MW Chu betting stats, splits & projections
Batter
Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.
Record by format
Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.
| overall | FIRST_CLASS | 92 | 4982 | 10562 | 36.6 | 47.2 | 6.2 | 76.5 | HIGH |
| overall | T20 | 38 | 705 | 491 | 22.0 | 143.6 | 18.1 | 28.1 | HIGH |
Why we like it
Splits where MW Chu scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.
- Opposition: Central Stags (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
1286 runs off 2162 balls in 18 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 59.5 vs 47.2 overall, average 42.9 vs 36.6 overall.
- Opposition: Auckland Aces (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
782 runs off 1700 balls in 16 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 46.0 vs 47.2 overall, average 48.9 vs 36.6 overall.
- Venue: University Oval, Dunedin (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
1300 runs off 2468 balls in 20 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 52.7 vs 47.2 overall, average 54.2 vs 36.6 overall.
- Venue: Molyneux Park, Alexandra (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
312 runs off 1070 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 29.2 vs 47.2 overall, average 78.0 vs 36.6 overall.
- Venue: Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
300 runs off 530 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 56.6 vs 47.2 overall, average 75.0 vs 36.6 overall.
- Venue: McLean Park, Napier (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
302 runs off 508 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 59.4 vs 47.2 overall, average 75.5 vs 36.6 overall.
Risks
Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.
- Opposition: Canterbury (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
1030 runs off 2762 balls in 20 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 37.3 vs 47.2 overall, average 30.3 vs 36.6 overall.
- Opposition: Wellington Firebirds (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
594 runs off 1136 balls in 18 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 52.3 vs 47.2 overall, average 24.8 vs 36.6 overall.
- Venue: Hagley Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
182 runs off 484 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 37.6 vs 47.2 overall, average 22.8 vs 36.6 overall.
- Venue: Kennards Hire Community Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
82 runs off 304 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 27.0 vs 47.2 overall, average 41.0 vs 36.6 overall.
- Phase: new_ball (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
400 runs off 848 balls in 50 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 47.2 vs 47.2 overall, average 22.2 vs 36.6 overall.
- Venue: McLean Park (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
136 runs off 288 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 47.2 vs 47.2 overall, average 22.7 vs 36.6 overall.
Against each opponent
Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.
| Northern Districts | FIRST_CLASS | 20 | 1290 | 2802 | 40.3 | 46.0 | 5.8 | 76.4 | HIGH |
| Canterbury | FIRST_CLASS | 20 | 1030 | 2762 | 30.3 | 37.3 | 5.3 | 82.3 | HIGH |
| Central Stags | FIRST_CLASS | 18 | 1286 | 2162 | 42.9 | 59.5 | 7.8 | 71.0 | HIGH |
| Auckland Aces | FIRST_CLASS | 16 | 782 | 1700 | 48.9 | 46.0 | 6.0 | 76.1 | HIGH |
| Wellington Firebirds | FIRST_CLASS | 18 | 594 | 1136 | 24.8 | 52.3 | 7.0 | 73.9 | HIGH |
| Canterbury | T20 | 7 | 196 | 126 | 32.7 | 155.6 | 15.9 | 18.3 | MEDIUM |
| Northern Districts | T20 | 8 | 175 | 110 | 35.0 | 159.1 | 19.1 | 20.9 | LOW |
| Central Districts | T20 | 7 | 106 | 90 | 15.1 | 117.8 | 15.6 | 35.6 | LOW |
| Wellington | T20 | 8 | 131 | 85 | 18.7 | 154.1 | 23.5 | 34.1 | LOW |
| Auckland | T20 | 8 | 97 | 80 | 13.9 | 121.2 | 17.5 | 38.8 | LOW |
By venue
Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.
| University Oval, Dunedin | FIRST_CLASS | 20 | 1300 | 2468 | 54.2 | 52.7 | 6.3 | 72.0 | HIGH |
| University of Otago Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 16 | 1006 | 1944 | 35.9 | 51.7 | 7.2 | 75.3 | HIGH |
| Molyneux Park, Alexandra | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 312 | 1070 | 78.0 | 29.2 | 3.9 | 85.6 | HIGH |
| Mainpower Oval, Rangiora | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 312 | 778 | 39.0 | 40.1 | 5.1 | 77.9 | HIGH |
| Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 300 | 530 | 75.0 | 56.6 | 7.9 | 72.5 | HIGH |
| McLean Park, Napier | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 302 | 508 | 75.5 | 59.4 | 7.1 | 70.1 | HIGH |
| Hagley Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 182 | 484 | 22.8 | 37.6 | 5.4 | 83.9 | HIGH |
| Seddon Park | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 160 | 376 | 40.0 | 42.6 | 4.8 | 78.7 | HIGH |
| Molyneux Park | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 184 | 366 | 46.0 | 50.3 | 6.6 | 74.9 | HIGH |
| Kennards Hire Community Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 82 | 304 | 41.0 | 27.0 | 2.6 | 82.2 | HIGH |
| McLean Park | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 136 | 288 | 22.7 | 47.2 | 7.6 | 81.3 | MEDIUM |
| Seddon Park, Hamilton | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 172 | 278 | 21.5 | 61.9 | 10.1 | 71.2 | MEDIUM |
| Basin Reserve, Wellington | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 116 | 232 | 11.6 | 50.0 | 6.9 | 75.9 | MEDIUM |
| Cello Basin Reserve | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 104 | 190 | 26.0 | 54.7 | 7.4 | 74.7 | MEDIUM |
| Mainpower Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 40 | 176 | 10.0 | 22.7 | 3.4 | 90.9 | MEDIUM |
| Saxton Oval, Nelson | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 86 | 156 | 21.5 | 55.1 | 10.3 | 80.8 | MEDIUM |
| Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 56 | 136 | 28.0 | 41.2 | 5.9 | 76.5 | MEDIUM |
| University Oval, Dunedin | T20 | 11 | 185 | 124 | 18.5 | 149.2 | 19.4 | 31.5 | MEDIUM |
| Molyneux Park, Alexandra | T20 | 7 | 185 | 122 | 30.8 | 151.6 | 16.4 | 21.3 | MEDIUM |
| Queen's Park, Invercargill | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 58 | 116 | — | 50.0 | 5.2 | 74.1 | LOW |
| Hagley Oval, Christchurch | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 38 | 102 | 19.0 | 37.3 | 5.9 | 82.4 | LOW |
| Fitzherbert Park | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 36 | 56 | 9.0 | 64.3 | 7.1 | 71.4 | LOW |
| McLean Park, Napier | T20 | 3 | 66 | 54 | 22.0 | 122.2 | 18.5 | 33.3 | LOW |
| Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui | T20 | 2 | 66 | 45 | 66.0 | 146.7 | 13.3 | 15.6 | LOW |
| Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland | T20 | 3 | 60 | 40 | 20.0 | 150.0 | 25.0 | 40.0 | LOW |
| Basin Reserve, Wellington | T20 | 3 | 54 | 32 | 18.0 | 168.8 | 28.1 | 31.3 | LOW |
By country
Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.
| Unknown | FIRST_CLASS | 88 | 4800 | 10078 | 37.5 | 47.6 | 6.3 | 76.2 | HIGH |
| New Zealand | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 182 | 484 | 22.8 | 37.6 | 5.4 | 83.9 | HIGH |
| Unknown | T20 | 37 | 697 | 479 | 21.8 | 145.5 | 18.4 | 27.6 | HIGH |
By match phase
Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.
| old_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 90 | 4582 | 9714 | 38.8 | 47.2 | 6.3 | 76.8 | HIGH |
| new_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 50 | 400 | 848 | 22.2 | 47.2 | 5.2 | 73.8 | HIGH |
| middle | T20 | 27 | 341 | 254 | 20.1 | 134.3 | 15.4 | 26.4 | MEDIUM |
| powerplay | T20 | 15 | 193 | 122 | 38.6 | 158.2 | 27.0 | 37.7 | MEDIUM |
| death | T20 | 15 | 171 | 115 | 17.1 | 148.7 | 14.8 | 21.7 | LOW |
Against pace and spin
Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.
| PACE | FIRST_CLASS | 86 | 2376 | 5018 | 30.5 | 47.3 | 6.7 | 78.0 | HIGH |
| SPIN | FIRST_CLASS | 82 | 2146 | 4562 | 51.1 | 47.0 | 5.8 | 74.7 | HIGH |
| UNKNOWN | FIRST_CLASS | 42 | 460 | 982 | 28.8 | 46.8 | 6.1 | 77.2 | HIGH |
| PACE | T20 | 34 | 348 | 240 | 24.9 | 145.0 | 19.6 | 30.8 | MEDIUM |
| SPIN | T20 | 33 | 308 | 223 | 18.1 | 138.1 | 14.8 | 23.8 | MEDIUM |
How these splits are used
The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.