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MWT Boyle betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallFIRST_CLASS442546385835.466.08.968.0HIGH
overallT203176151327.2148.321.431.2HIGH
overallFIRST_CLASS1170602143.143.0HIGH
overallT209613138.243.7LOW

Why we like it

Splits where MWT Boyle scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: Northern Districts (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    738 runs off 1172 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 63.0 vs 66.0 overall, average 73.8 vs 35.4 overall.

  • Opposition: Wellington Firebirds (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    564 runs off 622 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 90.7 vs 66.0 overall, average 31.3 vs 35.4 overall.

  • Venue: Mainpower Oval, Rangiora (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    658 runs off 1102 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 59.7 vs 66.0 overall, average 47.0 vs 35.4 overall.

  • Venue: Basin Reserve, Wellington (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    382 runs off 300 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 127.3 vs 66.0 overall, average 63.7 vs 35.4 overall.

  • Venue: Saxton Oval, Nelson (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    232 runs off 300 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 77.3 vs 66.0 overall, average 116.0 vs 35.4 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    770 runs off 1136 balls in 34 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 67.8 vs 66.0 overall, average 55.0 vs 35.4 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: Otago Volts (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    250 runs off 564 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 44.3 vs 66.0 overall, average 17.9 vs 35.4 overall.

  • Opposition: Auckland Aces (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    166 runs off 314 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 52.9 vs 66.0 overall, average 16.6 vs 35.4 overall.

  • Venue: Hagley Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    200 runs off 436 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 45.9 vs 66.0 overall, average 25.0 vs 35.4 overall.

  • Venue: Mainpower Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    202 runs off 368 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 54.9 vs 66.0 overall, average 25.3 vs 35.4 overall.

  • Bowling type: UNKNOWN (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    464 runs off 648 balls in 32 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 71.6 vs 66.0 overall, average 21.1 vs 35.4 overall.

  • Venue: University Oval, Dunedin (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    64 runs off 148 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 43.2 vs 66.0 overall, average 16.0 vs 35.4 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

Central StagsFIRST_CLASS12828118641.469.89.167.3HIGH
Northern DistrictsFIRST_CLASS6738117273.863.08.066.6HIGH
Wellington FirebirdsFIRST_CLASS1056462231.390.713.261.7HIGH
Otago VoltsFIRST_CLASS825056417.944.35.777.3HIGH
Auckland AcesFIRST_CLASS816631416.652.98.372.0HIGH
Northern DistrictsT20618111330.2160.224.828.3LOW
AucklandT2061358622.5157.024.431.4LOW
OtagoT2031238461.5146.416.719.0LOW
WellingtonT205987824.5125.614.133.3LOW
Central DistrictsT2051036325.8163.525.434.9LOW

Bowling

Otago VoltsFIRST_CLASS44415802.1—HIGH
Auckland AcesFIRST_CLASS408234103.423.4HIGH
Central StagsFIRST_CLASS18612644.131.5MEDIUM
Wellington FirebirdsFIRST_CLASS724804.0—LOW
Northern DistrictsFIRST_CLASS603603.6—LOW
Northern DistrictsT20365108.5—LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Mainpower Oval, RangioraFIRST_CLASS8658110247.059.78.068.6HIGH
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchFIRST_CLASS835048635.072.09.967.1HIGH
Hagley OvalFIRST_CLASS420043625.045.96.476.6HIGH
Mainpower OvalFIRST_CLASS420236825.354.94.972.8HIGH
Basin Reserve, WellingtonFIRST_CLASS438230063.7127.320.051.3HIGH
Saxton Oval, NelsonFIRST_CLASS2232300116.077.37.353.3HIGH
McLean ParkFIRST_CLASS219027047.570.411.173.3MEDIUM
Seddon Park, HamiltonFIRST_CLASS214821837.067.910.167.9MEDIUM
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchT201027518934.4145.518.525.4MEDIUM
University Oval, DunedinFIRST_CLASS26414816.043.24.171.6MEDIUM
Cello Basin ReserveFIRST_CLASS25011212.544.68.982.1LOW
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandFIRST_CLASS4488612.055.87.065.1LOW
Basin Reserve, WellingtonT2041097127.3153.523.933.8LOW
Molyneux Park, AlexandraT202423321.0127.312.127.3LOW
McLean Park, NapierFIRST_CLASS222325.568.812.581.3LOW
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandT203523217.3162.528.134.4LOW
Seddon Park, HamiltonT202513125.5164.525.822.6LOW
Saxton Oval, NelsonT2017330—243.340.023.3LOW

Bowling

Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandFIRST_CLASS37222683.628.3HIGH
Mainpower Oval, RangioraFIRST_CLASS30616043.140.0MEDIUM
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchFIRST_CLASS2047402.2—MEDIUM
Hagley OvalFIRST_CLASS842421.712.0LOW
University Oval, DunedinFIRST_CLASS603203.2—LOW
Mainpower OvalFIRST_CLASS362404.0—LOW
McLean Park, NapierFIRST_CLASS361803.0—LOW
Seddon Park, HamiltonFIRST_CLASS362003.3—LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownFIRST_CLASS402346342236.768.69.266.9HIGH
UnknownT203176151327.2148.321.431.2HIGH
New ZealandFIRST_CLASS420043625.045.96.476.6HIGH

Bowling

UnknownFIRST_CLASS1086578123.248.2HIGH
UnknownT209613138.243.7LOW
New ZealandFIRST_CLASS842421.712.0LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS422206333033.466.28.667.6HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS1834052856.764.410.270.8HIGH
powerplayT202835325629.4137.922.339.5MEDIUM
middleT201934521928.8157.520.523.3MEDIUM
deathT205633815.8165.821.121.1LOW

Bowling

old_ballFIRST_CLASS1122590123.249.2HIGH
middleT20668237.527.3LOW
new_ballFIRST_CLASS481221.56.0LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACEFIRST_CLASS401312207436.463.39.371.6HIGH
SPINFIRST_CLASS34770113655.067.86.760.4HIGH
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS3246464821.171.611.470.1HIGH
PACET203044430426.1146.123.036.8HIGH
SPINT202122915528.6147.718.123.2MEDIUM
UNKNOWNT209885429.3163.022.222.2LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.