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MR Adair betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallTEST738254634.770.010.468.7HIGH
overallT205069551018.3136.316.936.5HIGH
overallODI2530126221.5114.914.545.0MEDIUM
overallODI17281586515.531.1HIGH
overallT2016732228968.023.2HIGH
overallTEST1115686203.734.3HIGH

Why we like it

Splits where MR Adair scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Phase: death (T20)HIGH sample

    493 runs off 330 balls in 40 T20 matches — strike rate 149.4 vs 136.3 overall, average 17.6 vs 18.3 overall.

  • Opposition: England (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    113 runs off 132 balls in 2 TEST matches — strike rate 85.6 vs 70.0 overall, average 28.3 vs 34.7 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    202 runs off 142 balls in 19 ODI matches — strike rate 142.3 vs 114.9 overall, average 22.4 vs 21.5 overall.

  • Phase: death (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    199 runs off 141 balls in 18 ODI matches — strike rate 141.1 vs 114.9 overall, average 28.4 vs 21.5 overall.

  • Opposition: New Zealand (T20)LOW sample

    93 runs off 61 balls in 4 T20 matches — strike rate 152.5 vs 136.3 overall, average 31.0 vs 18.3 overall.

  • Venue: Queens Sports Club, Bulawayo (TEST)LOW sample

    93 runs off 114 balls in 1 TEST match — strike rate 81.6 vs 70.0 overall, average 46.5 vs 34.7 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (T20)MEDIUM sample

    205 runs off 168 balls in 31 T20 matches — strike rate 122.0 vs 136.3 overall, average 15.8 vs 18.3 overall.

  • Phase: middle (T20)MEDIUM sample

    202 runs off 180 balls in 23 T20 matches — strike rate 112.2 vs 136.3 overall, average 20.2 vs 18.3 overall.

  • Phase: middle (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    102 runs off 120 balls in 10 ODI matches — strike rate 85.0 vs 114.9 overall, average 14.6 vs 21.5 overall.

  • Opposition: Bangladesh (TEST)LOW sample

    45 runs off 101 balls in 1 TEST match — strike rate 44.6 vs 70.0 overall, average 22.5 vs 34.7 overall.

  • Opposition: South Africa (ODI)LOW sample

    73 runs off 88 balls in 6 ODI matches — strike rate 83.0 vs 114.9 overall, average 18.3 vs 21.5 overall.

  • Opposition: Zimbabwe (ODI)LOW sample

    69 runs off 70 balls in 6 ODI matches — strike rate 98.6 vs 114.9 overall, average 34.5 vs 21.5 overall.

Current projections

Namibia v Ireland
ODI
7.5 runs
median 0 · 90th percentile 26 · plays 74% · 14 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

ZimbabweTEST211715639.075.011.566.7MEDIUM
EnglandTEST211313228.385.612.962.9MEDIUM
New ZealandTEST18412684.066.79.567.5MEDIUM
BangladeshTEST14510122.544.66.981.2LOW
South AfricaODI6738818.383.09.154.5LOW
ZimbabweODI6697034.598.610.041.4LOW
New ZealandT204936131.0152.523.041.0LOW
ZimbabweT205515010.2102.010.046.0LOW
United Arab EmiratesT204674633.5145.715.226.1LOW
IndiaT204654421.7147.720.538.6LOW
ScotlandT201723672.0200.027.827.8LOW
NetherlandsT202683268.0212.537.531.3LOW
BangladeshODI4533117.7171.022.625.8LOW
Abu Dhabi Knight RidersT202343134.0109.79.732.3LOW
Sri LankaTEST1233123.074.29.767.7LOW

Bowling

ZimbabweODI482369134.628.4HIGH
ZimbabweTEST42019472.827.7HIGH
BangladeshODI30230296.033.6MEDIUM
EnglandTEST29023764.939.5MEDIUM
South AfricaODI27930086.537.5MEDIUM
ZimbabweT20150186107.418.6MEDIUM
West IndiesODI14911834.839.3LOW
Sri LankaTEST1479513.995.0LOW
BangladeshTEST1389434.131.3LOW
BangladeshT2012219299.421.3LOW
New ZealandTEST1206633.322.0LOW
United Arab EmiratesT2010213738.145.7LOW
Desert VipersT20969946.224.8LOW
PakistanT209513568.522.5LOW
South AfricaT209415569.925.8LOW
ItalyT209111787.714.6LOW
EnglandODI9011117.4111.0LOW
IndiaT209012958.625.8LOW
New ZealandT209013839.246.0LOW
United Arab EmiratesODI788006.2—LOW
New ZealandODI727246.018.0LOW
ScotlandT20727956.615.8LOW
Dubai CapitalsT20689838.632.7LOW
Sharjah WarriorzT20667056.414.0LOW
MI EmiratesT20638428.042.0LOW
ScotlandODI605735.719.0LOW
Abu Dhabi Knight RidersT20608338.327.7LOW
Sri LankaODI594644.711.5LOW
OmanT20567848.419.5LOW
OmanODI554725.123.5LOW
NepalODI544725.223.5LOW
United States of AmericaODI483724.618.5LOW
AustraliaT2048103212.951.5LOW
NetherlandsT20485546.913.8LOW
West IndiesT20487819.878.0LOW
Sri LankaT20364918.249.0LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Civil Service Cricket Club, Stormont, BelfastTEST210816854.064.39.569.0MEDIUM
Queens Sports Club, BulawayoTEST19311446.581.612.364.0LOW
Lord's, LondonTEST110210851.094.414.859.3LOW
Shere Bangla National Stadium, MirpurTEST14510122.544.66.981.2LOW
Dubai International Cricket StadiumT209967224.0133.313.929.2LOW
Zayed Cricket Stadium, Abu DhabiODI3416313.765.16.361.9LOW
Harare Sports ClubODI4615961.0103.411.944.1LOW
Civil Service Cricket Club, Stormont, BelfastT203895644.5158.925.042.9LOW
The Village, Malahide, DublinODI5594229.5140.521.445.2LOW
Harare Sports ClubT204424010.5105.010.045.0LOW
Al Amerat Cricket Ground Oman Cricket (Ministry Turf 1)T204403613.3111.111.133.3LOW
Grange Cricket Club Ground, Raeburn Place, EdinburghT201723672.0200.027.827.8LOW
Sportpark Westvliet, The HagueT202683268.0212.537.531.3LOW
Malahide, DublinT202393119.5125.816.145.2LOW
Galle International StadiumTEST1233123.074.29.767.7LOW

Bowling

Harare Sports ClubODI392296124.524.7HIGH
Civil Service Cricket Club, Stormont, BelfastTEST31815773.022.4MEDIUM
Dubai International Cricket StadiumT20264310127.025.8MEDIUM
Queens Sports Club, BulawayoTEST22210332.834.3MEDIUM
The Village, Malahide, DublinODI17718966.431.5MEDIUM
Zayed Cricket Stadium, Abu DhabiODI17418366.330.5MEDIUM
Lord'sTEST1669863.516.3MEDIUM
County Ground, ChelmsfordODI16413675.019.4MEDIUM
Sabina Park, Kingston, JamaicaODI14911834.839.3LOW
Galle International StadiumTEST1479513.995.0LOW
Sylhet International Cricket StadiumODI13816627.283.0LOW
Shere Bangla National Stadium, MirpurTEST1389434.131.3LOW
Harare Sports ClubT2012614787.018.4LOW
Lord's, LondonTEST12413906.7—LOW
Al Amerat Cricket Ground Oman Cricket (Ministry Turf 1)T2012215677.722.3LOW
Queens Sports Club, BulawayoODI11910375.214.7LOW
Zayed Cricket Stadium, Abu DhabiT2011514197.415.7LOW
Takashinga Sports Club, Highfield, HarareODI1028444.921.0LOW
Civil Service Cricket Club, Stormont, BelfastODI907314.973.0LOW
Bulawayo Athletic ClubODI857925.639.5LOW
Bellerive Oval, HobartT208410437.434.7LOW
Sportpark Westvliet, The HagueT20729177.613.0LOW
Castle Avenue, DublinT207111159.422.2LOW
Grange Cricket Club Ground, Raeburn Place, EdinburghT20705584.76.9LOW
Zahur Ahmed Chowdhury Stadium, ChattogramT2068125511.025.0LOW
7he Sevens Stadium, DubaiT20678457.516.8LOW
Civil Service Cricket Club, Stormont, BelfastT20669929.049.5LOW
Trent Bridge, NottinghamODI606316.363.0LOW
Bir Sreshtho Flight Lieutenant Matiur Rahman Stadium, ChattogramT20546747.416.8LOW
Sheikh Zayed StadiumODI484806.0—LOW
County Ground, BristolT204893111.693.0LOW
Goldenacre, EdinburghT20485046.312.5LOW
Nassau County International Cricket Stadium, New YorkT20485026.325.0LOW
R Premadasa Stadium, ColomboT20487739.625.7LOW
Sharjah Cricket StadiumT20486438.021.3LOW
Al Amerat Cricket Ground Oman Cricket (Ministry Turf 2)T20424216.042.0LOW
The Village, Malahide, DublinT20365639.318.7LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownTEST738254634.770.010.468.7HIGH
UnknownT204665347019.2138.917.435.7HIGH
UnknownODI2124020318.5118.215.345.3MEDIUM
ZimbabweODI4615961.0103.411.944.1LOW
ZimbabweT204424010.5105.010.045.0LOW

Bowling

UnknownT2014992017858.123.7HIGH
UnknownODI12881242395.831.8HIGH
UnknownTEST1115686203.734.3HIGH
ZimbabweODI392296124.524.7HIGH
ZimbabweT2012614787.018.4LOW
United Arab EmiratesODI484806.0—LOW
United Arab EmiratesT20486438.021.3LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballTEST736851436.871.610.968.7HIGH
deathT204049333017.6149.418.533.0HIGH
middleT202320218020.2112.213.942.8MEDIUM
deathODI1819914128.4141.117.035.5MEDIUM
middleODI1010212014.685.011.755.8MEDIUM
new_ballTEST3143214.043.83.168.8LOW

Bowling

powerplayT209301026396.626.3HIGH
powerplayODI876691174.740.6HIGH
old_ballTEST727463133.835.6HIGH
deathT205519294910.119.0HIGH
middleODI48640585.050.6HIGH
new_ballTEST38822373.431.9HIGH
deathODI366490268.018.8HIGH
middleT2019227388.534.1MEDIUM

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACETEST626737438.171.410.767.6HIGH
PACET204446232518.5142.218.236.6HIGH
SPINTEST511517228.866.99.970.9MEDIUM
SPINT203120516815.8122.014.338.1MEDIUM
PACEODI1920214222.4142.318.336.6MEDIUM
SPINODI17749914.874.710.160.6LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.