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MS Maker betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT201229621659.2137.015.332.4MEDIUM

Why we like it

Splits where MS Maker scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: Bahrain (T20)LOW sample

    97 runs off 63 balls in 2 T20 matches — strike rate 154.0 vs 137.0 overall, average 97.0 vs 59.2 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (T20)LOW sample

    168 runs off 114 balls in 11 T20 matches — strike rate 147.4 vs 137.0 overall, average 56.0 vs 59.2 overall.

  • Phase: death (T20)LOW sample

    152 runs off 85 balls in 9 T20 matches — strike rate 178.8 vs 137.0 overall, average 50.7 vs 59.2 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Phase: middle (T20)MEDIUM sample

    143 runs off 129 balls in 10 T20 matches — strike rate 110.9 vs 137.0 overall, average 71.5 vs 59.2 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

BahrainT202976397.0154.019.031.7LOW
EswatiniT2016542—154.821.428.6LOW
UgandaT2014532—140.612.525.0LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

TCA Oval, BlantyreT2041208860.0136.414.834.1LOW
Achimota Senior Secondary School B Field, AccraT2039457—164.921.124.6LOW
Takashinga Sports Club, Highfield, HarareT2025237—140.513.524.3LOW
Harare Sports ClubT203303410.088.28.850.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownT209266182133.0146.216.529.1MEDIUM
ZimbabweT203303410.088.28.850.0LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

middleT201014312971.5110.910.937.2MEDIUM
deathT2091528550.7178.822.424.7LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACET201116811456.0147.415.827.2LOW
SPINT2091037551.5137.317.336.0LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.