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PR Stirling betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT201202472179321.9137.921.141.2HIGH
overallODI401388160135.686.712.058.0HIGH
overallTEST738759527.665.09.168.7HIGH
overallFIRST_CLASS430048250.062.26.260.6HIGH
overallHUNDRED921613627.0158.825.037.5MEDIUM
overallLIST_A5848016.8105.018.861.3LOW
overallLIST_A17416325.681.5MEDIUM
overallT2016224659.149.2MEDIUM
overallFIRST_CLASS965843.614.5LOW
overallHUNDRED636826.534.0LOW
overallODI241604.0—LOW

Why we like it

Splits where PR Stirling scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: United Arab Emirates (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    297 runs off 291 balls in 3 ODI matches — strike rate 102.1 vs 86.7 overall, average 148.5 vs 35.6 overall.

  • Opposition: Bangladesh (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    139 runs off 188 balls in 2 TEST matches — strike rate 73.9 vs 65.0 overall, average 34.8 vs 27.6 overall.

  • Opposition: West Indies (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    145 runs off 134 balls in 4 ODI matches — strike rate 108.2 vs 86.7 overall, average 36.3 vs 35.6 overall.

  • Venue: Bulawayo Athletic Club (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    185 runs off 161 balls in 2 ODI matches — strike rate 114.9 vs 86.7 overall, average 92.5 vs 35.6 overall.

  • Venue: Sylhet International Cricket Stadium (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    103 runs off 135 balls in 1 TEST match — strike rate 76.3 vs 65.0 overall, average 51.5 vs 27.6 overall.

  • Bowling type: UNKNOWN (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    179 runs off 175 balls in 13 ODI matches — strike rate 102.3 vs 86.7 overall, average 29.8 vs 35.6 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: Zimbabwe (ODI)HIGH sample

    318 runs off 431 balls in 10 ODI matches — strike rate 73.8 vs 86.7 overall, average 31.8 vs 35.6 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    206 runs off 380 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 54.2 vs 62.2 overall, average 51.5 vs 50.0 overall.

  • Opposition: South Africa (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    146 runs off 198 balls in 6 ODI matches — strike rate 73.7 vs 86.7 overall, average 24.3 vs 35.6 overall.

  • Opposition: Sri Lanka (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    104 runs off 186 balls in 1 TEST match — strike rate 55.9 vs 65.0 overall, average 52.0 vs 27.6 overall.

  • Opposition: Netherlands (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    126 runs off 181 balls in 3 ODI matches — strike rate 69.6 vs 86.7 overall, average 42.0 vs 35.6 overall.

  • Opposition: Bangladesh (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    104 runs off 128 balls in 5 ODI matches — strike rate 81.3 vs 86.7 overall, average 20.8 vs 35.6 overall.

Current projections

Namibia v Ireland
ODI
38.6 runs
median 26 · 90th percentile 94 · plays 97% · 51 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

GlamorganFIRST_CLASS2292458146.063.86.159.0HIGH
ZimbabweODI1031843131.873.810.063.6HIGH
United Arab EmiratesODI3297291148.5102.112.748.5MEDIUM
South AfricaODI614619824.373.79.660.1MEDIUM
BangladeshTEST213918834.873.911.766.5MEDIUM
Sri LankaTEST110418652.055.97.071.0MEDIUM
NetherlandsODI312618142.069.68.362.4MEDIUM
West IndiesODI414513436.3108.217.255.2MEDIUM
BangladeshODI510412820.881.39.454.7MEDIUM
ZimbabweTEST26312415.850.85.675.0MEDIUM
New ZealandODI312511641.7107.817.253.4LOW
BangladeshT20618210930.3167.030.337.6LOW
EnglandTEST2819720.383.512.460.8LOW
New ZealandT2041118727.8127.618.448.3LOW
Sharjah WarriorsT202948647.0109.311.632.6LOW
SomersetT204966724.0143.322.435.8LOW
ItalyT204706417.5109.410.945.3LOW
South AfricaT2041006225.0161.324.227.4LOW
GloucestershireT204736118.3119.719.745.9LOW
WorcestershireT2031075853.5184.531.034.5LOW
NorthamptonshireT2021365768.0238.638.619.3LOW
West IndiesT202795479.0146.320.429.6LOW
YorkshireT203915430.3168.522.235.2LOW
OmanT202575028.5114.014.038.0LOW
United Arab EmiratesT205675016.8134.022.046.0LOW
Welsh FireHUNDRED2924992.0187.832.728.6LOW
GlamorganT203694923.0140.820.438.8LOW
United States of AmericaODI1584558.0128.924.455.6LOW
Dubai CapitalsT202544527.0120.015.640.0LOW
IndiaT205574411.4129.522.750.0LOW
ScotlandT203614120.3148.822.036.6LOW
DenmarkT2015539—141.023.135.9LOW
EnglandT203553918.3141.020.553.8LOW
SurreyT202743974.0189.730.825.6LOW
Sri LankaT202403820.0105.315.839.5LOW
Karachi KingsT202433721.5116.213.537.8LOW
Birmingham PhoenixHUNDRED1613661.0169.422.236.1LOW
HampshireT204533513.3151.420.034.3LOW
NetherlandsT202473523.5134.320.040.0LOW
BahrainT201323432.094.111.847.1LOW
Birmingham BearsT202523226.0162.528.134.4LOW
SussexT202363218.0112.518.850.0LOW
ZimbabweT20531306.2103.316.753.3LOW

Bowling

SurreyLIST_A544114.641.0LOW
GlamorganFIRST_CLASS484245.310.5LOW
SussexFIRST_CLASS481602.0—LOW
EssexLIST_A484605.8—LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Radlett Cricket Club, RadlettFIRST_CLASS2292458146.063.86.159.0HIGH
Harare Sports ClubODI721027330.076.910.361.9MEDIUM
The Village, Malahide, DublinODI617621329.382.612.760.1MEDIUM
Galle International StadiumTEST110418652.055.97.071.0MEDIUM
Sportpark Maarschalkerweerd, UtrechtODI312618142.069.68.362.4MEDIUM
Bulawayo Athletic ClubODI218516192.5114.916.848.4MEDIUM
Civil Service Cricket Club, Stormont, BelfastODI310815836.068.49.566.5MEDIUM
Sheikh Zayed StadiumODI2135157135.086.08.951.6MEDIUM
Sylhet International Cricket StadiumTEST110313551.576.311.965.2MEDIUM
National Stadium, KarachiT20619111038.2173.629.133.6LOW
Al Amerat Cricket Ground Oman Cricket (Ministry Turf 1)T20613210926.4121.117.445.0LOW
Edgbaston, BirminghamT20816210520.3154.322.938.1LOW
Dubai International Cricket StadiumT20413110232.8128.416.732.4LOW
Zayed Cricket Stadium, Abu DhabiODI39510131.794.111.952.5LOW
Zayed Cricket Stadium, Abu DhabiT20611310018.8113.015.041.0LOW
County Ground, ChelmsfordODI3758525.088.210.651.8LOW
Bellerive Oval, HobartT2041088536.0127.116.534.1LOW
Castle Avenue, DublinODI2808240.097.615.959.8LOW
Civil Service Cricket Club, Stormont, BelfastTEST1327816.041.03.878.2LOW
Takashinga Sports Club, Highfield, HarareODI2736936.5105.818.858.0LOW
7he Sevens Stadium, DubaiT203686022.7113.311.745.0LOW
Civil Service Cricket Club, Stormont, BelfastT203746024.7123.320.055.0LOW
Bir Sreshtho Flight Lieutenant Matiur Rahman Stadium, ChattogramT203885929.3149.225.440.7LOW
Sportpark Westvliet, The HagueT203795626.3141.119.637.5LOW
Grange Cricket Club Ground, Raeburn Place, EdinburghT203855442.5157.427.835.2LOW
The Village, Malahide, DublinT204855421.3157.427.848.1LOW
Shere Bangla National Stadium, MirpurTEST1365318.067.911.369.8LOW
Sabina Park, Kingston, JamaicaODI2655232.5125.019.248.1LOW
Lord's, LondonTEST1455222.586.515.463.5LOW
Lord'sT204635015.8126.018.044.0LOW
Zahur Ahmed Chowdhury Stadium, ChattogramT203945031.3188.036.034.0LOW
County Ground, New RoadT2018048—166.727.135.4LOW
County GroundT205664713.2140.423.438.3LOW
Queens Sports Club, BulawayoTEST1314615.567.48.769.6LOW
Lord'sTEST1364518.080.08.957.8LOW
Sylhet International Cricket StadiumODI2294314.567.47.060.5LOW
Sophia Gardens, CardiffHUNDRED17442—176.228.626.2LOW
Al Amerat Cricket Ground Oman Cricket (Ministry Turf 2)T202384219.090.511.950.0LOW
Lord's, LondonHUNDRED2664133.0161.022.039.0LOW
Headingley, LeedsT201813981.0207.728.223.1LOW
Lord's, LondonLIST_A2463823.0121.121.163.2LOW
Sophia Gardens, CardiffT201463646.0127.816.738.9LOW
EdgbastonT202603430.0176.532.435.3LOW
Goldenacre, EdinburghT202373037.0123.320.043.3LOW
The Cooper Associates County GroundT202503025.0166.723.323.3LOW

Bowling

Kennington Oval, LondonLIST_A544114.641.0LOW
County Ground, HoveFIRST_CLASS481602.0—LOW
Radlett Cricket Club, RadlettFIRST_CLASS484245.310.5LOW
County Ground, ChelmsfordLIST_A484605.8—LOW
Lord's, LondonLIST_A424616.646.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownT201042229162523.0137.220.941.6HIGH
UnknownODI311043117133.689.112.857.9HIGH
UnknownTEST738759527.665.09.168.7HIGH
UnknownFIRST_CLASS430048250.062.26.260.6HIGH
ZimbabweODI721027330.076.910.361.9MEDIUM
United Arab EmiratesODI2135157135.086.08.951.6MEDIUM
UnknownHUNDRED921613627.0158.825.037.5MEDIUM
United KingdomT201016211016.2147.324.537.3LOW
UnknownLIST_A5848016.8105.018.861.3LOW
United StatesT202503025.0166.723.323.3LOW

Bowling

UnknownLIST_A17416325.681.5MEDIUM
UnknownT2013220939.569.7LOW
UnknownFIRST_CLASS965843.614.5LOW
UnknownHUNDRED636826.534.0LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

powerplayT201201865133021.9140.223.244.6HIGH
powerplayODI4065080631.080.613.467.5HIGH
middleODI1966774439.289.710.349.9HIGH
middleT203458644723.4131.115.030.9HIGH
old_ballTEST727144127.161.58.469.8HIGH
old_ballFIRST_CLASS426242243.762.16.260.7HIGH
new_ballTEST611615429.075.311.065.6MEDIUM
powerplayHUNDRED91298721.5148.325.347.1LOW
powerplayLIST_A5848016.8105.018.861.3LOW
new_ballFIRST_CLASS43860—63.36.760.0LOW
deathODI2715171.0139.213.725.5LOW
middleHUNDRED3854742.5180.925.521.3LOW

Bowling

middleLIST_A16214725.473.5MEDIUM
old_ballFIRST_CLASS965843.614.5LOW
middleT208411858.423.6LOW
powerplayT20609409.4—LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACET201161522114222.1133.320.642.4HIGH
PACEODI39833102834.781.011.763.0HIGH
SPINT207370050416.7138.920.040.7HIGH
SPINODI1637639841.894.511.849.0HIGH
PACEFIRST_CLASS420638051.554.25.366.8HIGH
PACETEST721432723.865.49.567.9HIGH
SPINTEST717326834.664.68.669.8MEDIUM
UNKNOWNODI1317917529.8102.314.348.6MEDIUM
UNKNOWNT2029250147125.0170.128.633.3MEDIUM
PACEHUNDRED91369122.7149.525.344.0LOW
PACELIST_A5848016.8105.018.861.3LOW
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS2667833.084.67.738.5LOW
SPINHUNDRED4703835.0184.223.721.1LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.