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MW Snedden betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallFIRST_CLASS761066356211.329.92.781.0HIGH
overallT2046113.054.50.045.5LOW
overallFIRST_CLASS1172461941723.236.0HIGH
overallT20342512179.030.1MEDIUM

Why we like it

Splits where MW Snedden scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: Northern Districts (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    412 runs off 968 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 42.6 vs 29.9 overall, average 22.9 vs 11.3 overall.

  • Venue: Seddon Park (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    228 runs off 586 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 38.9 vs 29.9 overall, average 57.0 vs 11.3 overall.

  • Venue: Cello Basin Reserve (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    214 runs off 486 balls in 14 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 44.0 vs 29.9 overall, average 13.4 vs 11.3 overall.

  • Venue: McLean Park, Napier (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    92 runs off 458 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 20.1 vs 29.9 overall, average 23.0 vs 11.3 overall.

  • Venue: Mainpower Oval, Rangiora (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample

    32 runs off 84 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 38.1 vs 29.9 overall, average 8.0 vs 11.3 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: Auckland Aces (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    232 runs off 1060 balls in 20 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 21.9 vs 29.9 overall, average 10.5 vs 11.3 overall.

  • Venue: Colin Maiden Park (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    26 runs off 222 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 11.7 vs 29.9 overall, average 6.5 vs 11.3 overall.

  • Venue: University Oval, Dunedin (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    28 runs off 160 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 17.5 vs 29.9 overall, average 3.5 vs 11.3 overall.

  • Venue: Mainpower Oval (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample

    16 runs off 116 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 13.8 vs 29.9 overall, average 4.0 vs 11.3 overall.

  • Venue: Kennards Hire Community Oval (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample

    16 runs off 102 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 15.7 vs 29.9 overall, not yet dismissed vs 11.3 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

Auckland AcesFIRST_CLASS20232106010.521.91.583.2HIGH
Northern DistrictsFIRST_CLASS1041296822.942.64.175.6HIGH
Central StagsFIRST_CLASS161626649.024.42.484.9HIGH
CanterburyFIRST_CLASS161304526.528.82.280.5HIGH
Otago VoltsFIRST_CLASS141304188.131.13.381.8HIGH

Bowling

CanterburyFIRST_CLASS29321550403.238.8HIGH
Auckland AcesFIRST_CLASS28801488483.131.0HIGH
Central StagsFIRST_CLASS23361168303.038.9HIGH
Otago VoltsFIRST_CLASS19441044263.240.2HIGH
Northern DistrictsFIRST_CLASS1632944283.533.7HIGH
AucklandT2011417058.934.0LOW
Central DistrictsT209014149.435.3LOW
CanterburyT20788056.216.0LOW
Northern DistrictsT203676112.776.0LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Basin Reserve, WellingtonFIRST_CLASS2430895210.332.43.278.4HIGH
Seddon ParkFIRST_CLASS222858657.038.93.878.2HIGH
Cello Basin ReserveFIRST_CLASS1421448613.444.04.577.0HIGH
McLean Park, NapierFIRST_CLASS69245823.020.12.288.6HIGH
Colin Maiden ParkFIRST_CLASS4262226.511.70.991.9MEDIUM
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandFIRST_CLASS4622147.829.02.877.6MEDIUM
University Oval, DunedinFIRST_CLASS6281603.517.51.386.3MEDIUM
Mainpower OvalFIRST_CLASS4161164.013.80.087.9LOW
Kennards Hire Community OvalFIRST_CLASS216102—15.70.084.3LOW
Cobham Oval, WhangareiFIRST_CLASS228887.031.82.375.0LOW
Mainpower Oval, RangioraFIRST_CLASS232848.038.10.069.0LOW
Fitzherbert ParkFIRST_CLASS416664.024.20.078.8LOW

Bowling

Basin Reserve, WellingtonFIRST_CLASS39522048643.132.0HIGH
Cello Basin ReserveFIRST_CLASS2160972382.725.6HIGH
University Oval, DunedinFIRST_CLASS86441862.969.7HIGH
McLean Park, NapierFIRST_CLASS726354122.929.5HIGH
Fitzherbert ParkFIRST_CLASS72031682.639.5HIGH
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandFIRST_CLASS68640863.668.0HIGH
Mainpower OvalFIRST_CLASS68445284.056.5HIGH
Colin Maiden ParkFIRST_CLASS468238103.123.8HIGH
Cobham Oval, WhangareiFIRST_CLASS37228864.648.0HIGH
Mainpower Oval, RangioraFIRST_CLASS34818863.231.3MEDIUM
Saxton OvalFIRST_CLASS27616283.520.3MEDIUM
Kennards Hire Community OvalFIRST_CLASS25213803.3—MEDIUM
Seddon ParkFIRST_CLASS21621205.9—MEDIUM
Basin Reserve, WellingtonT2016224198.926.8MEDIUM
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandT20426529.332.5LOW
Fitzherbert Park, Palmerston NorthT204272210.336.0LOW
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchT20424226.021.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownFIRST_CLASS761066356211.329.92.781.0HIGH

Bowling

UnknownFIRST_CLASS1172461941723.236.0HIGH
UnknownT20342512179.030.1MEDIUM

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS74848294210.328.82.581.7HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS3421862018.235.23.577.4HIGH

Bowling

old_ballFIRST_CLASS999453761403.238.4HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS1730818322.825.6HIGH
middleT20174242108.324.2MEDIUM
powerplayT2012017538.858.3LOW
deathT204895411.923.8LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACEFIRST_CLASS72558163611.634.13.579.0HIGH
SPINFIRST_CLASS52408153610.226.62.083.6HIGH
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS2610039016.725.62.179.0HIGH

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.