ML Green betting stats, splits & projections
All-rounder
Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.
Record by format
Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.
| overall | T20 | 117 | 2462 | 2175 | 30.8 | 113.2 | 11.7 | 32.0 | HIGH |
| overall | ODI | 44 | 1178 | 1607 | 35.7 | 73.3 | 6.0 | 50.8 | HIGH |
| overall | LIST_A | 4 | 117 | 138 | 29.3 | 84.8 | 13.0 | 55.8 | MEDIUM |
| overall | T20 | 360 | 369 | 24 | 6.1 | 15.4 | HIGH |
| overall | ODI | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5.0 | 5.0 | LOW |
Why we like it
Splits where ML Green scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.
- Opposition: Otago (T20)HIGH sample
407 runs off 323 balls in 13 T20 matches — strike rate 126.0 vs 113.2 overall, average 50.9 vs 30.8 overall.
- Venue: Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland (T20)HIGH sample
440 runs off 388 balls in 14 T20 matches — strike rate 113.4 vs 113.2 overall, average 44.0 vs 30.8 overall.
- Bowling type: PACE (T20)HIGH sample
685 runs off 563 balls in 89 T20 matches — strike rate 121.7 vs 113.2 overall, average 42.8 vs 30.8 overall.
- Bowling type: PACE (ODI)HIGH sample
264 runs off 368 balls in 33 ODI matches — strike rate 71.7 vs 73.3 overall, average 44.0 vs 35.7 overall.
- Phase: powerplay (T20)HIGH sample
474 runs off 502 balls in 57 T20 matches — strike rate 94.4 vs 113.2 overall, average 43.1 vs 30.8 overall.
- Phase: death (T20)HIGH sample
679 runs off 458 balls in 55 T20 matches — strike rate 148.3 vs 113.2 overall, average 20.6 vs 30.8 overall.
Risks
Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.
- Opposition: England (ODI)HIGH sample
277 runs off 472 balls in 13 ODI matches — strike rate 58.7 vs 73.3 overall, average 27.7 vs 35.7 overall.
- Opposition: Central Districts (T20)MEDIUM sample
239 runs off 240 balls in 10 T20 matches — strike rate 99.6 vs 113.2 overall, average 29.9 vs 30.8 overall.
- Opposition: England (T20)MEDIUM sample
209 runs off 234 balls in 15 T20 matches — strike rate 89.3 vs 113.2 overall, average 20.9 vs 30.8 overall.
- Opposition: Canterbury (T20)MEDIUM sample
205 runs off 192 balls in 11 T20 matches — strike rate 106.8 vs 113.2 overall, average 18.6 vs 30.8 overall.
- Opposition: Northern Districts (T20)MEDIUM sample
185 runs off 171 balls in 12 T20 matches — strike rate 108.2 vs 113.2 overall, average 20.6 vs 30.8 overall.
- Opposition: South Africa (ODI)MEDIUM sample
78 runs off 138 balls in 4 ODI matches — strike rate 56.5 vs 73.3 overall, average 26.0 vs 35.7 overall.
Current projections
Against each opponent
Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.
| England | ODI | 13 | 277 | 472 | 27.7 | 58.7 | 5.9 | 62.1 | HIGH |
| Otago | T20 | 13 | 407 | 323 | 50.9 | 126.0 | 13.9 | 28.5 | HIGH |
| India | ODI | 7 | 208 | 243 | 34.7 | 85.6 | 9.1 | 49.0 | MEDIUM |
| Central Districts | T20 | 10 | 239 | 240 | 29.9 | 99.6 | 8.8 | 33.8 | MEDIUM |
| England | T20 | 15 | 209 | 234 | 20.9 | 89.3 | 8.1 | 38.9 | MEDIUM |
| Pakistan | ODI | 4 | 176 | 218 | 88.0 | 80.7 | 3.7 | 38.5 | MEDIUM |
| Wellington | T20 | 6 | 235 | 218 | 39.2 | 107.8 | 8.7 | 29.4 | MEDIUM |
| Auckland | T20 | 8 | 223 | 199 | 44.6 | 112.1 | 14.1 | 41.7 | MEDIUM |
| Canterbury | T20 | 11 | 205 | 192 | 18.6 | 106.8 | 12.0 | 38.5 | MEDIUM |
| Sri Lanka | ODI | 4 | 175 | 173 | 43.8 | 101.2 | 7.5 | 34.1 | MEDIUM |
| Northern Districts | T20 | 12 | 185 | 171 | 20.6 | 108.2 | 12.3 | 30.4 | MEDIUM |
| Australia | ODI | 6 | 111 | 151 | 27.8 | 73.5 | 5.3 | 50.3 | MEDIUM |
| South Africa | ODI | 4 | 78 | 138 | 26.0 | 56.5 | 5.1 | 64.5 | MEDIUM |
| West Indies | ODI | 4 | 89 | 138 | 22.3 | 64.5 | 3.6 | 48.6 | MEDIUM |
| Australia | T20 | 8 | 164 | 123 | 27.3 | 133.3 | 13.0 | 25.2 | MEDIUM |
| West Indies | T20 | 7 | 144 | 120 | 48.0 | 120.0 | 12.5 | 30.0 | MEDIUM |
| South Africa | T20 | 9 | 142 | 118 | 28.4 | 120.3 | 10.2 | 25.4 | LOW |
| Bangladesh | T20 | 4 | 128 | 81 | 128.0 | 158.0 | 19.8 | 17.3 | LOW |
| Bangladesh | ODI | 2 | 64 | 74 | — | 86.5 | 6.8 | 40.5 | LOW |
| Pakistan | T20 | 4 | 73 | 64 | 36.5 | 114.1 | 10.9 | 31.3 | LOW |
| Western Storm | LIST_A | 1 | 64 | 56 | 64.0 | 114.3 | 17.9 | 44.6 | LOW |
| South East Stars | LIST_A | 1 | 39 | 47 | 39.0 | 83.0 | 12.8 | 55.3 | LOW |
| Sri Lanka | T20 | 5 | 47 | 43 | 15.7 | 109.3 | 9.3 | 20.9 | LOW |
Bowling
| Central Districts | T20 | 88 | 83 | 3 | 5.7 | 27.7 | LOW |
| Northern Districts | T20 | 64 | 57 | 5 | 5.3 | 11.4 | LOW |
| Canterbury | T20 | 63 | 54 | 8 | 5.1 | 6.8 | LOW |
| Otago | T20 | 49 | 63 | 3 | 7.7 | 21.0 | LOW |
| Wellington | T20 | 48 | 54 | 2 | 6.8 | 27.0 | LOW |
| Auckland | T20 | 36 | 50 | 2 | 8.3 | 25.0 | LOW |
By venue
Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.
| Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland | T20 | 14 | 440 | 388 | 44.0 | 113.4 | 12.1 | 32.0 | HIGH |
| Hagley Oval, Christchurch | ODI | 3 | 172 | 214 | 86.0 | 80.4 | 3.7 | 39.3 | MEDIUM |
| Basin Reserve | T20 | 9 | 210 | 195 | 30.0 | 107.7 | 12.8 | 42.6 | MEDIUM |
| Seddon Park, Hamilton | ODI | 5 | 109 | 185 | 54.5 | 58.9 | 4.3 | 60.0 | MEDIUM |
| Hagley Oval, Christchurch | T20 | 10 | 216 | 184 | 27.0 | 117.4 | 12.0 | 28.8 | MEDIUM |
| Basin Reserve, Wellington | T20 | 11 | 214 | 182 | 21.4 | 117.6 | 11.5 | 27.5 | MEDIUM |
| Basin Reserve, Wellington | ODI | 5 | 134 | 179 | 67.0 | 74.9 | 6.1 | 50.3 | MEDIUM |
| Saxton Oval, Nelson | ODI | 2 | 132 | 133 | 66.0 | 99.2 | 6.8 | 34.6 | MEDIUM |
| Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, Antigua | ODI | 3 | 80 | 127 | 26.7 | 63.0 | 3.1 | 48.8 | MEDIUM |
| John Davies Oval, Queenstown | ODI | 4 | 97 | 120 | 32.3 | 80.8 | 5.8 | 47.5 | MEDIUM |
| University Oval, Dunedin | T20 | 6 | 122 | 111 | 61.0 | 109.9 | 10.8 | 30.6 | LOW |
| Grace Road, Leicester | ODI | 1 | 70 | 106 | — | 66.0 | 5.7 | 53.8 | LOW |
| Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, Antigua | T20 | 5 | 106 | 94 | 53.0 | 112.8 | 10.6 | 31.9 | LOW |
| Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad | ODI | 3 | 88 | 91 | 44.0 | 96.7 | 13.2 | 46.2 | LOW |
| McLean Park, Napier | T20 | 3 | 93 | 90 | 31.0 | 103.3 | 8.9 | 30.0 | LOW |
| Seddon Park, Hamilton | T20 | 4 | 107 | 84 | 35.7 | 127.4 | 14.3 | 29.8 | LOW |
| Eden Park, Auckland | ODI | 1 | 52 | 75 | — | 69.3 | 6.7 | 57.3 | LOW |
| County Ground, New Road, Worcester | ODI | 2 | 39 | 66 | 19.5 | 59.1 | 9.1 | 69.7 | LOW |
| Eden Park Outer Oval | T20 | 2 | 65 | 63 | 32.5 | 103.2 | 11.1 | 38.1 | LOW |
| Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui | ODI | 3 | 40 | 61 | 13.3 | 65.6 | 3.3 | 47.5 | LOW |
| Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui | T20 | 3 | 64 | 61 | 32.0 | 104.9 | 11.5 | 32.8 | LOW |
| The Cooper Associates County Ground, Taunton | LIST_A | 1 | 64 | 56 | 64.0 | 114.3 | 17.9 | 44.6 | LOW |
| St Lawrence Ground, Canterbury | T20 | 2 | 61 | 53 | 61.0 | 115.1 | 13.2 | 30.2 | LOW |
| City Oval, Pietermaritzburg | ODI | 1 | 43 | 50 | 43.0 | 86.0 | 10.0 | 54.0 | LOW |
| Great Barrier Reef Arena, Mackay | T20 | 2 | 56 | 50 | 28.0 | 112.0 | 8.0 | 24.0 | LOW |
| Edgbaston, Birmingham | LIST_A | 1 | 39 | 47 | 39.0 | 83.0 | 12.8 | 55.3 | LOW |
| John Davies Oval, Queenstown | T20 | 4 | 47 | 45 | 15.7 | 104.4 | 8.9 | 37.8 | LOW |
| The Rose Bowl, Southampton | T20 | 4 | 55 | 44 | 27.5 | 125.0 | 15.9 | 27.3 | LOW |
| Sky Stadium, Wellington | T20 | 2 | 71 | 41 | 71.0 | 173.2 | 19.5 | 22.0 | LOW |
| Galle International Stadium | ODI | 2 | 43 | 40 | 21.5 | 107.5 | 10.0 | 32.5 | LOW |
| County Ground, Bristol | ODI | 2 | 24 | 39 | 12.0 | 61.5 | 7.7 | 61.5 | LOW |
| Molyneux Park, Alexandra | T20 | 2 | 47 | 39 | 23.5 | 120.5 | 17.9 | 38.5 | LOW |
| Kennington Oval, London | T20 | 2 | 41 | 38 | 41.0 | 107.9 | 7.9 | 31.6 | LOW |
| University Oval | ODI | 1 | 14 | 36 | 14.0 | 38.9 | 0.0 | 58.3 | LOW |
| Buffalo Park, East London | T20 | 1 | 45 | 36 | — | 125.0 | 11.1 | 22.2 | LOW |
| Edgbaston, Birmingham | T20 | 3 | 30 | 36 | 10.0 | 83.3 | 11.1 | 50.0 | LOW |
Bowling
| Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland | T20 | 89 | 71 | 7 | 4.8 | 10.1 | LOW |
| Basin Reserve | T20 | 54 | 58 | 2 | 6.4 | 29.0 | LOW |
| Hagley Oval, Christchurch | T20 | 48 | 44 | 5 | 5.5 | 8.8 | LOW |
| McLean Park, Napier | T20 | 46 | 47 | 1 | 6.1 | 47.0 | LOW |
By country
Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.
| Unknown | T20 | 115 | 2458 | 2168 | 31.5 | 113.4 | 11.8 | 32.0 | HIGH |
| Unknown | ODI | 44 | 1178 | 1607 | 35.7 | 73.3 | 6.0 | 50.8 | HIGH |
| Unknown | LIST_A | 4 | 117 | 138 | 29.3 | 84.8 | 13.0 | 55.8 | MEDIUM |
Bowling
| Unknown | T20 | 360 | 369 | 24 | 6.1 | 15.4 | HIGH |
By match phase
Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.
| middle | ODI | 41 | 938 | 1294 | 34.7 | 72.5 | 6.0 | 51.6 | HIGH |
| middle | T20 | 90 | 1309 | 1215 | 36.4 | 107.7 | 9.8 | 30.6 | HIGH |
| powerplay | T20 | 57 | 474 | 502 | 43.1 | 94.4 | 11.6 | 45.4 | HIGH |
| death | T20 | 55 | 679 | 458 | 20.6 | 148.3 | 17.0 | 21.2 | HIGH |
| death | ODI | 10 | 177 | 165 | 35.4 | 107.3 | 7.9 | 26.1 | MEDIUM |
| powerplay | ODI | 15 | 63 | 148 | 63.0 | 42.6 | 3.4 | 71.6 | MEDIUM |
| middle | LIST_A | 4 | 112 | 121 | 28.0 | 92.6 | 14.0 | 51.2 | MEDIUM |
Bowling
| middle | T20 | 202 | 216 | 13 | 6.4 | 16.6 | MEDIUM |
| death | T20 | 139 | 134 | 11 | 5.8 | 12.2 | LOW |
Against pace and spin
Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.
| SPIN | T20 | 106 | 1537 | 1377 | 29.0 | 111.6 | 10.5 | 29.8 | HIGH |
| SPIN | ODI | 40 | 765 | 1006 | 38.3 | 76.0 | 5.4 | 47.5 | HIGH |
| PACE | T20 | 89 | 685 | 563 | 42.8 | 121.7 | 15.1 | 35.3 | HIGH |
| PACE | ODI | 33 | 264 | 368 | 44.0 | 71.7 | 7.1 | 54.6 | HIGH |
| UNKNOWN | T20 | 39 | 240 | 235 | 21.8 | 102.1 | 10.6 | 37.4 | MEDIUM |
| UNKNOWN | ODI | 20 | 149 | 233 | 21.3 | 63.9 | 6.9 | 59.2 | MEDIUM |
| PACE | LIST_A | 4 | 51 | 71 | 25.5 | 71.8 | 12.7 | 63.4 | LOW |
| SPIN | LIST_A | 3 | 55 | 62 | 27.5 | 88.7 | 11.3 | 50.0 | LOW |
How these splits are used
The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.