MRJ Watt betting stats, splits & projections
All-rounder
Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.
Record by format
Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.
| overall | ODI | 32 | 479 | 590 | 21.8 | 81.2 | 8.1 | 49.2 | HIGH |
| overall | FIRST_CLASS | 14 | 258 | 436 | 16.1 | 59.2 | 8.3 | 69.7 | HIGH |
| overall | T20 | 33 | 296 | 269 | 12.3 | 110.0 | 11.9 | 37.2 | MEDIUM |
| overall | LIST_A | 9 | 75 | 93 | 10.7 | 80.6 | 6.5 | 52.7 | LOW |
| overall | FIRST_CLASS | 3024 | 1630 | 48 | 3.2 | 34.0 | HIGH |
| overall | ODI | 2420 | 1649 | 67 | 4.1 | 24.6 | HIGH |
| overall | T20 | 1477 | 1970 | 61 | 8.0 | 32.3 | HIGH |
| overall | LIST_A | 861 | 835 | 12 | 5.8 | 69.6 | HIGH |
Why we like it
Splits where MRJ Watt scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.
- Phase: death (ODI)HIGH sample
348 runs off 341 balls in 23 ODI matches — strike rate 102.1 vs 81.2 overall, average 23.2 vs 21.8 overall.
- Opposition: Sussex (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
110 runs off 132 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 83.3 vs 59.2 overall, not yet dismissed vs 16.1 overall.
- Venue: County Ground, Hove (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
110 runs off 132 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 83.3 vs 59.2 overall, not yet dismissed vs 16.1 overall.
- Bowling type: SPIN (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
148 runs off 198 balls in 12 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 74.7 vs 59.2 overall, average 24.7 vs 16.1 overall.
- Phase: death (T20)MEDIUM sample
222 runs off 169 balls in 24 T20 matches — strike rate 131.4 vs 110.0 overall, average 14.8 vs 12.3 overall.
- Opposition: United Arab Emirates (ODI)LOW sample
97 runs off 92 balls in 5 ODI matches — strike rate 105.4 vs 81.2 overall, average 32.3 vs 21.8 overall.
Risks
Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.
- Opposition: Nepal (ODI)MEDIUM sample
83 runs off 139 balls in 5 ODI matches — strike rate 59.7 vs 81.2 overall, average 16.6 vs 21.8 overall.
- Bowling type: PACE (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
110 runs off 238 balls in 14 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 46.2 vs 59.2 overall, average 11.0 vs 16.1 overall.
- Phase: middle (ODI)MEDIUM sample
131 runs off 249 balls in 21 ODI matches — strike rate 52.6 vs 81.2 overall, average 18.7 vs 21.8 overall.
- Opposition: Durham (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample
54 runs off 110 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 49.1 vs 59.2 overall, average 6.8 vs 16.1 overall.
- Opposition: Yorkshire (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample
44 runs off 88 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 50.0 vs 59.2 overall, average 11.0 vs 16.1 overall.
- Venue: Queen's Park, Chesterfield (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample
46 runs off 116 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 39.7 vs 59.2 overall, average 7.7 vs 16.1 overall.
Against each opponent
Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.
| Nepal | ODI | 5 | 83 | 139 | 16.6 | 59.7 | 4.3 | 61.2 | MEDIUM |
| Sussex | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 110 | 132 | — | 83.3 | 10.6 | 51.5 | MEDIUM |
| Durham | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 54 | 110 | 6.8 | 49.1 | 7.3 | 76.4 | LOW |
| United Arab Emirates | ODI | 5 | 97 | 92 | 32.3 | 105.4 | 10.9 | 39.1 | LOW |
| Yorkshire | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 44 | 88 | 11.0 | 50.0 | 9.1 | 79.5 | LOW |
| Oman | ODI | 3 | 67 | 67 | 33.5 | 100.0 | 7.5 | 37.3 | LOW |
| Gloucestershire | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 38 | 58 | 19.0 | 65.5 | 10.3 | 69.0 | LOW |
| Namibia | ODI | 6 | 43 | 58 | 14.3 | 74.1 | 6.9 | 48.3 | LOW |
| Canada | ODI | 2 | 30 | 57 | 15.0 | 52.6 | 5.3 | 61.4 | LOW |
| Jersey | T20 | 2 | 59 | 46 | 59.0 | 128.3 | 15.2 | 32.6 | LOW |
| Ireland | ODI | 1 | 47 | 43 | 47.0 | 109.3 | 16.3 | 44.2 | LOW |
| Netherlands | T20 | 5 | 39 | 41 | 9.8 | 95.1 | 12.2 | 48.8 | LOW |
| Netherlands | ODI | 4 | 25 | 40 | 8.3 | 62.5 | 5.0 | 57.5 | LOW |
| Australia | T20 | 3 | 38 | 33 | 12.7 | 115.2 | 9.1 | 30.3 | LOW |
Bowling
| Sussex | FIRST_CLASS | 566 | 340 | 6 | 3.6 | 56.7 | HIGH |
| Gloucestershire | FIRST_CLASS | 540 | 280 | 4 | 3.1 | 70.0 | HIGH |
| Yorkshire | FIRST_CLASS | 522 | 314 | 18 | 3.6 | 17.4 | HIGH |
| Leicestershire | FIRST_CLASS | 496 | 266 | 8 | 3.2 | 33.3 | HIGH |
| Middlesex | FIRST_CLASS | 468 | 182 | 8 | 2.3 | 22.8 | HIGH |
| Durham | FIRST_CLASS | 432 | 248 | 4 | 3.4 | 62.0 | HIGH |
| United Arab Emirates | ODI | 401 | 226 | 15 | 3.4 | 15.1 | HIGH |
| Namibia | ODI | 376 | 282 | 13 | 4.5 | 21.7 | HIGH |
| Nepal | ODI | 340 | 204 | 14 | 3.6 | 14.6 | MEDIUM |
| Oman | ODI | 270 | 158 | 6 | 3.5 | 26.3 | MEDIUM |
| Netherlands | ODI | 264 | 218 | 4 | 5.0 | 54.5 | MEDIUM |
| United States of America | ODI | 202 | 151 | 5 | 4.5 | 30.2 | MEDIUM |
| Papua New Guinea | ODI | 186 | 92 | 2 | 3.0 | 46.0 | MEDIUM |
| Northamptonshire | LIST_A | 144 | 128 | 1 | 5.3 | 128.0 | LOW |
| Warwickshire | LIST_A | 120 | 82 | 3 | 4.1 | 27.3 | LOW |
| Birmingham Bears | T20 | 120 | 174 | 2 | 8.7 | 87.0 | LOW |
| Netherlands | T20 | 113 | 139 | 7 | 7.4 | 19.9 | LOW |
| Canada | ODI | 111 | 96 | 1 | 5.2 | 96.0 | LOW |
| Lancashire | LIST_A | 108 | 83 | 2 | 4.6 | 41.5 | LOW |
| Nottinghamshire | T20 | 108 | 204 | 3 | 11.3 | 68.0 | LOW |
| Northamptonshire | T20 | 90 | 124 | 1 | 8.3 | 124.0 | LOW |
| Worcestershire | LIST_A | 86 | 128 | 1 | 8.9 | 128.0 | LOW |
| Australia | T20 | 78 | 129 | 4 | 9.9 | 32.3 | LOW |
| Ireland | T20 | 72 | 111 | 1 | 9.3 | 111.0 | LOW |
| Lancashire | T20 | 72 | 104 | 1 | 8.7 | 104.0 | LOW |
| Leicestershire | T20 | 72 | 81 | 3 | 6.8 | 27.0 | LOW |
| Namibia | T20 | 72 | 86 | 3 | 7.2 | 28.7 | LOW |
| Yorkshire | T20 | 72 | 78 | 8 | 6.5 | 9.8 | LOW |
| Nepal | T20 | 66 | 77 | 2 | 7.0 | 38.5 | LOW |
| Somerset | LIST_A | 60 | 69 | 0 | 6.9 | — | LOW |
| Ireland | ODI | 60 | 52 | 1 | 5.2 | 52.0 | LOW |
| Sri Lanka | ODI | 60 | 52 | 3 | 5.2 | 17.3 | LOW |
| Essex | LIST_A | 56 | 50 | 2 | 5.4 | 25.0 | LOW |
| Gloucestershire | LIST_A | 54 | 77 | 0 | 8.6 | — | LOW |
| Nottinghamshire | LIST_A | 54 | 59 | 0 | 6.6 | — | LOW |
| New Zealand | ODI | 54 | 57 | 0 | 6.3 | — | LOW |
| Zimbabwe | ODI | 54 | 36 | 1 | 4.0 | 36.0 | LOW |
| Italy | T20 | 54 | 55 | 3 | 6.1 | 18.3 | LOW |
| Durham | LIST_A | 48 | 62 | 2 | 7.8 | 31.0 | LOW |
| Durham | T20 | 48 | 72 | 0 | 9.0 | — | LOW |
| Jersey | T20 | 48 | 43 | 6 | 5.4 | 7.2 | LOW |
| West Indies | T20 | 48 | 50 | 3 | 6.3 | 16.7 | LOW |
| Worcestershire | T20 | 48 | 58 | 4 | 7.3 | 14.5 | LOW |
| Yorkshire | LIST_A | 47 | 20 | 0 | 2.6 | — | LOW |
| Leicestershire | LIST_A | 42 | 39 | 1 | 5.6 | 39.0 | LOW |
| Sussex | LIST_A | 42 | 38 | 0 | 5.4 | — | LOW |
| West Indies | ODI | 42 | 25 | 2 | 3.6 | 12.5 | LOW |
| New Zealand | T20 | 42 | 69 | 1 | 9.9 | 69.0 | LOW |
| United Arab Emirates | T20 | 38 | 26 | 3 | 4.1 | 8.7 | LOW |
By venue
Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.
| County Ground, Hove | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 110 | 132 | — | 83.3 | 10.6 | 51.5 | MEDIUM |
| Queen's Park, Chesterfield | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 46 | 116 | 7.7 | 39.7 | 6.9 | 82.8 | LOW |
| Dubai International Cricket Stadium | ODI | 4 | 72 | 104 | 24.0 | 69.2 | 4.8 | 51.0 | LOW |
| Riverside Ground, Chester-le-Street | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 52 | 88 | 13.0 | 59.1 | 9.1 | 75.0 | LOW |
| Grange Cricket Club Ground, Raeburn Place, Edinburgh | T20 | 7 | 99 | 78 | 19.8 | 126.9 | 12.8 | 26.9 | LOW |
| Queens Sports Club, Bulawayo | ODI | 4 | 82 | 76 | 27.3 | 107.9 | 15.8 | 42.1 | LOW |
| Titwood, Glasgow | ODI | 2 | 28 | 60 | 28.0 | 46.7 | 6.7 | 75.0 | LOW |
| Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, Kirtipur | ODI | 3 | 38 | 60 | 12.7 | 63.3 | 1.7 | 45.0 | LOW |
| County Ground, Bristol | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 38 | 58 | 19.0 | 65.5 | 10.3 | 69.0 | LOW |
| Bulawayo Athletic Club | ODI | 2 | 69 | 51 | 69.0 | 135.3 | 17.6 | 29.4 | LOW |
| Mannofield Park, Aberdeen | ODI | 3 | 42 | 49 | 14.0 | 85.7 | 6.1 | 42.9 | LOW |
| VRA Ground, Amstelveen | ODI | 3 | 24 | 45 | 12.0 | 53.3 | 2.2 | 62.2 | LOW |
| Grand Prairie Stadium, Dallas | ODI | 2 | 39 | 42 | 39.0 | 92.9 | 9.5 | 54.8 | LOW |
| County Ground, Derby | LIST_A | 4 | 24 | 32 | 8.0 | 75.0 | 6.3 | 56.3 | LOW |
Bowling
| Queen's Park, Chesterfield | FIRST_CLASS | 990 | 496 | 26 | 3.0 | 19.1 | HIGH |
| County Ground, Hove | FIRST_CLASS | 566 | 340 | 6 | 3.6 | 56.7 | HIGH |
| County Ground, Bristol | FIRST_CLASS | 540 | 280 | 4 | 3.1 | 70.0 | HIGH |
| County Ground, Derby | FIRST_CLASS | 442 | 182 | 10 | 2.5 | 18.2 | HIGH |
| Dubai International Cricket Stadium | ODI | 351 | 237 | 6 | 4.1 | 39.5 | MEDIUM |
| Grace Road, Leicester | FIRST_CLASS | 330 | 196 | 2 | 3.6 | 98.0 | MEDIUM |
| County Ground, Derby | LIST_A | 326 | 345 | 3 | 6.3 | 115.0 | MEDIUM |
| Mannofield Park, Aberdeen | ODI | 233 | 145 | 11 | 3.7 | 13.2 | MEDIUM |
| Queens Sports Club, Bulawayo | ODI | 228 | 203 | 6 | 5.3 | 33.8 | MEDIUM |
| Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, Kirtipur | ODI | 226 | 143 | 13 | 3.8 | 11.0 | MEDIUM |
| United Cricket Club Ground, Windhoek | ODI | 220 | 118 | 7 | 3.2 | 16.9 | MEDIUM |
| County Ground, Derby | T20 | 210 | 288 | 5 | 8.2 | 57.6 | MEDIUM |
| VRA Ground, Amstelveen | ODI | 180 | 137 | 4 | 4.6 | 34.3 | MEDIUM |
| Grange Cricket Club Ground, Raeburn Place, Edinburgh | T20 | 174 | 256 | 8 | 8.8 | 32.0 | MEDIUM |
| Riverside Ground, Chester-le-Street | FIRST_CLASS | 156 | 136 | 0 | 5.2 | — | MEDIUM |
| Forthill, Dundee | ODI | 132 | 98 | 4 | 4.5 | 24.5 | LOW |
| Grand Prairie Stadium, Dallas | ODI | 130 | 112 | 4 | 5.2 | 28.0 | LOW |
| Titwood, Glasgow | ODI | 126 | 92 | 4 | 4.4 | 23.0 | LOW |
| County Ground, Northampton | LIST_A | 120 | 109 | 1 | 5.5 | 109.0 | LOW |
| Al Amerat Cricket Ground Oman Cricket (Ministry Turf 2) | ODI | 120 | 48 | 1 | 2.4 | 48.0 | LOW |
| Sportpark Maarschalkerweerd, Utrecht | ODI | 114 | 63 | 1 | 3.3 | 63.0 | LOW |
| Old Trafford, Manchester | LIST_A | 108 | 83 | 2 | 4.6 | 41.5 | LOW |
| Bulawayo Athletic Club | ODI | 108 | 70 | 2 | 3.9 | 35.0 | LOW |
| Hazelaarweg, Rotterdam | ODI | 96 | 68 | 2 | 4.3 | 34.0 | LOW |
| Titwood, Glasgow | T20 | 90 | 101 | 4 | 6.7 | 25.3 | LOW |
| Bellerive Oval, Hobart | T20 | 72 | 70 | 5 | 5.8 | 14.0 | LOW |
| Edgbaston, Birmingham | T20 | 72 | 87 | 1 | 7.3 | 87.0 | LOW |
| Sharjah Cricket Stadium | T20 | 72 | 97 | 1 | 8.1 | 97.0 | LOW |
| Sportpark Westvliet, Voorburg | T20 | 72 | 79 | 3 | 6.6 | 26.3 | LOW |
| Sportpark Westvliet, The Hague | T20 | 71 | 74 | 5 | 6.3 | 14.8 | LOW |
| Eden Gardens, Kolkata | T20 | 66 | 105 | 2 | 9.5 | 52.5 | LOW |
| Edgbaston, Birmingham | LIST_A | 60 | 50 | 1 | 5.0 | 50.0 | LOW |
| Al Amerat Cricket Ground Oman Cricket (Ministry Turf 1) | ODI | 60 | 33 | 0 | 3.3 | — | LOW |
| County Ground, Chelmsford | LIST_A | 56 | 50 | 2 | 5.4 | 25.0 | LOW |
| College Ground, Cheltenham | LIST_A | 54 | 77 | 0 | 8.6 | — | LOW |
| Grange Cricket Club Ground, Raeburn Place, Edinburgh | ODI | 54 | 57 | 0 | 6.3 | — | LOW |
| Riverside Ground, Chester-le-Street | LIST_A | 48 | 62 | 2 | 7.8 | 31.0 | LOW |
| County Ground | T20 | 48 | 86 | 1 | 10.8 | 86.0 | LOW |
| Grace Road, Leicester | T20 | 48 | 49 | 2 | 6.1 | 24.5 | LOW |
| Namibia Cricket Ground, Windhoek | T20 | 48 | 47 | 3 | 5.9 | 15.7 | LOW |
| Queen's Park, Chesterfield | LIST_A | 47 | 20 | 0 | 2.6 | — | LOW |
| Grace Road, Leicester | LIST_A | 42 | 39 | 1 | 5.6 | 39.0 | LOW |
| Harare Sports Club | ODI | 42 | 25 | 2 | 3.6 | 12.5 | LOW |
| Dubai International Cricket Stadium | T20 | 38 | 26 | 3 | 4.1 | 8.7 | LOW |
| Trent Bridge, Nottingham | T20 | 36 | 91 | 1 | 15.2 | 91.0 | LOW |
By country
Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.
| Unknown | ODI | 32 | 479 | 590 | 21.8 | 81.2 | 8.1 | 49.2 | HIGH |
| Unknown | FIRST_CLASS | 14 | 258 | 436 | 16.1 | 59.2 | 8.3 | 69.7 | HIGH |
| Unknown | T20 | 29 | 268 | 234 | 12.8 | 114.5 | 12.4 | 35.5 | MEDIUM |
| Unknown | LIST_A | 9 | 75 | 93 | 10.7 | 80.6 | 6.5 | 52.7 | LOW |
Bowling
| Unknown | FIRST_CLASS | 3024 | 1630 | 48 | 3.2 | 34.0 | HIGH |
| Unknown | ODI | 2378 | 1624 | 65 | 4.1 | 25.0 | HIGH |
| Unknown | T20 | 1333 | 1741 | 59 | 7.8 | 29.5 | HIGH |
| Unknown | LIST_A | 861 | 835 | 12 | 5.8 | 69.6 | HIGH |
| United Arab Emirates | T20 | 72 | 97 | 1 | 8.1 | 97.0 | LOW |
| United Kingdom | T20 | 72 | 132 | 1 | 11.0 | 132.0 | LOW |
| Zimbabwe | ODI | 42 | 25 | 2 | 3.6 | 12.5 | LOW |
By match phase
Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.
| old_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 14 | 258 | 436 | 16.1 | 59.2 | 8.3 | 69.7 | HIGH |
| death | ODI | 23 | 348 | 341 | 23.2 | 102.1 | 10.0 | 35.8 | HIGH |
| middle | ODI | 21 | 131 | 249 | 18.7 | 52.6 | 5.6 | 67.5 | MEDIUM |
| death | T20 | 24 | 222 | 169 | 14.8 | 131.4 | 16.0 | 30.8 | MEDIUM |
| middle | T20 | 13 | 53 | 73 | 10.6 | 72.6 | 2.7 | 43.8 | LOW |
| death | LIST_A | 5 | 47 | 50 | 15.7 | 94.0 | 6.0 | 42.0 | LOW |
| middle | LIST_A | 5 | 28 | 43 | 7.0 | 65.1 | 7.0 | 65.1 | LOW |
Bowling
| old_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 2874 | 1530 | 42 | 3.2 | 36.4 | HIGH |
| middle | ODI | 1895 | 1247 | 50 | 3.9 | 24.9 | HIGH |
| middle | T20 | 791 | 1003 | 32 | 7.6 | 31.3 | HIGH |
| middle | LIST_A | 695 | 615 | 9 | 5.3 | 68.3 | HIGH |
| powerplay | T20 | 444 | 578 | 13 | 7.8 | 44.5 | HIGH |
| death | ODI | 303 | 295 | 6 | 5.8 | 49.2 | MEDIUM |
| death | T20 | 242 | 389 | 16 | 9.6 | 24.3 | MEDIUM |
| powerplay | ODI | 222 | 107 | 11 | 2.9 | 9.7 | MEDIUM |
| new_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 150 | 100 | 6 | 4.0 | 16.7 | MEDIUM |
| death | LIST_A | 118 | 158 | 3 | 8.0 | 52.7 | LOW |
| powerplay | LIST_A | 48 | 62 | 0 | 7.8 | — | LOW |
Against pace and spin
Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.
| PACE | ODI | 27 | 229 | 292 | 25.4 | 78.4 | 8.6 | 53.1 | MEDIUM |
| SPIN | ODI | 26 | 189 | 244 | 18.9 | 77.5 | 7.0 | 47.1 | MEDIUM |
| PACE | FIRST_CLASS | 14 | 110 | 238 | 11.0 | 46.2 | 6.7 | 76.5 | MEDIUM |
| SPIN | FIRST_CLASS | 12 | 148 | 198 | 24.7 | 74.7 | 10.1 | 61.6 | MEDIUM |
| PACE | T20 | 26 | 176 | 155 | 12.6 | 113.5 | 12.3 | 34.2 | MEDIUM |
| SPIN | T20 | 22 | 117 | 108 | 13.0 | 108.3 | 12.0 | 40.7 | LOW |
| UNKNOWN | ODI | 11 | 61 | 54 | 20.3 | 113.0 | 11.1 | 37.0 | LOW |
| PACE | LIST_A | 7 | 35 | 45 | 8.8 | 77.8 | 6.7 | 51.1 | LOW |
| SPIN | LIST_A | 5 | 37 | 41 | 18.5 | 90.2 | 7.3 | 51.2 | LOW |
How these splits are used
The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.