepson scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.
- Opposition: New South Wales (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
286 runs off 314 balls in 18 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 91.1 vs 72.4 overall, average 13.0 vs 15.8 overall.
- Bowling type: PACE (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
828 runs off 1026 balls in 84 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 80.7 vs 72.4 overall, average 12.5 vs 15.8 overall.
- Bowling type: SPIN (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
478 runs off 756 balls in 66 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 63.2 vs 72.4 overall, average 29.9 vs 15.8 overall.
- Opposition: Leicestershire (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
138 runs off 140 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 98.6 vs 72.4 overall, average 69.0 vs 15.8 overall.
- Venue: Sophia Gardens, Cardiff (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
164 runs off 192 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 85.4 vs 72.4 overall, average 27.3 vs 15.8 overall.
- Phase: new_ball (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
188 runs off 228 balls in 18 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 82.5 vs 72.4 overall, average 15.7 vs 15.8 overall.
Risks
Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.
- Venue: Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, Brisbane (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
202 runs off 354 balls in 22 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 57.1 vs 72.4 overall, average 10.1 vs 15.8 overall.
- Opposition: Tasmania (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
154 runs off 270 balls in 16 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 57.0 vs 72.4 overall, average 15.4 vs 15.8 overall.
- Opposition: South Australia (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
134 runs off 228 balls in 16 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 58.8 vs 72.4 overall, average 8.4 vs 15.8 overall.
- Venue: Karen Rolton Oval, Adelaide (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample
46 runs off 74 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 62.2 vs 72.4 overall, average 7.7 vs 15.8 overall.
- Venue: Bellerive Oval, Hobart (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample
38 runs off 64 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 59.4 vs 72.4 overall, average 19.0 vs 15.8 overall.
- Bowling type: UNKNOWN (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample
54 runs off 96 balls in 20 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 56.3 vs 72.4 overall, average 13.5 vs 15.8 overall.
Against each opponent
Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.
| Victoria | FIRST_CLASS | 18 | 308 | 476 | 22.0 | 64.7 | 5.5 | 57.1 | HIGH |
| Western Australia | FIRST_CLASS | 18 | 272 | 354 | 15.1 | 76.8 | 9.6 | 63.8 | HIGH |
| New South Wales | FIRST_CLASS | 18 | 286 | 314 | 13.0 | 91.1 | 14.0 | 62.4 | HIGH |
| Tasmania | FIRST_CLASS | 16 | 154 | 270 | 15.4 | 57.0 | 8.1 | 71.1 | MEDIUM |
| South Australia | FIRST_CLASS | 16 | 134 | 228 | 8.4 | 58.8 | 7.0 | 67.5 | MEDIUM |
| Leicestershire | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 138 | 140 | 69.0 | 98.6 | 14.3 | 55.7 | MEDIUM |
| Sussex | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 26 | 52 | 6.5 | 50.0 | 3.8 | 69.2 | LOW |
| Western Australia | LIST_A | 4 | 66 | 49 | 66.0 | 134.7 | 16.3 | 44.9 | LOW |
| Derbyshire | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 42 | 44 | — | 95.5 | 13.6 | 59.1 | LOW |
| Victoria | LIST_A | 2 | 13 | 36 | 6.5 | 36.1 | 0.0 | 63.9 | LOW |
| Pakistan | TEST | 2 | 24 | 33 | 24.0 | 72.7 | 9.1 | 57.6 | LOW |
| South Australia | LIST_A | 4 | 26 | 30 | 13.0 | 86.7 | 6.7 | 46.7 | LOW |
Bowling
| New South Wales | FIRST_CLASS | 5148 | 2552 | 90 | 3.0 | 28.4 | HIGH |
| South Australia | FIRST_CLASS | 4526 | 2384 | 66 | 3.2 | 36.1 | HIGH |
| Victoria | FIRST_CLASS | 4200 | 2052 | 78 | 2.9 | 26.3 | HIGH |
| Western Australia | FIRST_CLASS | 3782 | 2170 | 36 | 3.4 | 60.3 | HIGH |
| Tasmania | FIRST_CLASS | 3040 | 1262 | 38 | 2.5 | 33.2 | HIGH |
| Sussex | FIRST_CLASS | 740 | 282 | 14 | 2.3 | 20.1 | HIGH |
| Derbyshire | FIRST_CLASS | 598 | 330 | 4 | 3.3 | 82.5 | HIGH |
| Pakistan | TEST | 544 | 266 | 2 | 2.9 | 133.0 | HIGH |
| Gloucestershire | FIRST_CLASS | 444 | 284 | 6 | 3.8 | 47.3 | HIGH |
| Sri Lanka | TEST | 348 | 192 | 8 | 3.3 | 24.0 | MEDIUM |
| Leicestershire | FIRST_CLASS | 336 | 274 | 4 | 4.9 | 68.5 | MEDIUM |
| Victoria | LIST_A | 234 | 160 | 5 | 4.1 | 32.0 | MEDIUM |
| South Australia | LIST_A | 219 | 172 | 10 | 4.7 | 17.2 | MEDIUM |
| Western Australia | LIST_A | 180 | 184 | 5 | 6.1 | 36.8 | MEDIUM |
| Adelaide Strikers | T20 | 144 | 172 | 6 | 7.2 | 28.7 | LOW |
| Tasmania | LIST_A | 138 | 108 | 5 | 4.7 | 21.6 | LOW |
| Sydney Sixers | T20 | 138 | 184 | 3 | 8.0 | 61.3 | LOW |
| Sydney Thunder | T20 | 138 | 187 | 5 | 8.1 | 37.4 | LOW |
| Melbourne Renegades | T20 | 132 | 169 | 3 | 7.7 | 56.3 | LOW |
| New South Wales | LIST_A | 127 | 130 | 4 | 6.1 | 32.5 | LOW |
| Perth Scorchers | T20 | 119 | 153 | 2 | 7.7 | 76.5 | LOW |
| Melbourne Stars | T20 | 115 | 142 | 6 | 7.4 | 23.7 | LOW |
| Pakistan | ODI | 98 | 103 | 2 | 6.3 | 51.5 | LOW |
| Hobart Hurricanes | T20 | 96 | 127 | 2 | 7.9 | 63.5 | LOW |
| Sri Lanka | ODI | 60 | 58 | 1 | 5.8 | 58.0 | LOW |
By venue
Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.
| Allan Border Field, Brisbane | FIRST_CLASS | 14 | 270 | 404 | 16.9 | 66.8 | 7.4 | 60.4 | HIGH |
| Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, Brisbane | FIRST_CLASS | 22 | 202 | 354 | 10.1 | 57.1 | 7.9 | 72.9 | HIGH |
| Melbourne Cricket Ground | FIRST_CLASS | 8 | 186 | 264 | 18.6 | 70.5 | 6.8 | 58.3 | MEDIUM |
| Sophia Gardens, Cardiff | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 164 | 192 | 27.3 | 85.4 | 11.5 | 59.4 | MEDIUM |
| Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, Perth | FIRST_CLASS | 12 | 136 | 174 | 11.3 | 78.2 | 9.2 | 65.5 | MEDIUM |
| Karen Rolton Oval, Adelaide | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 46 | 74 | 7.7 | 62.2 | 10.8 | 70.3 | LOW |
| Adelaide Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 48 | 68 | 12.0 | 70.6 | 5.9 | 52.9 | LOW |
| Junction Oval, Melbourne | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 46 | 68 | 23.0 | 67.6 | 5.9 | 50.0 | LOW |
| Sydney Cricket Ground | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 86 | 68 | 21.5 | 126.5 | 17.6 | 47.1 | LOW |
| Bellerive Oval, Hobart | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 38 | 64 | 19.0 | 59.4 | 6.3 | 68.8 | LOW |
| North Dalton Park, Wollongong | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 50 | 46 | 25.0 | 108.7 | 21.7 | 65.2 | LOW |
| County Ground, Derby | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 42 | 44 | — | 95.5 | 13.6 | 59.1 | LOW |
| Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, Brisbane | LIST_A | 2 | 48 | 40 | 24.0 | 120.0 | 15.0 | 52.5 | LOW |
| Cricket Central, Sydney | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 30 | 32 | 15.0 | 93.8 | 12.5 | 62.5 | LOW |
Bowling
| Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, Brisbane | FIRST_CLASS | 4094 | 2120 | 46 | 3.1 | 46.1 | HIGH |
| Allan Border Field, Brisbane | FIRST_CLASS | 2214 | 1198 | 28 | 3.2 | 42.8 | HIGH |
| Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, Perth | FIRST_CLASS | 1946 | 1254 | 22 | 3.9 | 57.0 | HIGH |
| Melbourne Cricket Ground | FIRST_CLASS | 1772 | 778 | 32 | 2.6 | 24.3 | HIGH |
| Karen Rolton Oval, Adelaide | FIRST_CLASS | 1692 | 1108 | 28 | 3.9 | 39.6 | HIGH |
| Adelaide Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 1488 | 678 | 26 | 2.7 | 26.1 | HIGH |
| Junction Oval, Melbourne | FIRST_CLASS | 1196 | 656 | 18 | 3.3 | 36.4 | HIGH |
| Bellerive Oval, Hobart | FIRST_CLASS | 1098 | 420 | 18 | 2.3 | 23.3 | HIGH |
| Sophia Gardens, Cardiff | FIRST_CLASS | 1076 | 556 | 18 | 3.1 | 30.9 | HIGH |
| Cricket Central, Sydney | FIRST_CLASS | 1024 | 402 | 14 | 2.4 | 28.7 | HIGH |
| Gliderol Stadium, Adelaide | FIRST_CLASS | 924 | 364 | 16 | 2.4 | 22.8 | HIGH |
| Park 25 No 2, Adelaide | FIRST_CLASS | 868 | 268 | 10 | 1.9 | 26.8 | HIGH |
| Drummoyne Oval, Sydney | FIRST_CLASS | 758 | 332 | 16 | 2.6 | 20.8 | HIGH |
| North Dalton Park, Wollongong | FIRST_CLASS | 688 | 328 | 12 | 2.9 | 27.3 | HIGH |
| County Ground, Derby | FIRST_CLASS | 598 | 330 | 4 | 3.3 | 82.5 | HIGH |
| Sydney Cricket Ground | FIRST_CLASS | 530 | 320 | 8 | 3.6 | 40.0 | HIGH |
| College Ground, Cheltenham | FIRST_CLASS | 444 | 284 | 6 | 3.8 | 47.3 | HIGH |
| Allan Border Field, Brisbane | LIST_A | 426 | 353 | 11 | 5.0 | 32.1 | HIGH |
| Great Barrier Reef Arena, Mackay | FIRST_CLASS | 404 | 194 | 14 | 2.9 | 13.9 | HIGH |
| National Stadium, Karachi | TEST | 376 | 188 | 2 | 3.0 | 94.0 | HIGH |
| Galle International Stadium | TEST | 348 | 192 | 8 | 3.3 | 24.0 | MEDIUM |
| Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, Brisbane | T20 | 283 | 391 | 9 | 8.3 | 43.4 | MEDIUM |
| Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore | TEST | 168 | 78 | 0 | 2.8 | — | MEDIUM |
| Melbourne Cricket Ground | T20 | 138 | 169 | 5 | 7.3 | 33.8 | LOW |
| Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, Perth | LIST_A | 108 | 118 | 1 | 6.6 | 118.0 | LOW |
| Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore | ODI | 98 | 103 | 2 | 6.3 | 51.5 | LOW |
| Perth Stadium | T20 | 95 | 150 | 0 | 9.5 | — | LOW |
| Docklands Stadium, Melbourne | T20 | 84 | 106 | 3 | 7.6 | 35.3 | LOW |
| Adelaide Oval | T20 | 72 | 87 | 3 | 7.3 | 29.0 | LOW |
| Bellerive Oval, Hobart | LIST_A | 60 | 40 | 4 | 4.0 | 10.0 | LOW |
| Junction Oval, Melbourne | LIST_A | 60 | 38 | 3 | 3.8 | 12.7 | LOW |
| Melbourne Cricket Ground | LIST_A | 60 | 37 | 0 | 3.7 | — | LOW |
| Pallekele International Cricket Stadium | ODI | 60 | 58 | 1 | 5.8 | 58.0 | LOW |
| Karen Rolton Oval, Adelaide | LIST_A | 56 | 47 | 0 | 5.0 | — | LOW |
| Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, Brisbane | LIST_A | 55 | 42 | 7 | 4.6 | 6.0 | LOW |
| Cricket Central, Sydney | LIST_A | 49 | 34 | 2 | 4.2 | 17.0 | LOW |
| Manuka Oval, Canberra | T20 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 5.5 | 11.0 | LOW |
By country
Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.
| Unknown | FIRST_CLASS | 92 | 1360 | 1878 | 15.8 | 72.4 | 9.1 | 62.8 | HIGH |
| Unknown | LIST_A | 13 | 123 | 137 | 15.4 | 89.8 | 8.8 | 51.8 | MEDIUM |
| Unknown | TEST | 4 | 28 | 54 | 7.0 | 51.9 | 5.6 | 70.4 | LOW |
| Unknown | T20 | 15 | 56 | 42 | 6.2 | 133.3 | 19.0 | 42.9 | LOW |
Bowling
| Unknown | FIRST_CLASS | 22814 | 11590 | 336 | 3.0 | 34.5 | HIGH |
| Unknown | T20 | 912 | 1195 | 29 | 7.9 | 41.2 | HIGH |
| Unknown | LIST_A | 898 | 754 | 29 | 5.0 | 26.0 | HIGH |
| Unknown | TEST | 892 | 458 | 10 | 3.1 | 45.8 | HIGH |
| Unknown | ODI | 158 | 161 | 3 | 6.1 | 53.7 | MEDIUM |
By match phase
Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.
| old_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 88 | 1172 | 1650 | 15.8 | 71.0 | 8.6 | 62.7 | HIGH |
| new_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 18 | 188 | 228 | 15.7 | 82.5 | 12.3 | 64.0 | MEDIUM |
| death | LIST_A | 11 | 67 | 81 | 9.6 | 82.7 | 7.4 | 51.9 | LOW |
| middle | LIST_A | 3 | 56 | 56 | 56.0 | 100.0 | 10.7 | 51.8 | LOW |
| old_ball | TEST | 4 | 28 | 54 | 7.0 | 51.9 | 5.6 | 70.4 | LOW |
| death | T20 | 14 | 54 | 38 | 6.8 | 142.1 | 21.1 | 42.1 | LOW |
Bowling
| old_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 22146 | 11312 | 322 | 3.1 | 35.1 | HIGH |
| old_ball | TEST | 808 | 407 | 9 | 3.0 | 45.2 | HIGH |
| middle | LIST_A | 806 | 656 | 24 | 4.9 | 27.3 | HIGH |
| new_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 668 | 278 | 14 | 2.5 | 19.9 | HIGH |
| middle | T20 | 636 | 812 | 22 | 7.7 | 36.9 | HIGH |
| powerplay | T20 | 168 | 210 | 2 | 7.5 | 105.0 | MEDIUM |
| middle | ODI | 150 | 159 | 2 | 6.4 | 79.5 | MEDIUM |
| death | T20 | 108 | 173 | 5 | 9.6 | 34.6 | LOW |
| death | LIST_A | 92 | 98 | 5 | 6.4 | 19.6 | LOW |
| new_ball | TEST | 84 | 51 | 1 | 3.6 | 51.0 | LOW |
Against pace and spin
Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.
| PACE | FIRST_CLASS | 84 | 828 | 1026 | 12.5 | 80.7 | 11.1 | 61.6 | HIGH |
| SPIN | FIRST_CLASS | 66 | 478 | 756 | 29.9 | 63.2 | 6.3 | 63.8 | HIGH |
| UNKNOWN | FIRST_CLASS | 20 | 54 | 96 | 13.5 | 56.3 | 8.3 | 68.8 | LOW |
| PACE | LIST_A | 12 | 92 | 81 | 23.0 | 113.6 | 13.6 | 48.1 | LOW |
| SPIN | LIST_A | 7 | 19 | 41 | 6.3 | 46.3 | 0.0 | 58.5 | LOW |
| PACE | T20 | 13 | 53 | 37 | 7.6 | 143.2 | 21.6 | 43.2 | LOW |
| SPIN | TEST | 2 | 10 | 37 | 5.0 | 27.0 | 0.0 | 81.1 | LOW |
How these splits are used
The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.