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R Samson betting stats, splits & projections

Bowler

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT20618279.066.73.751.9LOW
overallT20330234224.310.6MEDIUM

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

Bowling

RwandaT20845834.119.3LOW
BrazilT20724864.08.0LOW
Sierra LeoneT20422834.09.3LOW
TanzaniaT20362824.714.0LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Bowling

Gahanga International Cricket Stadium. RwandaT2013293124.27.8LOW
Gahanga B Ground, RwandaT201028334.927.7LOW
Integrated Polytechnic Regional CentreT20482453.04.8LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

Bowling

UnknownT20330234224.310.6MEDIUM

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

Bowling

middleT20162112124.19.3MEDIUM
powerplayT201088764.814.5LOW
deathT20603543.58.8LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.