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PD Salt betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallFIRST_CLASS603392467836.172.59.763.2HIGH
overallT201955498346831.6158.523.431.4HIGH
overallHUNDRED51133390727.8147.020.033.2HIGH
overallODI3097684732.5115.218.149.7HIGH
overallLIST_A621017542.0120.018.949.1MEDIUM

Why we like it

Splits where PD Salt scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: Hampshire (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    618 runs off 870 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 71.0 vs 72.5 overall, average 61.8 vs 36.1 overall.

  • Opposition: Essex (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    462 runs off 786 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 58.8 vs 72.5 overall, average 46.2 vs 36.1 overall.

  • Opposition: Northamptonshire (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    524 runs off 496 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 105.6 vs 72.5 overall, average 43.7 vs 36.1 overall.

  • Opposition: Surrey (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    220 runs off 388 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 56.7 vs 72.5 overall, average 55.0 vs 36.1 overall.

  • Opposition: West Indies (T20)HIGH sample

    670 runs off 367 balls in 14 T20 matches — strike rate 182.6 vs 158.5 overall, average 60.9 vs 31.6 overall.

  • Venue: Kennington Oval, London (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    220 runs off 388 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 56.7 vs 72.5 overall, average 55.0 vs 36.1 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (T20)HIGH sample

    1574 runs off 1088 balls in 122 T20 matches — strike rate 144.7 vs 158.5 overall, average 27.6 vs 31.6 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    564 runs off 818 balls in 40 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 68.9 vs 72.5 overall, average 21.7 vs 36.1 overall.

  • Phase: middle (T20)HIGH sample

    1717 runs off 1149 balls in 86 T20 matches — strike rate 149.4 vs 158.5 overall, average 28.1 vs 31.6 overall.

  • Opposition: Middlesex (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    214 runs off 280 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 76.4 vs 72.5 overall, average 17.8 vs 36.1 overall.

  • Opposition: Lancashire (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    154 runs off 262 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 58.8 vs 72.5 overall, average 38.5 vs 36.1 overall.

  • Opposition: West Indies (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    221 runs off 245 balls in 6 ODI matches — strike rate 90.2 vs 115.2 overall, average 36.8 vs 32.5 overall.

Current projections

Pakistan v England
ODI
27.9 runs
median 2 · 90th percentile 95 · plays 54% · 36 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

HampshireFIRST_CLASS661887061.871.08.763.7HIGH
EssexFIRST_CLASS646278646.258.87.467.9HIGH
NorthamptonshireFIRST_CLASS852449643.7105.616.154.0HIGH
GloucestershireFIRST_CLASS833044641.374.010.861.9HIGH
SurreyFIRST_CLASS222038855.056.77.267.5HIGH
West IndiesT201467036760.9182.626.227.0HIGH
MiddlesexFIRST_CLASS821428017.876.412.168.6MEDIUM
KentFIRST_CLASS423227838.783.510.854.0MEDIUM
LancashireFIRST_CLASS215426238.558.86.162.6MEDIUM
West IndiesODI622124536.890.211.851.4MEDIUM
GlamorganFIRST_CLASS423424429.395.913.150.8MEDIUM
NetherlandsODI324817782.7140.119.833.3MEDIUM
IndiaT201224016921.8142.023.137.9MEDIUM
DerbyshireFIRST_CLASS28216820.548.86.073.8MEDIUM
YorkshireFIRST_CLASS27415837.046.83.873.4MEDIUM
Southern BraveHUNDRED823915534.1154.220.627.1MEDIUM
NorthamptonshireT20521215453.0137.718.234.4MEDIUM
YorkshireT20722815338.0149.021.631.4MEDIUM
London SpiritHUNDRED721515130.7142.417.929.1MEDIUM
PakistanT201123514926.1157.725.529.5MEDIUM
LeicestershireFIRST_CLASS216014040.0114.317.147.1MEDIUM
AustraliaODI814313717.9104.417.560.6MEDIUM
WarwickshireFIRST_CLASS48013613.358.88.879.4MEDIUM
Trent RocketsHUNDRED722213637.0163.224.327.9MEDIUM
Northern SuperchargersHUNDRED922512928.1174.424.831.8MEDIUM
Birmingham PhoenixHUNDRED616911528.2147.019.133.9LOW
Sunrisers HyderabadT20518311436.6160.522.828.1LOW
HampshireT20518611146.5167.623.424.3LOW
Punjab KingsT20719911039.8180.929.133.6LOW
KentLIST_A1137106—129.217.938.7LOW
Oval InvinciblesHUNDRED612510520.8119.016.242.9LOW
Delhi CapitalsT2041869946.5187.930.331.3LOW
NottinghamshireT2051459729.0149.519.626.8LOW
Dubai CapitalsT2041299532.3135.817.933.7LOW
GlamorganT2031689584.0176.826.316.8LOW
WorcestershireT2051569431.2166.023.425.5LOW
PakistanODI31048834.7118.221.655.7LOW
Lucknow Super GiantsT2041588552.7185.935.331.8LOW
LeicestershireT2031008433.3119.015.538.1LOW
Gulf GiantsT20210780107.0133.813.830.0LOW
Sri LankaT2031097736.3141.616.928.6LOW
IndiaODI3927630.7121.119.750.0LOW
MiddlesexT2051007520.0133.318.725.3LOW
DerbyshireT204937023.3132.915.734.3LOW
Rajasthan RoyalsT2041017025.3144.322.944.3LOW
Desert VipersT204916930.3131.915.937.7LOW
GloucestershireT204986932.7142.020.330.4LOW
KentT2051086927.0156.521.731.9LOW
SurreyT2061166919.3168.124.631.9LOW
IrelandT2021186759.0176.125.426.9LOW
South AfricaT2031526676.0230.337.922.7LOW
Chennai Super KingsT205986419.6153.121.937.5LOW
New ZealandT203906330.0142.919.030.2LOW
BangladeshODI3545918.091.515.359.3LOW
AustraliaT203965732.0168.426.335.1LOW
EssexT204885729.3154.424.636.8LOW
BangladeshT203635521.0114.516.438.2LOW
Welsh FireHUNDRED5715414.2131.516.740.7LOW
DurhamT205785015.6156.028.040.0LOW
IrelandODI2894944.5181.634.749.0LOW
Mumbai IndiansT204934623.3202.232.634.8LOW
Royal Challengers BangaloreT201874587.0193.331.126.7LOW
Manchester Super GiantsHUNDRED1483748.0129.716.237.8LOW
Birmingham BearsT202543727.0145.921.632.4LOW
Kolkata Knight RidersT202613430.5179.435.335.3LOW
Royal Challengers BengaluruT202783439.0229.441.226.5LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

County Ground, HoveFIRST_CLASS12862116835.973.810.363.7HIGH
Old Trafford, ManchesterFIRST_CLASS1462686231.372.69.061.3HIGH
Old Trafford, ManchesterT202170845539.3155.620.928.1HIGH
Kennington Oval, LondonFIRST_CLASS222038855.056.77.267.5HIGH
County Ground, BristolFIRST_CLASS426435066.075.411.462.3HIGH
Old Trafford, ManchesterHUNDRED2054134328.5157.722.430.6HIGH
County Ground, NorthamptonFIRST_CLASS431231052.0100.616.859.4HIGH
Trafalgar Road Ground, SouthportFIRST_CLASS221228853.073.69.763.9MEDIUM
St Lawrence Ground, CanterburyFIRST_CLASS423227838.783.510.854.0MEDIUM
County Ground, HoveT201242525947.2164.122.827.8MEDIUM
Eden Gardens, KolkataT201143623743.6184.031.234.2MEDIUM
Stanley Park, BlackpoolFIRST_CLASS215221276.071.76.655.7MEDIUM
VRA Ground, AmstelveenODI324817782.7140.119.833.3MEDIUM
County Ground, DerbyFIRST_CLASS28216820.548.86.073.8MEDIUM
M Chinnaswamy Stadium, BengaluruT20923515926.1147.820.834.6MEDIUM
Headingley, LeedsFIRST_CLASS27415837.046.83.873.4MEDIUM
Kensington Oval, Bridgetown, BarbadosT20826515044.2176.725.326.7MEDIUM
The Rose Bowl, SouthamptonFIRST_CLASS211014855.074.36.855.4MEDIUM
Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, AntiguaODI414313135.8109.217.649.6MEDIUM
Zayed Cricket Stadium, Abu DhabiT20816812924.0130.217.837.2MEDIUM
Dubai International Cricket StadiumT20517012642.5134.915.131.7MEDIUM
County GroundT20721212230.3173.827.024.6MEDIUM
Brunton Memorial Ground, RadlettFIRST_CLASS28612021.571.711.773.3MEDIUM
Lord's, LondonFIRST_CLASS210011450.087.714.061.4LOW
Kensington Oval, Bridgetown, BarbadosODI27811439.068.45.353.5LOW
Gaddafi Stadium, LahoreT20916410727.3153.323.428.0LOW
Kent County Cricket Ground, BeckenhamLIST_A1137106—129.217.938.7LOW
Arun Jaitley Stadium, DelhiT20517510635.0165.125.527.4LOW
Lord's, LondonHUNDRED413010132.5128.716.836.6LOW
Daren Sammy National Cricket Stadium, Gros Islet, St LuciaT2041579852.3160.223.533.7LOW
Headingley, LeedsHUNDRED61399127.8152.722.040.7LOW
County Ground, BristolT20213690—151.122.224.4LOW
The Rose Bowl, SouthamptonHUNDRED41218740.3139.113.824.1LOW
Wankhede Stadium, MumbaiT2071788325.4214.537.330.1LOW
Trent Bridge, NottinghamT2051198123.8146.921.029.6LOW
Edgbaston, BirminghamHUNDRED31148038.0142.516.330.0LOW
Lord's, LondonODI2828041.0102.516.357.5LOW
Brian Lara Stadium, Tarouba, TrinidadT2021577978.5198.729.124.1LOW
National Cricket Stadium, St George's, GrenadaT20213478134.0171.820.525.6LOW
Pallekele International Cricket StadiumT2041097827.3139.716.729.5LOW
Sophia Gardens, CardiffHUNDRED7747610.697.411.844.7LOW
The Village, Malahide, DublinT2021186759.0176.125.426.9LOW
Trent Bridge, NottinghamHUNDRED31206540.0184.629.224.6LOW
County Ground, NorthamptonT202926546.0141.521.536.9LOW
Grace Road, LeicesterT202726536.0110.812.336.9LOW
Edgbaston, BirminghamFIRST_CLASS228647.043.86.387.5LOW
Kennington Oval, LondonHUNDRED4946423.5146.921.942.2LOW
Bharat Ratna Shri Atal Bihari Vajpayee Ekana Cricket Stadium, LucknowT2031246441.3193.832.828.1LOW
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchT202885944.0149.220.327.1LOW
Sophia Gardens, CardiffT2031025934.0172.925.425.4LOW
County Ground, BristolODI21065553.0192.734.543.6LOW
National Stadium, KarachiT206665411.0122.214.835.2LOW
Headingley, LeedsT203685322.7128.320.843.4LOW
County Ground, HoveLIST_A3644921.3130.624.559.2LOW
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-StreetT203714823.7147.922.927.1LOW
Trent Bridge, NottinghamODI2454522.5100.017.862.2LOW
Edgbaston, BirminghamT205894117.8217.141.539.0LOW
Zahur Ahmed Chowdhury Stadium, ChattogramT201383538.0108.614.334.3LOW
Shere Bangla National Stadium, MirpurODI219349.555.95.967.6LOW
Sawai Mansingh Stadium, JaipurT201653365.0197.033.339.4LOW
County Ground, New Road, WorcesterT202503225.0156.321.925.0LOW
MA Chidambaram Stadium, Chepauk, ChennaiT204533113.3171.032.345.2LOW
Maharaja Yadavindra Singh International Cricket Stadium, MullanpurT202573057.0190.030.026.7LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownFIRST_CLASS603392467836.172.59.763.2HIGH
UnknownT201825191328432.2158.123.231.5HIGH
UnknownHUNDRED51133390727.8147.020.033.2HIGH
UnknownODI3097684732.5115.218.149.7HIGH
UnknownLIST_A621017542.0120.018.949.1MEDIUM
United KingdomT201025515525.5164.525.227.1MEDIUM

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS522484331840.174.99.760.7HIGH
powerplayT201843423214832.9159.425.935.6HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS38908136028.466.89.769.4HIGH
middleT20861717114928.1149.417.825.4HIGH
powerplayODI3074062030.8119.420.854.7HIGH
powerplayHUNDRED5190357934.7156.024.737.7HIGH
middleHUNDRED2537229021.9128.311.025.9MEDIUM
middleODI623622547.2104.910.735.6MEDIUM
deathT202335817139.8209.428.719.3MEDIUM
powerplayLIST_A610410120.8103.018.862.4LOW
middleLIST_A110674—143.218.931.1LOW
deathHUNDRED7583811.6152.615.821.1LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACEFIRST_CLASS582728376842.672.410.164.2HIGH
PACET201833539212033.4166.926.232.9HIGH
SPINT201221574108827.6144.718.528.7HIGH
SPINFIRST_CLASS4056481821.768.97.161.1HIGH
PACEODI3076665333.3117.319.853.8HIGH
PACEHUNDRED5189157927.8153.922.635.2HIGH
SPINHUNDRED3340429626.9136.515.229.1MEDIUM
UNKNOWNT204038526035.0148.121.231.2MEDIUM
SPINODI1318717737.4105.611.935.0MEDIUM
PACELIST_A619113738.2139.424.148.9MEDIUM
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS121009225.0108.715.241.3LOW
UNKNOWNHUNDRED6383238.0118.815.634.4LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.