MR Machado betting stats, splits & projections
Batter
Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.
Record by format
Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.
| overall | T20 | 18 | 199 | 213 | 16.6 | 93.4 | 8.5 | 46.9 | MEDIUM |
Why we like it
Splits where MR Machado scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.
- Opposition: Nigeria (T20)LOW sample
78 runs off 75 balls in 3 T20 matches — strike rate 104.0 vs 93.4 overall, average 78.0 vs 16.6 overall.
Risks
Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.
- Phase: middle (T20)MEDIUM sample
123 runs off 152 balls in 14 T20 matches — strike rate 80.9 vs 93.4 overall, average 17.6 vs 16.6 overall.
Against each opponent
Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.
| Nigeria | T20 | 3 | 78 | 75 | 78.0 | 104.0 | 8.0 | 37.3 | LOW |
| Lesotho | T20 | 1 | 69 | 38 | — | 181.6 | 18.4 | 18.4 | LOW |
| Argentina | T20 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 4.0 | 24.2 | 0.0 | 75.8 | LOW |
By venue
Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.
| Gahanga B Ground, Rwanda | T20 | 4 | 72 | 54 | 36.0 | 133.3 | 14.8 | 24.1 | LOW |
| Gahanga International Cricket Stadium. Rwanda | T20 | 3 | 36 | 49 | 18.0 | 73.5 | 4.1 | 53.1 | LOW |
| St Albans Club, Buenos Aires | T20 | 4 | 10 | 48 | 3.3 | 20.8 | 0.0 | 77.1 | LOW |
| Botswana Cricket Association Oval 2, Gaborone | T20 | 2 | 70 | 39 | — | 179.5 | 17.9 | 17.9 | LOW |
By country
Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.
| Unknown | T20 | 18 | 199 | 213 | 16.6 | 93.4 | 8.5 | 46.9 | MEDIUM |
By match phase
Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.
| middle | T20 | 14 | 123 | 152 | 17.6 | 80.9 | 7.9 | 55.3 | MEDIUM |
| death | T20 | 8 | 70 | 48 | 23.3 | 145.8 | 12.5 | 18.8 | LOW |
Against pace and spin
Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.
| PACE | T20 | 10 | 78 | 84 | 78.0 | 92.9 | 8.3 | 44.0 | LOW |
| SPIN | T20 | 14 | 76 | 83 | 9.5 | 91.6 | 8.4 | 51.8 | LOW |
| UNKNOWN | T20 | 7 | 45 | 46 | 15.0 | 97.8 | 8.7 | 43.5 | LOW |
How these splits are used
The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.