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O Kgeresi betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT204031150210.062.03.457.2HIGH
overallT20845964.29.8LOW

Why we like it

Splits where O Kgeresi scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: Mozambique (T20)MEDIUM sample

    96 runs off 134 balls in 7 T20 matches — strike rate 71.6 vs 62.0 overall, average 16.0 vs 10.0 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (T20)MEDIUM sample

    205 runs off 292 balls in 29 T20 matches — strike rate 70.2 vs 62.0 overall, average 13.7 vs 10.0 overall.

  • Phase: middle (T20)MEDIUM sample

    127 runs off 187 balls in 16 T20 matches — strike rate 67.9 vs 62.0 overall, average 18.1 vs 10.0 overall.

  • Opposition: Eswatini (T20)LOW sample

    66 runs off 78 balls in 3 T20 matches — strike rate 84.6 vs 62.0 overall, average 66.0 vs 10.0 overall.

  • Venue: Botswana Cricket Association Oval 2, Gaborone (T20)LOW sample

    73 runs off 88 balls in 8 T20 matches — strike rate 83.0 vs 62.0 overall, average 12.2 vs 10.0 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (T20)LOW sample

    51 runs off 117 balls in 21 T20 matches — strike rate 43.6 vs 62.0 overall, average 5.1 vs 10.0 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

MozambiqueT2079613416.071.62.249.3MEDIUM
Sierra LeoneT205508512.558.82.456.5LOW
EswatiniT203667866.084.66.448.7LOW
RwandaT20623504.646.00.058.0LOW
LesothoT203343311.3103.015.251.5LOW
KenyaT2034301.313.30.090.0LOW

Bowling

LesothoT2036851.31.6LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Botswana Cricket Association Oval 1, GaboroneT202220532912.162.32.455.6HIGH
Botswana Cricket Association Oval 2, GaboroneT208738812.283.08.050.0LOW
Gahanga International Cricket Stadium. RwandaT20612392.030.80.076.9LOW

Bowling

Botswana Cricket Association Oval 2, GaboroneT20603053.06.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownT204031150210.062.03.457.2HIGH

Bowling

UnknownT20845964.29.8LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

powerplayT20291392437.357.23.763.4MEDIUM
middleT201612718718.167.93.251.3MEDIUM
deathT20845729.062.52.851.4LOW

Bowling

middleT20725654.711.2LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACET202920529213.770.25.154.1MEDIUM
SPINT2021511175.143.60.063.2LOW
UNKNOWNT201955939.259.12.259.1LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.