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OB Nightingale betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT202443539825.6109.38.531.2HIGH

Why we like it

Splits where OB Nightingale scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: Jersey (T20)MEDIUM sample

    156 runs off 148 balls in 7 T20 matches — strike rate 105.4 vs 109.3 overall, average 39.0 vs 25.6 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (T20)MEDIUM sample

    214 runs off 214 balls in 20 T20 matches — strike rate 100.0 vs 109.3 overall, average 35.7 vs 25.6 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (T20)MEDIUM sample

    191 runs off 162 balls in 18 T20 matches — strike rate 117.9 vs 109.3 overall, average 27.3 vs 25.6 overall.

  • Venue: King George V Sports Ground, Castel (T20)LOW sample

    133 runs off 104 balls in 7 T20 matches — strike rate 127.9 vs 109.3 overall, average 33.3 vs 25.6 overall.

  • Phase: death (T20)LOW sample

    146 runs off 109 balls in 12 T20 matches — strike rate 133.9 vs 109.3 overall, average 20.9 vs 25.6 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Phase: middle (T20)MEDIUM sample

    246 runs off 245 balls in 21 T20 matches — strike rate 100.4 vs 109.3 overall, average 24.6 vs 25.6 overall.

  • Venue: Sportpark Westvliet, Voorburg (T20)LOW sample

    77 runs off 79 balls in 3 T20 matches — strike rate 97.5 vs 109.3 overall, average 38.5 vs 25.6 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

JerseyT20715614839.0105.47.430.4MEDIUM
GermanyT202505525.090.97.334.5LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

King George V Sports Ground, CastelT20713310433.3127.912.526.0LOW
Sportpark Westvliet, VoorburgT203777938.597.55.134.2LOW
Happy Valley Ground 2T203605630.0107.18.933.9LOW
Sportpark Het Schootsveld, DeventerT202505525.090.97.334.5LOW
Happy Valley GroundT202464023.0115.012.540.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownT202443539825.6109.38.531.2HIGH

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

middleT202124624524.6100.46.531.8MEDIUM
deathT201214610920.9133.911.924.8LOW
powerplayT2074344—97.711.443.2LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

SPINT202021421435.7100.07.032.7MEDIUM
PACET201819116227.3117.910.530.9MEDIUM

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.