MPGT Ketiyage betting stats, splits & projections
Bowler
Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.
Record by format
Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.
| overall | T20 | 28 | 621 | 497 | 25.9 | 124.9 | 15.7 | 43.3 | HIGH |
| overall | T20 | 316 | 399 | 15 | 7.6 | 26.6 | MEDIUM |
Why we like it
Splits where MPGT Ketiyage scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.
- Bowling type: PACE (T20)MEDIUM sample
337 runs off 275 balls in 24 T20 matches — strike rate 122.5 vs 124.9 overall, average 42.1 vs 25.9 overall.
- Bowling type: UNKNOWN (T20)MEDIUM sample
182 runs off 132 balls in 15 T20 matches — strike rate 137.9 vs 124.9 overall, average 26.0 vs 25.9 overall.
- Opposition: Croatia (T20)LOW sample
166 runs off 107 balls in 5 T20 matches — strike rate 155.1 vs 124.9 overall, average 33.2 vs 25.9 overall.
- Opposition: Estonia (T20)LOW sample
122 runs off 86 balls in 5 T20 matches — strike rate 141.9 vs 124.9 overall, average 30.5 vs 25.9 overall.
- Venue: Mladost Cricket Ground, Zagreb (T20)LOW sample
152 runs off 99 balls in 4 T20 matches — strike rate 153.5 vs 124.9 overall, average 38.0 vs 25.9 overall.
- Phase: death (T20)LOW sample
137 runs off 83 balls in 8 T20 matches — strike rate 165.1 vs 124.9 overall, average 27.4 vs 25.9 overall.
Risks
Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.
- Venue: Happy Valley Ground 2 (T20)MEDIUM sample
150 runs off 132 balls in 8 T20 matches — strike rate 113.6 vs 124.9 overall, average 25.0 vs 25.9 overall.
- Opposition: Finland (T20)LOW sample
73 runs off 64 balls in 4 T20 matches — strike rate 114.1 vs 124.9 overall, average 24.3 vs 25.9 overall.
- Bowling type: SPIN (T20)LOW sample
102 runs off 90 balls in 16 T20 matches — strike rate 113.3 vs 124.9 overall, average 11.3 vs 25.9 overall.
- Phase: powerplay (T20)LOW sample
107 runs off 106 balls in 11 T20 matches — strike rate 100.9 vs 124.9 overall, average 35.7 vs 25.9 overall.
Against each opponent
Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.
| Croatia | T20 | 5 | 166 | 107 | 33.2 | 155.1 | 23.4 | 43.9 | LOW |
| Estonia | T20 | 5 | 122 | 86 | 30.5 | 141.9 | 17.4 | 33.7 | LOW |
| Serbia | T20 | 2 | 96 | 75 | 48.0 | 128.0 | 18.7 | 45.3 | LOW |
| Finland | T20 | 4 | 73 | 64 | 24.3 | 114.1 | 12.5 | 35.9 | LOW |
| Austria | T20 | 2 | 48 | 54 | 24.0 | 88.9 | 7.4 | 46.3 | LOW |
| Bulgaria | T20 | 3 | 39 | 31 | 19.5 | 125.8 | 12.9 | 45.2 | LOW |
Bowling
| Estonia | T20 | 120 | 182 | 2 | 9.1 | 91.0 | LOW |
| Bulgaria | T20 | 36 | 37 | 4 | 6.2 | 9.3 | LOW |
By venue
Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.
| Happy Valley Ground | T20 | 12 | 287 | 225 | 28.7 | 127.6 | 15.6 | 37.8 | MEDIUM |
| Happy Valley Ground 2 | T20 | 8 | 150 | 132 | 25.0 | 113.6 | 12.9 | 47.7 | MEDIUM |
| Mladost Cricket Ground, Zagreb | T20 | 4 | 152 | 99 | 38.0 | 153.5 | 23.2 | 44.4 | LOW |
| Guernsey Rovers Athletic Club Ground, Port Soif | T20 | 2 | 29 | 32 | 14.5 | 90.6 | 9.4 | 53.1 | LOW |
Bowling
| Happy Valley Ground | T20 | 150 | 226 | 3 | 9.0 | 75.3 | MEDIUM |
| Happy Valley Ground 2 | T20 | 60 | 72 | 6 | 7.2 | 12.0 | LOW |
| King George V Sports Ground, Castel | T20 | 58 | 71 | 3 | 7.3 | 23.7 | LOW |
| Guernsey Rovers Athletic Club Ground, Port Soif | T20 | 48 | 30 | 3 | 3.8 | 10.0 | LOW |
By country
Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.
| Unknown | T20 | 28 | 621 | 497 | 25.9 | 124.9 | 15.7 | 43.3 | HIGH |
Bowling
| Unknown | T20 | 316 | 399 | 15 | 7.6 | 26.6 | MEDIUM |
By match phase
Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.
| middle | T20 | 23 | 377 | 308 | 23.6 | 122.4 | 15.3 | 43.2 | HIGH |
| powerplay | T20 | 11 | 107 | 106 | 35.7 | 100.9 | 13.2 | 53.8 | LOW |
| death | T20 | 8 | 137 | 83 | 27.4 | 165.1 | 20.5 | 30.1 | LOW |
Bowling
| powerplay | T20 | 168 | 185 | 7 | 6.6 | 26.4 | MEDIUM |
| death | T20 | 88 | 143 | 7 | 9.8 | 20.4 | LOW |
| middle | T20 | 60 | 71 | 1 | 7.1 | 71.0 | LOW |
Against pace and spin
Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.
| PACE | T20 | 24 | 337 | 275 | 42.1 | 122.5 | 16.0 | 44.4 | MEDIUM |
| UNKNOWN | T20 | 15 | 182 | 132 | 26.0 | 137.9 | 17.4 | 38.6 | MEDIUM |
| SPIN | T20 | 16 | 102 | 90 | 11.3 | 113.3 | 12.2 | 46.7 | LOW |
How these splits are used
The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.