ML Castillo betting stats, splits & projections
Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.
Record by format
Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.
| overall | T20 | 10 | 150 | 143 | 18.8 | 104.9 | 11.2 | 49.7 | MEDIUM |
| overall | T20 | 192 | 174 | 19 | 5.4 | 9.2 | MEDIUM |
Against each opponent
Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.
| Brazil | T20 | 2 | 53 | 44 | — | 120.5 | 9.1 | 38.6 | LOW |
| Bahamas | T20 | 2 | 47 | 41 | 23.5 | 114.6 | 12.2 | 48.8 | LOW |
Bowling
| Bahamas | T20 | 48 | 26 | 4 | 3.3 | 6.5 | LOW |
| Brazil | T20 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 5.5 | 11.0 | LOW |
By venue
Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.
| White Hill Field, Sandys Parish | T20 | 3 | 68 | 62 | 34.0 | 109.7 | 9.7 | 43.5 | LOW |
Bowling
| St Albans Club, Buenos Aires | T20 | 72 | 53 | 8 | 4.4 | 6.6 | LOW |
| White Hill Field, Sandys Parish | T20 | 54 | 34 | 6 | 3.8 | 5.7 | LOW |
By country
Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.
| Unknown | T20 | 10 | 150 | 143 | 18.8 | 104.9 | 11.2 | 49.7 | MEDIUM |
Bowling
| Unknown | T20 | 192 | 174 | 19 | 5.4 | 9.2 | MEDIUM |
By match phase
Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.
| middle | T20 | 6 | 73 | 68 | 36.5 | 107.4 | 8.8 | 45.6 | LOW |
| death | T20 | 5 | 61 | 51 | 20.3 | 119.6 | 13.7 | 45.1 | LOW |
Bowling
| middle | T20 | 84 | 73 | 8 | 5.2 | 9.1 | LOW |
| death | T20 | 66 | 65 | 8 | 5.9 | 8.1 | LOW |
| powerplay | T20 | 42 | 36 | 3 | 5.1 | 12.0 | LOW |
Against pace and spin
Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.
| SPIN | T20 | 10 | 33 | 50 | 6.6 | 66.0 | 6.0 | 66.0 | LOW |
| PACE | T20 | 6 | 62 | 47 | 31.0 | 131.9 | 14.9 | 38.3 | LOW |
| UNKNOWN | T20 | 8 | 55 | 46 | 55.0 | 119.6 | 13.0 | 43.5 | LOW |
How these splits are used
The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.