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RA Mariu betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallFIRST_CLASS463850608052.063.39.270.8HIGH
overallT2071208820.0136.421.640.9LOW
overallODI2768538.089.412.956.5LOW
overallFIRST_CLASS31215623.078.0MEDIUM

Why we like it

Splits where RA Mariu scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: Auckland Aces (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    1154 runs off 1512 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 76.3 vs 63.3 overall, average 144.3 vs 52.0 overall.

  • Venue: Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    654 runs off 898 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 72.8 vs 63.3 overall, average 163.5 vs 52.0 overall.

  • Venue: Saxton Oval, Nelson (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    496 runs off 676 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 73.4 vs 63.3 overall, average 248.0 vs 52.0 overall.

  • Venue: Hagley Oval, Christchurch (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    448 runs off 594 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 75.4 vs 63.3 overall, average 74.7 vs 52.0 overall.

  • Bowling type: UNKNOWN (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    724 runs off 1072 balls in 30 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 67.5 vs 63.3 overall, average 60.3 vs 52.0 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    826 runs off 1052 balls in 26 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 78.5 vs 63.3 overall, average 206.5 vs 52.0 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: Northern Districts (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    486 runs off 906 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 53.6 vs 63.3 overall, average 34.7 vs 52.0 overall.

  • Opposition: Otago Volts (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    452 runs off 676 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 66.9 vs 63.3 overall, average 25.1 vs 52.0 overall.

  • Venue: Mainpower Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    840 runs off 1536 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 54.7 vs 63.3 overall, average 52.5 vs 52.0 overall.

  • Venue: Mainpower Oval, Rangiora (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    532 runs off 910 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 58.5 vs 63.3 overall, average 33.3 vs 52.0 overall.

  • Venue: Seddon Park (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    292 runs off 532 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 54.9 vs 63.3 overall, average 146.0 vs 52.0 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    2300 runs off 3956 balls in 46 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 58.1 vs 63.3 overall, average 39.7 vs 52.0 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

Wellington FirebirdsFIRST_CLASS10850153647.255.37.774.7HIGH
Auckland AcesFIRST_CLASS811541512144.376.311.563.6HIGH
Central StagsFIRST_CLASS10908145056.862.68.770.5HIGH
Northern DistrictsFIRST_CLASS848690634.753.67.774.6HIGH
Otago VoltsFIRST_CLASS1045267625.166.910.473.4HIGH
PakistanODI2768538.089.412.956.5LOW
AucklandT203715323.7134.022.639.6LOW

Bowling

Auckland AcesFIRST_CLASS26414623.373.0MEDIUM

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Mainpower OvalFIRST_CLASS8840153652.554.77.073.6HIGH
Mainpower Oval, RangioraFIRST_CLASS853291033.358.58.876.3HIGH
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandFIRST_CLASS4654898163.572.810.564.1HIGH
Saxton Oval, NelsonFIRST_CLASS2496676248.073.49.262.7HIGH
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchFIRST_CLASS644859474.775.412.167.7HIGH
Seddon ParkFIRST_CLASS2292532146.054.96.871.1HIGH
Kennards Hire Community OvalFIRST_CLASS2206262103.078.613.064.1MEDIUM
Basin Reserve, WellingtonFIRST_CLASS414024223.357.910.778.5MEDIUM
Seddon Park, HamiltonFIRST_CLASS214618236.580.215.471.4MEDIUM
University Oval, DunedinFIRST_CLASS2321068.030.25.786.8LOW
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiODI1586058.096.713.353.3LOW
University of Otago OvalFIRST_CLASS218564.532.17.185.7LOW
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchT204815320.3152.826.443.4LOW
Molyneux ParkFIRST_CLASS222465.547.84.382.6LOW
McLean Park, NapierFIRST_CLASS224406.060.015.085.0LOW

Bowling

Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandFIRST_CLASS26414623.373.0MEDIUM

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownFIRST_CLASS463850608052.063.39.270.8HIGH
UnknownT2071208820.0136.421.640.9LOW
UnknownODI2768538.089.412.956.5LOW

Bowling

UnknownFIRST_CLASS31215623.078.0MEDIUM

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS382756411255.167.09.167.7HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS461094196845.655.69.277.3HIGH
powerplayT2071188323.6142.222.939.8LOW
powerplayODI2525852.089.715.563.8LOW

Bowling

old_ballFIRST_CLASS28812222.561.0MEDIUM

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACEFIRST_CLASS462300395639.758.18.574.1HIGH
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS30724107260.367.510.670.3HIGH
SPINFIRST_CLASS268261052206.578.510.158.9HIGH
PACEODI25862—93.514.558.1LOW
PACET207715323.7134.020.841.5LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.