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MTMMJ Ave betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT202553449529.7107.913.145.5HIGH
overallFIRST_CLASS413436622.336.66.083.6HIGH
overallT20215243136.818.7MEDIUM

Why we like it

Splits where MTMMJ Ave scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Venue: Independence Park, Port Vila (T20)MEDIUM sample

    262 runs off 192 balls in 5 T20 matches — strike rate 136.5 vs 107.9 overall, average 87.3 vs 29.7 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (T20)MEDIUM sample

    217 runs off 197 balls in 20 T20 matches — strike rate 110.2 vs 107.9 overall, average 43.4 vs 29.7 overall.

  • Opposition: Fiji (T20)LOW sample

    133 runs off 101 balls in 4 T20 matches — strike rate 131.7 vs 107.9 overall, average 44.3 vs 29.7 overall.

  • Bowling type: UNKNOWN (T20)LOW sample

    125 runs off 89 balls in 10 T20 matches — strike rate 140.4 vs 107.9 overall, average 62.5 vs 29.7 overall.

  • Phase: new_ball (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample

    40 runs off 82 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 48.8 vs 36.6 overall, not yet dismissed vs 22.3 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Venue: Sano International Cricket Ground (T20)MEDIUM sample

    128 runs off 149 balls in 9 T20 matches — strike rate 85.9 vs 107.9 overall, average 16.0 vs 29.7 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (T20)MEDIUM sample

    192 runs off 209 balls in 21 T20 matches — strike rate 91.9 vs 107.9 overall, average 17.5 vs 29.7 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    20 runs off 126 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 15.9 vs 36.6 overall, average 10.0 vs 22.3 overall.

  • Phase: powerplay (T20)MEDIUM sample

    176 runs off 197 balls in 20 T20 matches — strike rate 89.3 vs 107.9 overall, average 19.6 vs 29.7 overall.

  • Opposition: Japan (T20)LOW sample

    45 runs off 70 balls in 4 T20 matches — strike rate 64.3 vs 107.9 overall, average 15.0 vs 29.7 overall.

  • Venue: Faleata Oval No 2, Apia (T20)LOW sample

    105 runs off 106 balls in 6 T20 matches — strike rate 99.1 vs 107.9 overall, average 35.0 vs 29.7 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

Auckland AcesFIRST_CLASS28625621.533.65.585.9MEDIUM
VanuatuT20514512648.3115.115.146.0MEDIUM
Wellington FirebirdsFIRST_CLASS24811024.043.67.378.2LOW
FijiT20413310144.3131.718.838.6LOW
SamoaT204969248.0104.310.942.4LOW
JapanT204457015.064.35.758.6LOW
IndonesiaT201563456.0164.720.629.4LOW

Bowling

JapanT20596266.310.3LOW
SamoaT20364918.249.0LOW
VanuatuT20364828.024.0LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Molyneux Park, AlexandraFIRST_CLASS28625621.533.65.585.9MEDIUM
Independence Park, Port VilaT20526219287.3136.518.838.0MEDIUM
Sano International Cricket GroundT20912814916.085.99.454.4MEDIUM
Basin Reserve, WellingtonFIRST_CLASS24811024.043.67.378.2LOW
Faleata Oval No 2, ApiaT20610510635.099.110.443.4LOW

Bowling

Sano International Cricket GroundT2011311776.216.7LOW
Independence Park, Port VilaT20849867.016.3LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownFIRST_CLASS413436622.336.66.083.6HIGH
UnknownT201640634640.6117.314.741.6HIGH
JapanT20912814916.085.99.454.4MEDIUM

Bowling

JapanT2011311776.216.7LOW
UnknownT2010212667.421.0LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS49428415.733.15.684.5MEDIUM
middleT201526324729.2106.59.738.1MEDIUM
powerplayT202017619719.689.314.260.4MEDIUM
new_ballFIRST_CLASS24082—48.87.380.5LOW
deathT2059551—186.325.523.5LOW

Bowling

middleT2015616986.521.1MEDIUM

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACEFIRST_CLASS49421623.543.56.579.6MEDIUM
SPINT202119220917.591.910.049.8MEDIUM
PACET202021719743.4110.214.747.2MEDIUM
SPINFIRST_CLASS22012610.015.93.293.7MEDIUM
UNKNOWNT20101258962.5140.416.931.5LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.