ML Karlsen betting stats, splits & projections
Batter
Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.
Record by format
Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.
| overall | T20 | 17 | 171 | 262 | 19.0 | 65.3 | 3.1 | 53.8 | MEDIUM |
Why we like it
Splits where ML Karlsen scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.
- Bowling type: UNKNOWN (T20)LOW sample
61 runs off 75 balls in 9 T20 matches — strike rate 81.3 vs 65.3 overall, average 30.5 vs 19.0 overall.
- Phase: powerplay (T20)LOW sample
69 runs off 94 balls in 9 T20 matches — strike rate 73.4 vs 65.3 overall, average 13.8 vs 19.0 overall.
Risks
Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.
- Venue: Koge Cricket Club (T20)LOW sample
40 runs off 72 balls in 3 T20 matches — strike rate 55.6 vs 65.3 overall, average 20.0 vs 19.0 overall.
- Phase: middle (T20)LOW sample
56 runs off 103 balls in 8 T20 matches — strike rate 54.4 vs 65.3 overall, average 28.0 vs 19.0 overall.
Against each opponent
Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.
| Norway | T20 | 3 | 49 | 83 | 24.5 | 59.0 | 3.6 | 54.2 | LOW |
| Germany | T20 | 3 | 24 | 48 | 24.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | LOW |
| Sweden | T20 | 4 | 25 | 45 | 25.0 | 55.6 | 0.0 | 57.8 | LOW |
| Finland | T20 | 1 | 29 | 35 | 29.0 | 82.9 | 8.6 | 48.6 | LOW |
By venue
Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.
| Koge Cricket Club | T20 | 3 | 40 | 72 | 20.0 | 55.6 | 1.4 | 52.8 | LOW |
| Albertslund Cricket Club | T20 | 4 | 38 | 51 | 9.5 | 74.5 | 7.8 | 54.9 | LOW |
| GelsenTrabPark, Gelsenkirchen | T20 | 3 | 23 | 37 | 23.0 | 62.2 | 0.0 | 51.4 | LOW |
| Ishoj Cricket Club, Vejledalen | T20 | 1 | 15 | 33 | — | 45.5 | 0.0 | 75.8 | LOW |
By country
Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.
| Unknown | T20 | 17 | 171 | 262 | 19.0 | 65.3 | 3.1 | 53.8 | MEDIUM |
By match phase
Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.
| middle | T20 | 8 | 56 | 103 | 28.0 | 54.4 | 1.0 | 55.3 | LOW |
| powerplay | T20 | 9 | 69 | 94 | 13.8 | 73.4 | 7.4 | 57.4 | LOW |
| death | T20 | 8 | 46 | 65 | 23.0 | 70.8 | 0.0 | 46.2 | LOW |
Against pace and spin
Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.
| PACE | T20 | 15 | 83 | 141 | 13.8 | 58.9 | 1.4 | 57.4 | MEDIUM |
| UNKNOWN | T20 | 9 | 61 | 75 | 30.5 | 81.3 | 6.7 | 48.0 | LOW |
| SPIN | T20 | 9 | 27 | 46 | 27.0 | 58.7 | 2.2 | 52.2 | LOW |
How these splits are used
The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.