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R Lungu betting stats, splits & projections

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT20547749.463.510.871.6LOW
overallT2011410685.613.3LOW

Current projections

Uganda v Zambia
World T20 Qualifier
4.3 runs
median 0 · 90th percentile 15 · plays 46% · 13 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

RwandaT203406113.365.611.572.1LOW

Bowling

RwandaT20666435.821.3LOW
MalawiT20484255.38.4LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

TCA Oval, BlantyreT20547749.463.510.871.6LOW

Bowling

TCA Oval, BlantyreT2011410685.613.3LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownT20547749.463.510.871.6LOW

Bowling

UnknownT2011410685.613.3LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

powerplayT2022643—60.511.679.1LOW

Bowling

middleT20907575.010.7LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.