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Muhammed Manga betting stats, splits & projections

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT20814918721.379.76.452.4MEDIUM
overallT20819014.3—LOW

Why we like it

Splits where Muhammed Manga scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Bowling type: PACE (T20)LOW sample

    105 runs off 118 balls in 6 T20 matches — strike rate 89.0 vs 79.7 overall, average 52.5 vs 21.3 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Phase: middle (T20)LOW sample

    51 runs off 76 balls in 5 T20 matches — strike rate 67.1 vs 79.7 overall, average 17.0 vs 21.3 overall.

Current projections

Nigeria v Gambia
World T20 Qualifier
18.2 runs
median 13 · 90th percentile 44 · plays 87% · 24 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

CameroonT2015957—103.57.040.4LOW
Sierra LeoneT201314131.075.62.456.1LOW
EswatiniT201213321.063.69.160.6LOW
MozambiqueT202263013.086.710.050.0LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Integrated Polytechnic Regional CentreT20411213537.383.05.950.4MEDIUM

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownT20814918721.379.76.452.4MEDIUM

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

powerplayT208669022.073.36.754.4LOW
middleT205517617.067.13.955.3LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACET20610511852.589.08.550.0LOW
SPINT20739559.870.93.656.4LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.