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NA McSweeney betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallFIRST_CLASS10264141453836.944.14.876.0HIGH
overallLIST_A361446179843.880.49.053.8HIGH
overallT2045113090929.7124.314.331.4HIGH
overallTEST37221114.434.15.283.9MEDIUM
overallFIRST_CLASS34861574462.734.2HIGH
overallLIST_A632550155.236.7HIGH
overallT209712667.821.0LOW

Why we like it

Splits where NA McSweeney scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: New South Wales (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    1304 runs off 3264 balls in 16 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 40.0 vs 44.1 overall, average 54.3 vs 36.9 overall.

  • Opposition: Western Australia (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    998 runs off 1946 balls in 14 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 51.3 vs 44.1 overall, average 45.4 vs 36.9 overall.

  • Opposition: Gloucestershire (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    380 runs off 816 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 46.6 vs 44.1 overall, average 47.5 vs 36.9 overall.

  • Opposition: Kent (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    420 runs off 468 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 89.7 vs 44.1 overall, average 210.0 vs 36.9 overall.

  • Opposition: Middlesex (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    214 runs off 380 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 56.3 vs 44.1 overall, average 107.0 vs 36.9 overall.

  • Opposition: Queensland (LIST A)HIGH sample

    311 runs off 360 balls in 7 LIST A matches — strike rate 86.4 vs 80.4 overall, average 51.8 vs 43.8 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: Victoria (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    758 runs off 2118 balls in 20 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 35.8 vs 44.1 overall, average 18.9 vs 36.9 overall.

  • Opposition: Lancashire (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    174 runs off 368 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 47.3 vs 44.1 overall, average 21.8 vs 36.9 overall.

  • Opposition: Tasmania (LIST A)HIGH sample

    223 runs off 308 balls in 5 LIST A matches — strike rate 72.4 vs 80.4 overall, average 44.6 vs 43.8 overall.

  • Venue: Karen Rolton Oval, Adelaide (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    602 runs off 1450 balls in 14 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 41.5 vs 44.1 overall, average 25.1 vs 36.9 overall.

  • Venue: Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, Brisbane (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    432 runs off 1394 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 31.0 vs 44.1 overall, average 27.0 vs 36.9 overall.

  • Venue: Junction Oval, Melbourne (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    518 runs off 1238 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 41.8 vs 44.1 overall, average 25.9 vs 36.9 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

New South WalesFIRST_CLASS161304326454.340.03.476.5HIGH
QueenslandFIRST_CLASS201122295033.038.04.580.3HIGH
VictoriaFIRST_CLASS20758211818.935.83.881.0HIGH
Western AustraliaFIRST_CLASS14998194645.451.36.073.2HIGH
TasmaniaFIRST_CLASS10724152036.247.66.176.4HIGH
GloucestershireFIRST_CLASS438081647.546.65.173.0HIGH
KentFIRST_CLASS4420468210.089.79.448.7HIGH
MiddlesexFIRST_CLASS2214380107.056.38.473.7HIGH
LancashireFIRST_CLASS417436821.847.34.371.2HIGH
QueenslandLIST_A731136051.886.410.854.7HIGH
TasmaniaLIST_A522330844.672.43.949.7HIGH
DerbyshireFIRST_CLASS212429031.042.84.874.5MEDIUM
DurhamFIRST_CLASS413226816.549.34.567.2MEDIUM
Sydney SixersT20929724459.4121.713.931.1MEDIUM
Western AustraliaLIST_A814822318.566.46.359.6MEDIUM
IndiaTEST37221114.434.15.283.9MEDIUM
VictoriaLIST_A513020432.563.78.366.2MEDIUM
New South WalesLIST_A314919849.775.39.657.6MEDIUM
WorcestershireFIRST_CLASS26415032.042.75.382.7MEDIUM
Adelaide StrikersT20415910753.0148.619.628.0LOW
Sydney ThunderT2041219830.3123.511.227.6LOW
GloucestershireT2031539676.5159.419.818.8LOW
WarwickshireLIST_A1889288.095.710.944.6LOW
SurreyLIST_A1648964.071.97.957.3LOW
KentLIST_A1588058.072.55.050.0LOW
SomersetLIST_A16976—90.811.850.0LOW
Perth ScorchersT205646812.894.18.839.7LOW
Melbourne StarsT203726624.0109.113.642.4LOW
GloucestershireLIST_A1796279.0127.421.043.5LOW
LancashireLIST_A1785878.0134.517.227.6LOW
Melbourne RenegadesT203475115.792.25.939.2LOW
Hobart HurricanesT203594519.7131.117.828.9LOW
NottinghamshireLIST_A1494449.0111.418.243.2LOW
WarwickshireT202323416.094.15.932.4LOW
GlamorganT202393319.5118.212.127.3LOW
SomersetT20329319.793.512.945.2LOW

Bowling

New South WalesFIRST_CLASS972466102.946.6HIGH
VictoriaFIRST_CLASS888394142.728.1HIGH
QueenslandFIRST_CLASS448190102.519.0HIGH
DurhamFIRST_CLASS41217202.5—HIGH
Western AustraliaFIRST_CLASS39612861.921.3HIGH
VictoriaLIST_A1327343.318.3LOW
DerbyshireFIRST_CLASS1309644.424.0LOW
New South WalesLIST_A12610645.026.5LOW
QueenslandLIST_A978955.517.8LOW
Western AustraliaLIST_A9610316.4103.0LOW
TasmaniaFIRST_CLASS844603.3—LOW
TasmaniaLIST_A666215.662.0LOW
MiddlesexFIRST_CLASS483604.5—LOW
WorcestershireFIRST_CLASS482202.8—LOW
LancashireLIST_A484806.0—LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Adelaide OvalFIRST_CLASS221370325636.142.14.478.0HIGH
Cricket Central, SydneyFIRST_CLASS46041722151.035.12.177.8HIGH
County Ground, NorthamptonFIRST_CLASS12862163447.952.85.670.6HIGH
Karen Rolton Oval, AdelaideFIRST_CLASS14602145025.141.55.478.1HIGH
Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, BrisbaneFIRST_CLASS10432139427.031.02.982.1HIGH
Junction Oval, MelbourneFIRST_CLASS10518123825.941.85.278.5HIGH
Bellerive Oval, HobartFIRST_CLASS6570110447.551.66.374.1HIGH
Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, PerthFIRST_CLASS8522105437.349.55.373.8HIGH
Allan Border Field, BrisbaneFIRST_CLASS221838054.557.410.074.2HIGH
Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, BrisbaneT201242431847.1133.316.731.1HIGH
Karen Rolton Oval, AdelaideLIST_A624330548.679.78.555.4HIGH
Adelaide OvalLIST_A820930429.968.85.654.6HIGH
County Ground, DerbyFIRST_CLASS212429031.042.84.874.5MEDIUM
County Ground, BristolFIRST_CLASS210428426.036.64.276.8MEDIUM
County Ground, NorthamptonLIST_A423523078.3102.212.643.0MEDIUM
Allan Border Field, BrisbaneLIST_A318522061.784.110.555.5MEDIUM
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-StreetFIRST_CLASS211821829.554.15.566.1MEDIUM
Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, PerthLIST_A513318926.670.46.356.6MEDIUM
St Lawrence Ground, CanterburyFIRST_CLASS2202170—118.815.341.2MEDIUM
Old Trafford, ManchesterFIRST_CLASS29814424.568.18.358.3MEDIUM
County Ground, NorthamptonT20716112326.8130.916.332.5MEDIUM
Adelaide OvalTEST14912149.040.56.683.5MEDIUM
North Sydney Oval, SydneyLIST_A19411394.083.212.459.3LOW
Melbourne Cricket GroundFIRST_CLASS2321048.030.81.984.6LOW
Sydney Cricket GroundFIRST_CLASS238969.539.64.275.0LOW
Kingston Twin Ovals, HobartLIST_A1499249.053.32.257.6LOW
Woodbridge Road, GuildfordLIST_A1648964.071.97.957.3LOW
St Lawrence Ground, CanterburyLIST_A1588058.072.55.050.0LOW
Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, BrisbaneTEST113736.517.81.484.9LOW
College Ground, CheltenhamLIST_A1796279.0127.421.043.5LOW
Perth StadiumT204586214.593.58.138.7LOW
Docklands Stadium, MelbourneT203444714.793.66.438.3LOW
Queen's Park, ChesterfieldLIST_A1494449.0111.418.243.2LOW
Carrara OvalT202444222.0104.89.538.1LOW
Edgbaston, BirminghamT203504116.7122.012.226.8LOW
County Ground, BristolT2017240—180.025.012.5LOW
Sydney Cricket GroundT202384019.095.012.545.0LOW
Junction Oval, MelbourneLIST_A1403840.0105.318.463.2LOW
International Sports Stadium, Coffs HarbourT202333733.089.25.432.4LOW
Bellerive Oval, HobartT201493249.0153.121.918.8LOW

Bowling

Karen Rolton Oval, AdelaideFIRST_CLASS924554123.646.2HIGH
Adelaide OvalFIRST_CLASS68026022.3130.0HIGH
County Ground, NorthamptonFIRST_CLASS34815022.675.0MEDIUM
Sydney Cricket GroundFIRST_CLASS30012802.6—MEDIUM
Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, BrisbaneFIRST_CLASS280100102.110.0MEDIUM
Junction Oval, MelbourneFIRST_CLASS2446881.78.5MEDIUM
Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, PerthFIRST_CLASS2044661.47.7MEDIUM
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-StreetFIRST_CLASS1848402.7—MEDIUM
Adelaide OvalLIST_A14410044.225.0LOW
County Ground, DerbyFIRST_CLASS1309644.424.0LOW
Karen Rolton Oval, AdelaideLIST_A1278353.916.6LOW
Cricket Central, SydneyFIRST_CLASS1084402.4—LOW
County Ground, NorthamptonLIST_A726705.6—LOW
Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, PerthLIST_A727816.578.0LOW
North Sydney Oval, SydneyLIST_A545125.725.5LOW
Allan Border Field, BrisbaneFIRST_CLASS482423.012.0LOW
Cricket Central, SydneyLIST_A484115.141.0LOW
Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, BrisbaneLIST_A424516.445.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownFIRST_CLASS10264141453836.944.14.876.0HIGH
UnknownLIST_A361446179843.880.49.053.8HIGH
UnknownT2045113090929.7124.314.331.4HIGH
UnknownTEST37221114.434.15.283.9MEDIUM

Bowling

UnknownFIRST_CLASS34861574462.734.2HIGH
UnknownLIST_A632550155.236.7HIGH
UnknownT209712667.821.0LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS10058601301239.645.04.875.4HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS66554152621.336.34.681.4HIGH
middleLIST_A331143147954.477.37.652.5HIGH
middleT203558049123.2118.111.027.9HIGH
powerplayT203641234945.8118.115.239.0HIGH
powerplayLIST_A1614920349.773.414.874.9MEDIUM
deathLIST_A915411617.1132.817.234.5LOW
new_ballTEST33210710.729.93.783.2LOW
old_ballTEST24010420.038.56.784.6LOW
deathT2091386934.5200.033.317.4LOW

Bowling

old_ballFIRST_CLASS32941456402.736.4HIGH
middleLIST_A528461125.238.4HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS19211863.719.7MEDIUM
deathLIST_A978535.328.3LOW
middleT20608238.227.3LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACEFIRST_CLASS1023690905831.340.74.779.2HIGH
SPINFIRST_CLASS841892349259.154.24.766.3HIGH
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS58832198834.741.95.478.6HIGH
PACELIST_A3568291132.574.98.859.3HIGH
SPINLIST_A3256568062.883.18.248.4HIGH
PACET204276457538.2132.917.232.9HIGH
SPINT203432128321.4113.49.927.2MEDIUM
UNKNOWNLIST_A1419920766.396.112.647.8MEDIUM
PACETEST37220514.435.15.483.4MEDIUM
UNKNOWNT2012455115.088.25.937.3LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.