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P Nissanka betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallTEST191310229342.357.16.868.8HIGH
overallODI551820212836.485.511.956.1HIGH
overallT20912776204731.9135.618.436.2HIGH
overallFIRST_CLASS210614353.074.111.267.1MEDIUM

Why we like it

Splits where P Nissanka scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: Bangladesh (TEST)HIGH sample

    435 runs off 671 balls in 4 TEST matches — strike rate 64.8 vs 57.1 overall, average 72.5 vs 42.3 overall.

  • Opposition: Australia (T20)HIGH sample

    393 runs off 320 balls in 10 T20 matches — strike rate 122.8 vs 135.6 overall, average 43.7 vs 31.9 overall.

  • Venue: Pallekele International Cricket Stadium (ODI)HIGH sample

    314 runs off 354 balls in 8 ODI matches — strike rate 88.7 vs 85.5 overall, average 44.9 vs 36.4 overall.

  • Venue: Dubai International Cricket Stadium (T20)HIGH sample

    555 runs off 345 balls in 11 T20 matches — strike rate 160.9 vs 135.6 overall, average 61.7 vs 31.9 overall.

  • Venue: Queens Sports Club, Bulawayo (ODI)HIGH sample

    290 runs off 327 balls in 6 ODI matches — strike rate 88.7 vs 85.5 overall, average 72.5 vs 36.4 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (T20)HIGH sample

    1756 runs off 1203 balls in 89 T20 matches — strike rate 146.0 vs 135.6 overall, average 35.1 vs 31.9 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: West Indies (TEST)HIGH sample

    366 runs off 850 balls in 5 TEST matches — strike rate 43.1 vs 57.1 overall, average 40.7 vs 42.3 overall.

  • Venue: R Premadasa Stadium, Colombo (ODI)HIGH sample

    340 runs off 457 balls in 12 ODI matches — strike rate 74.4 vs 85.5 overall, average 28.3 vs 36.4 overall.

  • Venue: Sir Vivian Richards Stadium (TEST)HIGH sample

    163 runs off 390 balls in 2 TEST matches — strike rate 41.8 vs 57.1 overall, average 54.3 vs 42.3 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (T20)HIGH sample

    869 runs off 702 balls in 57 T20 matches — strike rate 123.8 vs 135.6 overall, average 29.0 vs 31.9 overall.

  • Phase: new_ball (TEST)HIGH sample

    403 runs off 668 balls in 17 TEST matches — strike rate 60.3 vs 57.1 overall, average 23.7 vs 42.3 overall.

  • Opposition: South Africa (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    133 runs off 239 balls in 2 TEST matches — strike rate 55.6 vs 57.1 overall, average 33.3 vs 42.3 overall.

Current projections

Sri Lanka v England
ODI
39.9 runs
median 18 · 90th percentile 117 · plays 77% · 46 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

West IndiesTEST536685040.743.13.472.9HIGH
BangladeshTEST443567172.564.87.964.1HIGH
AustraliaODI829335336.683.010.253.3HIGH
AustraliaT201039332043.7122.813.833.8HIGH
IndiaT201142131435.1134.118.536.3HIGH
BangladeshODI927431130.488.112.557.6HIGH
ZimbabweODI4247262123.594.312.648.9MEDIUM
South AfricaTEST213323933.355.68.470.3MEDIUM
IndiaODI718123325.977.712.061.8MEDIUM
West IndiesODI520222950.588.212.255.5MEDIUM
EnglandTEST221721772.3100.013.454.8MEDIUM
New ZealandT201024620324.6121.215.839.9MEDIUM
ZimbabweT20929819642.6152.020.927.6MEDIUM
New ZealandODI818419123.096.315.759.7MEDIUM
BangladeshT20725918037.0143.920.634.4MEDIUM
IndiaTEST16715167.044.47.982.1MEDIUM
EnglandODI49313131.071.08.462.6MEDIUM
AustraliaTEST36212712.448.86.373.2MEDIUM
PakistanT20912212315.399.211.441.5MEDIUM
West IndiesT20615512225.8127.023.049.2MEDIUM
EnglandT20515610731.2145.819.635.5LOW
PakistanODI28010440.076.911.559.6LOW
Police Sports ClubFIRST_CLASS1779077.085.614.465.6LOW
NetherlandsODI3778625.789.514.059.3LOW
ScotlandODI1758475.089.311.951.2LOW
United Arab EmiratesODI1577657.075.06.646.1LOW
United Arab EmiratesT201746074.0123.313.333.3LOW
Bloomfield Cricket and Athletic ClubFIRST_CLASS1295329.054.75.769.8LOW
Hong KongT2016844—154.518.234.1LOW
MI EmiratesT201814281.0192.923.819.0LOW
Desert VipersT202754137.5182.929.339.0LOW
OmanODI13739—94.912.848.7LOW
New ZealandTEST2303810.078.913.263.2LOW
Chennai Super KingsT202603730.0162.229.751.4LOW
Rajasthan RoyalsT201623362.0187.927.333.3LOW
Dubai CapitalsT201673167.0216.135.529.0LOW
Mumbai IndiansT201443044.0146.723.330.0LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Galle International StadiumTEST850189435.856.06.567.6HIGH
R Premadasa Stadium, ColomboODI1234045728.374.49.458.9HIGH
Sir Vivian Richards StadiumTEST216339054.341.83.174.6HIGH
Pallekele International Cricket StadiumODI831435444.988.712.455.6HIGH
Dubai International Cricket StadiumT201155534561.7160.921.430.7HIGH
Queens Sports Club, BulawayoODI629032772.588.711.649.5HIGH
Pallekele International Cricket StadiumT201241127334.3150.522.735.9MEDIUM
Sinhalese Sports Club Ground, ColomboTEST1158253158.062.57.564.4MEDIUM
St George's Park, GqeberhaTEST110720053.553.58.071.5MEDIUM
Rangiri Dambulla International StadiumT20821918727.4117.118.243.3MEDIUM
Kennington Oval, LondonTEST1191175191.0109.114.350.3MEDIUM
R Premadasa Stadium, ColomboT20921317426.6122.413.233.9MEDIUM
Punjab Cricket Association IS Bindra Stadium, Mohali, ChandigarhTEST16715167.044.47.982.1MEDIUM
Zahur Ahmed Chowdhury Stadium, ChattogramODI315114950.3101.314.853.0MEDIUM
Harare Sports ClubODI212714663.587.011.653.4MEDIUM
Sydney Cricket GroundT20417914244.8126.115.535.2MEDIUM
Pallekele International Cricket StadiumTEST26613822.047.84.373.2MEDIUM
Bharat Ratna Shri Atal Bihari Vajpayee Ekana Cricket Stadium, LucknowODI211511957.596.614.352.9LOW
Arun Jaitley Stadium, DelhiT20516510533.0157.126.735.2LOW
Rawalpindi Cricket StadiumT20513410033.5134.019.037.0LOW
M Chinnaswamy Stadium, BengaluruODI2799179.086.89.952.7LOW
GMHBA Stadium, South Geelong, VictoriaT203979132.3106.611.041.8LOW
Galle International StadiumFIRST_CLASS1779077.085.614.465.6LOW
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiT2021278763.5146.017.227.6LOW
Barsapara Cricket Stadium, GuwahatiODI1728072.090.013.851.2LOW
Seddon Park, HamiltonODI2587029.082.912.958.6LOW
Himachal Pradesh Cricket Association Stadium, DharamsalaT202766338.0120.617.536.5LOW
Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal, HyderabadODI1516051.085.013.358.3LOW
Harare Sports ClubT203965932.0162.720.323.7LOW
Sir Vivian Richards StadiumODI3425421.077.89.361.1LOW
R Premadasa Stadium, ColomboFIRST_CLASS1295329.054.75.769.8LOW
Zayed Cricket Stadium, Abu DhabiT203755325.0141.518.924.5LOW
Eden Park, AucklandODI2755237.5144.225.053.8LOW
Melbourne Cricket GroundT202594829.5122.910.418.8LOW
Perth StadiumT201404540.088.94.440.0LOW
Lord's, LondonTEST1264213.061.99.573.8LOW
Sabina Park, Kingston, JamaicaT203514117.0124.419.548.8LOW
Arun Jaitley Stadium, DelhiODI2413920.5105.120.553.8LOW
Kingsmead, DurbanTEST1263913.066.710.364.1LOW
Sher-e-Bangla National Cricket StadiumODI1203620.055.65.663.9LOW
Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium, PuneT201333533.094.311.442.9LOW
Sawai Mansingh Stadium, JaipurT201623362.0187.927.333.3LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownTEST191310229342.357.16.868.8HIGH
UnknownODI531693198235.385.411.956.3HIGH
UnknownT20822543188432.2135.018.436.6HIGH
ZimbabweODI212714663.587.011.653.4MEDIUM
UnknownFIRST_CLASS210614353.074.111.267.1MEDIUM
PakistanT20513410033.5134.019.037.0LOW
ZimbabweT203965932.0162.720.323.7LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballTEST13907162564.855.86.268.8HIGH
powerplayT20911679123835.0135.620.842.0HIGH
powerplayODI52880109933.880.112.865.4HIGH
middleODI29902100439.289.810.746.6HIGH
middleT204490970730.3128.613.328.4HIGH
new_ballTEST1740366823.760.38.268.9HIGH
deathT201218810220.9184.324.520.6LOW
old_ballFIRST_CLASS2638831.571.610.265.9LOW
new_ballFIRST_CLASS24355—78.212.769.1LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACEODI551071127832.583.812.861.1HIGH
PACET20891756120335.1146.021.937.3HIGH
PACETEST19728118942.861.28.369.9HIGH
SPINTEST14547104845.652.24.967.3HIGH
SPINT205786970229.0123.813.432.6HIGH
SPINODI3260168440.187.910.549.1HIGH
UNKNOWNODI1114816674.089.210.245.8MEDIUM
UNKNOWNT202015114221.6106.313.445.1MEDIUM
SPINFIRST_CLASS2497524.565.39.365.3LOW
UNKNOWNTEST2355617.562.510.775.0LOW
PACEFIRST_CLASS24452—84.613.569.2LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.