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ML Kostic betting stats, splits & projections

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT201313614213.695.812.050.7MEDIUM
overallT2071151312.850.3LOW

Why we like it

Splits where ML Kostic scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

No split stands out from their own format baseline by enough to call it an edge.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Phase: middle (T20)LOW sample

    61 runs off 80 balls in 9 T20 matches — strike rate 76.3 vs 95.8 overall, average 20.3 vs 13.6 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

LuxembourgT202543154.0174.229.041.9LOW
RomaniaT201243124.077.49.761.3LOW

Bowling

BulgariaT2071151312.850.3LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Koge Cricket ClubT203385419.070.45.651.9LOW
Scott Page Field, VinorT202543154.0174.229.041.9LOW

Bowling

National Sports Academy, SofiaT2059128213.064.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownT201313614213.695.812.050.7MEDIUM

Bowling

UnknownT2071151312.850.3LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

middleT209618020.376.35.047.5LOW
deathT207514210.2121.419.052.4LOW

Bowling

middleT2071151312.850.3LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACET2012878410.9103.615.554.8LOW
SPINT206364336.083.77.044.2LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.