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RD Rickelton betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallFIRST_CLASS141208195260.461.99.270.3HIGH
overallTEST15897169037.453.16.771.4HIGH
overallT2054151695730.9158.423.336.2HIGH
overallODI1635142023.483.610.759.3HIGH
overallHUNDRED934519557.5176.925.629.2MEDIUM

Why we like it

Splits where RD Rickelton scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: Kent (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    376 runs off 698 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 53.9 vs 61.9 overall, average 94.0 vs 60.4 overall.

  • Opposition: Pakistan (TEST)HIGH sample

    422 runs off 690 balls in 4 TEST matches — strike rate 61.2 vs 53.1 overall, average 70.3 vs 37.4 overall.

  • Opposition: Gloucestershire (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    326 runs off 428 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 76.2 vs 61.9 overall, average 81.5 vs 60.4 overall.

  • Venue: St Lawrence Ground, Canterbury (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    376 runs off 698 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 53.9 vs 61.9 overall, average 94.0 vs 60.4 overall.

  • Venue: College Ground, Cheltenham (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    326 runs off 428 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 76.2 vs 61.9 overall, average 81.5 vs 60.4 overall.

  • Venue: Newlands, Cape Town (TEST)HIGH sample

    259 runs off 342 balls in 1 TEST match — strike rate 75.7 vs 53.1 overall, average 259.0 vs 37.4 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Bowling type: PACE (ODI)HIGH sample

    237 runs off 317 balls in 16 ODI matches — strike rate 74.8 vs 83.6 overall, average 23.7 vs 23.4 overall.

  • Phase: new_ball (TEST)HIGH sample

    225 runs off 398 balls in 11 TEST matches — strike rate 56.5 vs 53.1 overall, average 22.5 vs 37.4 overall.

  • Opposition: Sri Lanka (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    125 runs off 294 balls in 1 TEST match — strike rate 42.5 vs 53.1 overall, average 62.5 vs 37.4 overall.

  • Opposition: India (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    104 runs off 190 balls in 2 TEST matches — strike rate 54.7 vs 53.1 overall, average 26.0 vs 37.4 overall.

  • Opposition: West Indies (T20)MEDIUM sample

    271 runs off 182 balls in 10 T20 matches — strike rate 148.9 vs 158.4 overall, average 38.7 vs 30.9 overall.

  • Opposition: West Indies (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    51 runs off 127 balls in 2 TEST matches — strike rate 40.2 vs 53.1 overall, average 17.0 vs 37.4 overall.

Current projections

South Africa v Australia
Test Match
24.7 runs
median 11 · 90th percentile 70 · plays 68% · 74 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

KentFIRST_CLASS237669894.053.96.669.6HIGH
PakistanTEST442269070.361.27.768.4HIGH
GloucestershireFIRST_CLASS232642881.576.211.765.9HIGH
WarwickshireFIRST_CLASS221436453.558.811.077.5HIGH
BangladeshTEST415432330.847.75.673.4HIGH
Sri LankaTEST112529462.542.54.874.8MEDIUM
LancashireFIRST_CLASS216224481.066.49.064.8MEDIUM
IndiaTEST210419026.054.77.469.5MEDIUM
West IndiesT201027118238.7148.918.729.1MEDIUM
SussexFIRST_CLASS29215246.060.510.576.3MEDIUM
IrelandODI313514645.092.59.652.1MEDIUM
West IndiesTEST25112717.040.24.777.2MEDIUM
EnglandODI49412131.377.711.664.5MEDIUM
Kolkata Knight RidersT2031499074.5165.624.440.0LOW
Sunrisers HyderabadT2031658582.5194.129.421.2LOW
AustraliaT203987832.7125.615.432.1LOW
AustraliaODI3527217.372.26.962.5LOW
IrelandT2021126956.0162.320.339.1LOW
Lucknow Super GiantsT2031516950.3218.837.730.4LOW
Delhi CapitalsT203755425.0138.920.440.7LOW
Manchester Super GiantsHUNDRED3845142.0164.723.533.3LOW
Punjab KingsT203775125.7151.025.545.1LOW
Chennai Super KingsT203745024.7148.024.050.0LOW
IndiaT205625012.4124.020.054.0LOW
Rajasthan RoyalsT203814927.0165.326.538.8LOW
DurhamFIRST_CLASS2264613.056.58.773.9LOW
London SpiritHUNDRED19442—223.833.316.7LOW
PakistanODI1363836.094.718.460.5LOW
Birmingham PhoenixHUNDRED16536—180.625.019.4LOW
Royal Challengers BengaluruT203563618.7155.627.841.7LOW
EnglandTEST119359.554.311.480.0LOW
AustraliaTEST1223111.071.012.964.5LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

St Lawrence Ground, CanterburyFIRST_CLASS237669894.053.96.669.6HIGH
County Ground, NorthamptonFIRST_CLASS437660862.761.810.272.4HIGH
College Ground, CheltenhamFIRST_CLASS232642881.576.211.765.9HIGH
Newlands, Cape TownTEST1259342259.075.79.459.9HIGH
Wankhede Stadium, MumbaiT201355731050.6179.727.733.2HIGH
St George's Park, GqeberhaTEST112529462.542.54.874.8MEDIUM
Gaddafi Stadium, LahoreTEST111627958.041.65.478.1MEDIUM
Headingley, LeedsFIRST_CLASS29215246.060.510.576.3MEDIUM
Zayed Cricket Stadium, Abu DhabiODI313514645.092.59.652.1MEDIUM
Barsapara Cricket Stadium, GuwahatiTEST17014535.048.36.271.7MEDIUM
Kingsmead, DurbanTEST16013060.046.26.273.1MEDIUM
Headingley, LeedsHUNDRED418410061.3184.027.028.0LOW
St George's Park, Port ElizabethTEST15410027.054.05.071.0LOW
The Wanderers Stadium, JohannesburgTEST1327816.041.05.178.2LOW
Arun Jaitley Stadium, DelhiT2041117427.8150.024.343.2LOW
Narendra Modi Stadium, AhmedabadT2051127428.0151.420.329.7LOW
Zayed Cricket Stadium, Abu DhabiT2021126956.0162.320.339.1LOW
Marrara Stadium, DarwinT202856542.5130.815.429.2LOW
Headingley, LeedsODI13158—53.46.970.7LOW
Sawai Mansingh Stadium, JaipurT202885844.0151.725.943.1LOW
Rawalpindi Cricket StadiumTEST1395439.072.27.466.7LOW
SuperSport Park, CenturionT203995349.5186.828.324.5LOW
Shere Bangla National Stadium, MirpurTEST1285228.053.87.773.1LOW
Kennington Oval, LondonHUNDRED2794979.0161.224.534.7LOW
Queen's Park Oval, Port of Spain, TrinidadTEST1194919.038.84.175.5LOW
North Marine Road Ground, ScarboroughFIRST_CLASS2264613.056.58.773.9LOW
Eden Gardens, KolkataTEST1344517.075.611.162.2LOW
Cazaly's Stadium, CairnsODI1334333.076.77.058.1LOW
Brian Lara Stadium, Tarouba, TrinidadT203514217.0121.414.345.2LOW
Zahur Ahmed Chowdhury Stadium, ChattogramTEST1124112.029.32.480.5LOW
Boland Park, PaarlODI1363836.094.718.460.5LOW
Sabina Park, Kingston, JamaicaT203433814.3113.213.228.9LOW
Edgbaston, BirminghamHUNDRED16536—180.625.019.4LOW
Kennington Oval, LondonTEST119359.554.311.480.0LOW
Lord's, LondonODI1353335.0106.115.257.6LOW
Boland Park, PaarlT2014032—125.09.428.1LOW
MA Chidambaram Stadium, Chepauk, ChennaiT202503125.0161.325.851.6LOW
Lord's, LondonTEST1223111.071.012.964.5LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownFIRST_CLASS141208195260.461.99.270.3HIGH
UnknownTEST14858163637.352.46.771.6HIGH
UnknownT2054151695730.9158.423.336.2HIGH
UnknownODI1635142023.483.610.759.3HIGH
UnknownHUNDRED934519557.5176.925.629.2MEDIUM
PakistanTEST1395439.072.27.466.7LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS141070171659.462.49.370.4HIGH
old_ballTEST13672129248.052.06.371.2HIGH
powerplayT205189058629.7151.924.243.7HIGH
new_ballTEST1122539822.556.58.072.1HIGH
middleT202454032331.8167.221.724.8HIGH
powerplayODI1621827224.280.112.566.9MEDIUM
new_ballFIRST_CLASS613823669.058.58.569.5MEDIUM
middleODI713314822.289.97.445.3MEDIUM
powerplayHUNDRED91539138.3168.125.337.4LOW
middleHUNDRED51417670.5185.525.022.4LOW
deathT206864843.0179.222.920.8LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACEFIRST_CLASS12708118070.860.09.772.2HIGH
SPINTEST1238581148.147.54.670.8HIGH
PACETEST1546979136.159.38.771.0HIGH
SPINFIRST_CLASS1244870274.763.88.367.8HIGH
PACET2051101761929.9164.325.838.9HIGH
PACEODI1623731723.774.810.465.6HIGH
SPINT203238426332.0146.017.931.2MEDIUM
PACEHUNDRED923113346.2173.724.830.1MEDIUM
SPINODI6969319.2103.210.841.9LOW
UNKNOWNTEST3438814.348.98.080.7LOW
UNKNOWNT20171157538.3153.321.330.7LOW
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS4527013.074.311.462.9LOW
SPINHUNDRED411462114.0183.927.427.4LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.