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MW Harvey betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallLIST_A2589198638.790.412.554.9HIGH
overallFIRST_CLASS1035068021.951.57.675.9HIGH
overallT202021421012.6101.911.441.4MEDIUM
overallLIST_A386109.6—LOW

Why we like it

Splits where MW Harvey scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Bowling type: PACE (LIST A)HIGH sample

    603 runs off 663 balls in 25 LIST A matches — strike rate 91.0 vs 90.4 overall, average 50.3 vs 38.7 overall.

  • Phase: powerplay (LIST A)HIGH sample

    472 runs off 538 balls in 23 LIST A matches — strike rate 87.7 vs 90.4 overall, average 52.4 vs 38.7 overall.

  • Phase: new_ball (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    252 runs off 384 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 65.6 vs 51.5 overall, average 18.0 vs 21.9 overall.

  • Opposition: Victoria (LIST A)MEDIUM sample

    177 runs off 150 balls in 3 LIST A matches — strike rate 118.0 vs 90.4 overall, average 88.5 vs 38.7 overall.

  • Opposition: Victoria (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    90 runs off 142 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 63.4 vs 51.5 overall, average 11.3 vs 21.9 overall.

  • Venue: Karen Rolton Oval, Adelaide (LIST A)MEDIUM sample

    323 runs off 298 balls in 4 LIST A matches — strike rate 108.4 vs 90.4 overall, average 161.5 vs 38.7 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: New South Wales (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    126 runs off 342 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 36.8 vs 51.5 overall, average 63.0 vs 21.9 overall.

  • Venue: Sydney Cricket Ground (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    126 runs off 342 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 36.8 vs 51.5 overall, average 63.0 vs 21.9 overall.

  • Phase: middle (LIST A)HIGH sample

    419 runs off 448 balls in 16 LIST A matches — strike rate 93.5 vs 90.4 overall, average 29.9 vs 38.7 overall.

  • Opposition: Tasmania (LIST A)MEDIUM sample

    170 runs off 214 balls in 5 LIST A matches — strike rate 79.4 vs 90.4 overall, average 34.0 vs 38.7 overall.

  • Opposition: Western Australia (LIST A)MEDIUM sample

    174 runs off 214 balls in 7 LIST A matches — strike rate 81.3 vs 90.4 overall, average 24.9 vs 38.7 overall.

  • Opposition: New South Wales (LIST A)MEDIUM sample

    151 runs off 175 balls in 5 LIST A matches — strike rate 86.3 vs 90.4 overall, average 30.2 vs 38.7 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

New South WalesFIRST_CLASS212634263.036.85.381.3HIGH
TasmaniaLIST_A517021434.079.410.757.9MEDIUM
Western AustraliaLIST_A717421424.981.310.762.6MEDIUM
New South WalesLIST_A515117530.286.310.953.7MEDIUM
QueenslandLIST_A415816252.797.514.855.6MEDIUM
VictoriaLIST_A317715088.5118.018.042.7MEDIUM
VictoriaFIRST_CLASS49014211.363.49.971.8MEDIUM
QueenslandFIRST_CLASS27413018.556.96.272.3MEDIUM
South AustraliaLIST_A1617161.085.99.949.3LOW
Melbourne StarsT204817140.5114.112.733.8LOW
TasmaniaFIRST_CLASS2606630.090.918.263.6LOW
Sydney ThunderT203494616.3106.515.243.5LOW
Perth ScorchersT20437349.3108.811.838.2LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Sydney Cricket GroundFIRST_CLASS212634263.036.85.381.3HIGH
Karen Rolton Oval, AdelaideLIST_A4323298161.5108.415.845.6MEDIUM
Adelaide OvalLIST_A417316043.3108.115.648.1MEDIUM
Junction Oval, MelbourneLIST_A610715817.867.78.267.1MEDIUM
Junction Oval, MelbourneFIRST_CLASS49014211.363.49.971.8MEDIUM
Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, BrisbaneFIRST_CLASS27413018.556.96.272.3MEDIUM
Cricket Central, SydneyLIST_A39110430.387.510.654.8LOW
Sydney Cricket GroundLIST_A1557255.076.48.352.8LOW
Adelaide OvalFIRST_CLASS2606630.090.918.263.6LOW
Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, BrisbaneLIST_A1726672.0109.116.751.5LOW
Melbourne Cricket GroundT203736473.0114.112.534.4LOW
Kingston Twin Ovals, HobartLIST_A1325332.060.49.467.9LOW
Adelaide OvalT203504716.7106.414.940.4LOW
Docklands Stadium, MelbourneT20643477.291.58.542.6LOW
Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, PerthLIST_A2304015.075.012.572.5LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownLIST_A2589198638.790.412.554.9HIGH
UnknownFIRST_CLASS1035068021.951.57.675.9HIGH
UnknownT202021421012.6101.911.441.4MEDIUM

Bowling

UnknownLIST_A386109.6—LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

powerplayLIST_A2347253852.487.713.058.9HIGH
middleLIST_A1641944829.993.511.850.0HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS1025238418.065.69.969.3HIGH
old_ballFIRST_CLASS49829649.033.14.784.5MEDIUM
middleT201612613811.591.38.742.0MEDIUM
powerplayT205453815.0118.418.444.7LOW
deathT205433414.3126.514.735.3LOW

Bowling

middleLIST_A365409.0—LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACELIST_A2560366350.391.013.657.9HIGH
PACEFIRST_CLASS1023240023.258.08.571.5HIGH
SPINLIST_A1720725123.082.58.849.4MEDIUM
SPINFIRST_CLASS46419616.032.76.186.7MEDIUM
PACET201813512310.4109.813.843.9MEDIUM
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS6548427.064.37.171.4LOW
UNKNOWNLIST_A8817240.5112.515.345.8LOW
SPINT2015596919.785.57.239.1LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.