Cricket betting

O Davies betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.


overall	FIRST_CLASS	48	2682	3710	33.5	72.3	9.7	64.2	HIGH
overall	T20	37	720	574	21.2	125.4	13.6	35.4	HIGH
overall	LIST_A	22	500	515	29.4	97.1	11.8	48.3	HIGH


overall	FIRST_CLASS	696	528	6	4.6	88.0	HIGH
overall	LIST_A	36	39	1	6.5	39.0	LOW
overall	T20	25	32	0	7.7	—	LOW

Why we like it

Splits where O Davies scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

Opposition: South Australia (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
600 runs off 784 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 76.5 vs 72.3 overall, average 50.0 vs 33.5 overall.
Venue: Allan Border Field, Brisbane (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
312 runs off 354 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 88.1 vs 72.3 overall, average 78.0 vs 33.5 overall.
Bowling type: UNKNOWN (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
424 runs off 510 balls in 16 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 83.1 vs 72.3 overall, average 42.4 vs 33.5 overall.
Opposition: Victoria (LIST A)MEDIUM sample
160 runs off 146 balls in 5 LIST A matches — strike rate 109.6 vs 97.1 overall, average 40.0 vs 29.4 overall.
Venue: Junction Oval, Melbourne (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
146 runs off 176 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 83.0 vs 72.3 overall, average 36.5 vs 33.5 overall.
Bowling type: SPIN (LIST A)MEDIUM sample
193 runs off 171 balls in 15 LIST A matches — strike rate 112.9 vs 97.1 overall, average 32.2 vs 29.4 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

Opposition: Victoria (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
516 runs off 694 balls in 12 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 74.4 vs 72.3 overall, average 21.5 vs 33.5 overall.
Venue: Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, Perth (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
178 runs off 326 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 54.6 vs 72.3 overall, average 22.3 vs 33.5 overall.
Phase: new_ball (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
230 runs off 326 balls in 18 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 70.6 vs 72.3 overall, average 19.2 vs 33.5 overall.
Opposition: Tasmania (LIST A)MEDIUM sample
109 runs off 125 balls in 5 LIST A matches — strike rate 87.2 vs 97.1 overall, average 27.3 vs 29.4 overall.
Venue: Cricket Central, Sydney (LIST A)MEDIUM sample
118 runs off 148 balls in 6 LIST A matches — strike rate 79.7 vs 97.1 overall, average 29.5 vs 29.4 overall.
Opposition: Melbourne Stars (T20)LOW sample
78 runs off 81 balls in 5 T20 matches — strike rate 96.3 vs 125.4 overall, average 15.6 vs 21.2 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.


Tasmania	FIRST_CLASS	10	538	786	29.9	68.4	9.2	64.4	HIGH
South Australia	FIRST_CLASS	8	600	784	50.0	76.5	8.4	56.4	HIGH
Queensland	FIRST_CLASS	8	538	740	38.4	72.7	10.3	64.1	HIGH
Western Australia	FIRST_CLASS	10	490	706	40.8	69.4	10.2	69.4	HIGH
Victoria	FIRST_CLASS	12	516	694	21.5	74.4	10.7	67.7	HIGH
Western Australia	LIST_A	5	146	161	48.7	90.7	8.7	45.3	MEDIUM
Victoria	LIST_A	5	160	146	40.0	109.6	13.7	46.6	MEDIUM
Hobart Hurricanes	T20	7	181	136	25.9	133.1	14.7	33.1	MEDIUM
Tasmania	LIST_A	5	109	125	27.3	87.2	12.8	54.4	MEDIUM
Perth Scorchers	T20	5	136	104	45.3	130.8	15.4	37.5	LOW
Adelaide Strikers	T20	6	116	86	19.3	134.9	14.0	30.2	LOW
Melbourne Stars	T20	5	78	81	15.6	96.3	8.6	39.5	LOW
South Australia	LIST_A	4	79	73	26.3	108.2	13.7	45.2	LOW
Sydney Sixers	T20	6	80	70	13.3	114.3	11.4	37.1	LOW
Brisbane Heat	T20	4	84	68	21.0	123.5	13.2	39.7	LOW

Bowling


Tasmania	FIRST_CLASS	504	392	6	4.7	65.3	HIGH
Victoria	FIRST_CLASS	84	48	0	3.4	—	LOW
South Australia	FIRST_CLASS	60	28	0	2.8	—	LOW
Queensland	FIRST_CLASS	48	60	0	7.5	—	LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.


Sydney Cricket Ground	FIRST_CLASS	14	802	1074	36.5	74.7	10.6	63.9	HIGH
Cricket Central, Sydney	FIRST_CLASS	8	568	806	40.6	70.5	8.2	61.0	HIGH
Bellerive Oval, Hobart	FIRST_CLASS	4	280	390	35.0	71.8	8.7	62.6	HIGH
Allan Border Field, Brisbane	FIRST_CLASS	2	312	354	78.0	88.1	13.0	55.9	HIGH
Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, Perth	FIRST_CLASS	6	178	326	22.3	54.6	9.8	80.4	HIGH
Karen Rolton Oval, Adelaide	FIRST_CLASS	4	222	288	37.0	77.1	9.0	57.6	MEDIUM
Junction Oval, Melbourne	FIRST_CLASS	2	146	176	36.5	83.0	13.6	68.2	MEDIUM
Cricket Central, Sydney	LIST_A	6	118	148	29.5	79.7	6.8	50.7	MEDIUM
Sydney Showground Stadium	T20	9	179	144	22.4	124.3	13.2	33.3	MEDIUM
Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, Brisbane	FIRST_CLASS	4	40	106	6.7	37.7	3.8	79.2	LOW
Melbourne Cricket Ground	FIRST_CLASS	2	76	106	19.0	71.7	7.5	69.8	LOW
North Sydney Oval, Sydney	LIST_A	5	109	101	27.3	107.9	15.8	50.5	LOW
Bellerive Oval, Hobart	T20	5	110	95	22.0	115.8	10.5	36.8	LOW
Lavington Sports Oval, Albury	FIRST_CLASS	2	58	84	14.5	69.0	7.1	66.7	LOW
Junction Oval, Melbourne	LIST_A	3	71	79	23.7	89.9	10.1	50.6	LOW
Adelaide Oval	LIST_A	3	77	69	38.5	111.6	14.5	44.9	LOW
Manuka Oval, Canberra	T20	6	73	65	12.2	112.3	9.2	33.8	LOW
Perth Stadium	T20	2	61	55	30.5	110.9	10.9	38.2	LOW
Lavington Sports Oval, Albury	T20	2	88	50	44.0	176.0	26.0	28.0	LOW
Adelaide Oval	T20	2	74	47	37.0	157.4	17.0	21.3	LOW
University of Tasmania Stadium, Launceston	LIST_A	1	40	36	—	111.1	16.7	44.4	LOW
Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, Perth	LIST_A	1	38	34	38.0	111.8	20.6	52.9	LOW
Docklands Stadium, Melbourne	T20	3	41	30	20.5	136.7	16.7	30.0	LOW

Bowling


Cricket Central, Sydney	FIRST_CLASS	312	216	4	4.2	54.0	MEDIUM
Bellerive Oval, Hobart	FIRST_CLASS	204	182	2	5.4	91.0	MEDIUM
Sydney Cricket Ground	FIRST_CLASS	84	48	0	3.4	—	LOW
Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, Brisbane	FIRST_CLASS	48	60	0	7.5	—	LOW
Karen Rolton Oval, Adelaide	FIRST_CLASS	48	22	0	2.8	—	LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.


Unknown	FIRST_CLASS	48	2682	3710	33.5	72.3	9.7	64.2	HIGH
Unknown	T20	37	720	574	21.2	125.4	13.6	35.4	HIGH
Unknown	LIST_A	22	500	515	29.4	97.1	11.8	48.3	HIGH

Bowling


Unknown	FIRST_CLASS	696	528	6	4.6	88.0	HIGH
Unknown	LIST_A	36	39	1	6.5	39.0	LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.


old_ball	FIRST_CLASS	46	2452	3384	36.1	72.5	9.5	63.8	HIGH
middle	LIST_A	22	463	469	30.9	98.7	11.9	47.5	HIGH
middle	T20	31	488	387	23.2	126.1	12.9	33.1	HIGH
new_ball	FIRST_CLASS	18	230	326	19.2	70.6	11.7	68.7	HIGH
powerplay	T20	13	122	115	20.3	106.1	12.2	43.5	LOW
death	T20	9	110	72	15.7	152.8	19.4	34.7	LOW

Bowling


old_ball	FIRST_CLASS	612	466	6	4.6	77.7	HIGH
new_ball	FIRST_CLASS	84	62	0	4.4	—	LOW
middle	LIST_A	36	39	1	6.5	39.0	LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.


PACE	FIRST_CLASS	48	1420	2002	29.6	70.9	9.9	66.3	HIGH
SPIN	FIRST_CLASS	44	838	1198	38.1	69.9	8.3	62.8	HIGH
UNKNOWN	FIRST_CLASS	16	424	510	42.4	83.1	12.2	59.2	HIGH
PACE	T20	34	451	365	21.5	123.6	14.0	37.3	HIGH
PACE	LIST_A	19	300	332	33.3	90.4	11.7	51.8	HIGH
SPIN	LIST_A	15	193	171	32.2	112.9	12.9	41.5	MEDIUM
SPIN	T20	27	228	168	22.8	135.7	14.3	31.5	MEDIUM
UNKNOWN	T20	7	41	41	13.7	100.0	7.3	34.1	LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.