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R Obuya betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT203566154220.7122.016.147.2HIGH

Why we like it

Splits where R Obuya scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Venue: Gahanga International Cricket Stadium. Rwanda (T20)MEDIUM sample

    272 runs off 191 balls in 9 T20 matches — strike rate 142.4 vs 122.0 overall, average 30.2 vs 20.7 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (T20)MEDIUM sample

    226 runs off 182 balls in 18 T20 matches — strike rate 124.2 vs 122.0 overall, average 32.3 vs 20.7 overall.

  • Phase: middle (T20)MEDIUM sample

    281 runs off 197 balls in 16 T20 matches — strike rate 142.6 vs 122.0 overall, average 21.6 vs 20.7 overall.

  • Opposition: Nigeria (T20)LOW sample

    149 runs off 110 balls in 6 T20 matches — strike rate 135.5 vs 122.0 overall, average 29.8 vs 20.7 overall.

  • Opposition: Rwanda (T20)LOW sample

    160 runs off 109 balls in 6 T20 matches — strike rate 146.8 vs 122.0 overall, average 26.7 vs 20.7 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Bowling type: PACE (T20)HIGH sample

    338 runs off 302 balls in 31 T20 matches — strike rate 111.9 vs 122.0 overall, average 16.1 vs 20.7 overall.

  • Phase: powerplay (T20)HIGH sample

    320 runs off 315 balls in 30 T20 matches — strike rate 101.6 vs 122.0 overall, average 17.8 vs 20.7 overall.

  • Opposition: Kenya (T20)LOW sample

    123 runs off 108 balls in 6 T20 matches — strike rate 113.9 vs 122.0 overall, average 20.5 vs 20.7 overall.

  • Venue: Entebbe Cricket Oval (T20)LOW sample

    129 runs off 115 balls in 6 T20 matches — strike rate 112.2 vs 122.0 overall, average 25.8 vs 20.7 overall.

  • Venue: Gymkhana Club Ground, Nairobi (T20)LOW sample

    102 runs off 91 balls in 8 T20 matches — strike rate 112.1 vs 122.0 overall, average 12.8 vs 20.7 overall.

Current projections

Uganda v Zambia
World T20 Qualifier
13.6 runs
median 6 · 90th percentile 39 · plays 82% · 14 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

NigeriaT20614911029.8135.515.540.9LOW
RwandaT20616010926.7146.822.946.8LOW
KenyaT20612310820.5113.915.752.8LOW
BotswanaT205937818.6119.215.448.7LOW
BahrainT202485648.085.77.146.4LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Gahanga International Cricket Stadium. RwandaT20927219130.2142.420.947.6MEDIUM
Entebbe Cricket OvalT20612911525.8112.212.242.6LOW
Gymkhana Club Ground, NairobiT2081029112.8112.115.451.6LOW
Jinja Cricket GroundT202485648.085.77.146.4LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownT203465553621.1122.216.047.2HIGH

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

powerplayT203032031517.8101.615.256.2HIGH
middleT201628119721.6142.615.736.5MEDIUM
deathT204603060.0200.026.723.3LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACET203133830216.1111.915.950.3HIGH
SPINT201822618232.3124.214.344.5MEDIUM
UNKNOWNT209975824.3167.222.439.7LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.