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N Caruana betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT201122732028.470.91.946.6HIGH
overallT20905583.76.9LOW

Why we like it

Splits where N Caruana scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Venue: Scott Page Field, Vinor (T20)MEDIUM sample

    160 runs off 195 balls in 6 T20 matches — strike rate 82.1 vs 70.9 overall, average 53.3 vs 28.4 overall.

  • Phase: middle (T20)MEDIUM sample

    113 runs off 133 balls in 7 T20 matches — strike rate 85.0 vs 70.9 overall, average 56.5 vs 28.4 overall.

  • Opposition: Czech Republic (T20)LOW sample

    104 runs off 111 balls in 3 T20 matches — strike rate 93.7 vs 70.9 overall, average 104.0 vs 28.4 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Venue: Europa Sports Complex (T20)MEDIUM sample

    67 runs off 125 balls in 5 T20 matches — strike rate 53.6 vs 70.9 overall, average 13.4 vs 28.4 overall.

  • Phase: powerplay (T20)MEDIUM sample

    77 runs off 146 balls in 11 T20 matches — strike rate 52.7 vs 70.9 overall, average 19.3 vs 28.4 overall.

  • Opposition: Estonia (T20)LOW sample

    56 runs off 94 balls in 3 T20 matches — strike rate 59.6 vs 70.9 overall, average 18.7 vs 28.4 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

Czech RepublicT203104111104.093.72.731.5LOW
EstoniaT203569418.759.62.155.3LOW
AustriaT201264826.054.20.050.0LOW
CroatiaT202303630.083.32.844.4LOW
JerseyT20211315.535.50.071.0LOW

Bowling

CroatiaT20421932.76.3LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Scott Page Field, VinorT20616019553.382.12.138.5MEDIUM
Europa Sports ComplexT2056712513.453.61.659.2MEDIUM

Bowling

Scott Page Field, VinorT20603843.89.5LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownT201122732028.470.91.946.6HIGH

Bowling

UnknownT20905583.76.9LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

powerplayT20117714619.352.71.458.9MEDIUM
middleT20711313356.585.02.336.8MEDIUM
deathT204374118.590.22.434.1LOW

Bowling

middleT20543473.84.9LOW
deathT20362113.521.0LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACET201016925228.267.12.048.8MEDIUM
UNKNOWNT2035152—98.11.928.8LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.