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RL Chase betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallTEST341345292322.046.05.074.3HIGH
overallT201122365187627.2126.115.235.0HIGH
overallODI2557170330.181.28.049.4HIGH
overallTEST44872704513.653.0HIGH
overallT20220326331097.224.2HIGH
overallODI12981085245.045.2HIGH

Why we like it

Splits where RL Chase scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: England (TEST)HIGH sample

    317 runs off 705 balls in 6 TEST matches — strike rate 45.0 vs 46.0 overall, average 35.2 vs 22.0 overall.

  • Opposition: Sri Lanka (TEST)HIGH sample

    230 runs off 427 balls in 4 TEST matches — strike rate 53.9 vs 46.0 overall, average 38.3 vs 22.0 overall.

  • Venue: Warner Park, Basseterre, St Kitts (T20)HIGH sample

    541 runs off 389 balls in 19 T20 matches — strike rate 139.1 vs 126.1 overall, average 33.8 vs 27.2 overall.

  • Venue: Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, Antigua (TEST)HIGH sample

    217 runs off 363 balls in 2 TEST matches — strike rate 59.8 vs 46.0 overall, average 108.5 vs 22.0 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (TEST)HIGH sample

    534 runs off 956 balls in 24 TEST matches — strike rate 55.9 vs 46.0 overall, average 35.6 vs 22.0 overall.

  • Phase: middle (ODI)HIGH sample

    472 runs off 614 balls in 21 ODI matches — strike rate 76.9 vs 81.2 overall, average 39.3 vs 30.1 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: South Africa (TEST)HIGH sample

    124 runs off 331 balls in 4 TEST matches — strike rate 37.5 vs 46.0 overall, average 17.7 vs 22.0 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (T20)HIGH sample

    1134 runs off 970 balls in 93 T20 matches — strike rate 116.9 vs 126.1 overall, average 29.8 vs 27.2 overall.

  • Phase: powerplay (T20)HIGH sample

    415 runs off 366 balls in 55 T20 matches — strike rate 113.4 vs 126.1 overall, average 25.9 vs 27.2 overall.

  • Opposition: Trinbago Knight Riders (T20)MEDIUM sample

    274 runs off 233 balls in 15 T20 matches — strike rate 117.6 vs 126.1 overall, average 24.9 vs 27.2 overall.

  • Opposition: New Zealand (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    59 runs off 191 balls in 5 TEST matches — strike rate 30.9 vs 46.0 overall, average 5.9 vs 22.0 overall.

  • Opposition: Ireland (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    119 runs off 180 balls in 6 ODI matches — strike rate 66.1 vs 81.2 overall, average 23.8 vs 30.1 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

EnglandTEST631770535.245.05.075.2HIGH
AustraliaTEST522948722.947.04.174.9HIGH
Sri LankaTEST423042738.353.94.764.6HIGH
PakistanTEST415836419.843.46.678.8HIGH
South AfricaTEST412433117.737.54.881.3HIGH
Guyana Amazon WarriorsT201341229141.2141.617.230.9MEDIUM
IndiaTEST413726617.151.56.872.9MEDIUM
Trinbago Knight RidersT201527423324.9117.612.034.3MEDIUM
St Kitts and Nevis PatriotsT201431822839.8139.518.931.6MEDIUM
New ZealandTEST5591915.930.93.182.7MEDIUM
Jamaica TallawahsT20922818128.5126.014.935.9MEDIUM
IrelandODI611918023.866.17.262.2MEDIUM
ZimbabweTEST29115230.359.94.660.5MEDIUM
South AfricaT20919614739.2133.315.026.5MEDIUM
Barbados RoyalsT20915213521.7112.614.142.2MEDIUM
AustraliaODI39613432.071.66.754.5MEDIUM
PakistanODI313813069.0106.213.144.6MEDIUM
BangladeshT2051069526.5111.610.535.8LOW
Sri LankaT205607512.080.04.041.3LOW
EnglandT206937223.3129.219.445.8LOW
AustraliaT2041136928.3163.826.129.0LOW
Barbados TridentsT203826827.3120.614.742.6LOW
New ZealandT204726818.0105.910.335.3LOW
United States of AmericaODI1555455.0101.99.335.2LOW
ZimbabweODI1445344.083.05.739.6LOW
Sri LankaODI3425021.084.08.040.0LOW
United Arab EmiratesODI2344534.075.62.237.8LOW
IndiaT203564218.7133.319.035.7LOW
EnglandODI429379.778.48.145.9LOW
PakistanT203363612.0100.05.630.6LOW

Bowling

EnglandTEST988563183.431.3HIGH
New ZealandTEST74452054.2104.0HIGH
IndiaTEST728466113.842.4HIGH
Sri LankaTEST689413103.641.3HIGH
AustraliaTEST53438344.395.8HIGH
South AfricaTEST39617202.6—HIGH
Trinbago Knight RidersT20294293176.017.2MEDIUM
EnglandODI28224645.261.5MEDIUM
St Kitts and Nevis PatriotsT20257326137.625.1MEDIUM
Guyana Amazon WarriorsT20234269126.922.4MEDIUM
ZimbabweTEST2348832.329.3MEDIUM
South AfricaT2018028179.440.1MEDIUM
PakistanTEST1749903.4—MEDIUM
IrelandODI16813664.922.7MEDIUM
United Arab EmiratesODI16811934.339.7MEDIUM
Sri LankaODI15215025.975.0MEDIUM
Barbados RoyalsT2014419368.032.2LOW
Jamaica TallawahsT2014418087.522.5LOW
Sri LankaT2013815526.777.5LOW
IndiaT2013213376.019.0LOW
PakistanODI1208334.227.7LOW
EnglandT2010817469.729.0LOW
Antigua and Barbuda FalconsT201029465.515.7LOW
BangladeshT201029645.624.0LOW
AustraliaODI967104.4—LOW
BangladeshODI907214.872.0LOW
Barbados TridentsT20848265.913.7LOW
New ZealandT20729157.618.2LOW
NetherlandsODI607737.725.7LOW
OmanODI603603.6—LOW
United States of AmericaODI605915.959.0LOW
PakistanT20546527.232.5LOW
AustraliaT20446729.133.5LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Warner Park, Basseterre, St KittsT201954138933.8139.118.535.2HIGH
Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, AntiguaTEST2217363108.559.85.060.3HIGH
Providence Stadium, GuyanaT201334225742.8133.116.031.9MEDIUM
Daren Sammy National Cricket Stadium, Gros Islet, St LuciaT202129323418.3125.215.037.2MEDIUM
The Rose BowlTEST18423042.036.53.077.4MEDIUM
Sabina Park, Kingston, JamaicaTEST37122511.831.64.084.9MEDIUM
Daren Sammy National Cricket Stadium, Gros Islet, St LuciaTEST27421724.734.14.684.3MEDIUM
Daren Sammy National Cricket Stadium, St LuciaTEST1102192102.053.16.874.5MEDIUM
Queen's Park Oval, Port of Spain, TrinidadTEST18717143.550.97.671.9MEDIUM
Old TraffordTEST27316024.345.65.075.0MEDIUM
Sabina Park, Kingston, JamaicaT20620815952.0130.816.431.4MEDIUM
Queens Sports Club, BulawayoTEST29115230.359.94.660.5MEDIUM
Brian Lara Stadium, TaroubaT20617714944.3118.811.432.9MEDIUM
Brian Lara Stadium, Tarouba, TrinidadODI313813069.0106.213.144.6MEDIUM
Perth StadiumTEST16812734.053.53.968.5MEDIUM
Kensington Oval, BarbadosTEST15412027.045.05.072.5MEDIUM
Kensington Oval, Bridgetown, BarbadosTEST14611723.039.31.776.9LOW
Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, AntiguaTEST26410621.360.47.571.7LOW
Castle Avenue, DublinODI38610543.081.98.652.4LOW
Brian Lara Stadium, Tarouba, TrinidadT2091049414.9110.613.838.3LOW
Adelaide OvalTEST1478423.556.08.373.8LOW
National Cricket Stadium, St George's, GrenadaTEST1508025.062.56.372.5LOW
Arun Jaitley Stadium, DelhiTEST1407920.050.66.370.9LOW
Basin Reserve, WellingtonTEST1317915.539.22.573.4LOW
Sabina Park, Kingston, JamaicaODI3337511.044.05.376.0LOW
Melbourne Cricket GroundODI1596759.088.110.449.3LOW
Eden Gardens, KolkataT204806720.0119.414.934.3LOW
Galle International StadiumTEST213643.320.33.189.1LOW
Arnos Vale Ground, Kingstown, St VincentT204495712.386.08.847.4LOW
SuperSport Park, CenturionTEST1225711.038.63.580.7LOW
The Wanderers Stadium, JohannesburgTEST1285714.049.17.070.2LOW
Harare Sports ClubODI2455622.580.45.441.1LOW
Takashinga Sports Club, Highfield, HarareODI1555455.0101.99.335.2LOW
Kensington Oval, Bridgetown, BarbadosT204664922.0134.718.434.7LOW
Seddon ParkTEST117488.535.46.387.5LOW
Pallekele International Cricket StadiumODI2414741.087.28.538.3LOW
Brian Lara Stadium, Tarouba, TrinidadTEST118479.038.36.487.2LOW
Narendra Modi Stadium, AhmedabadTEST1254712.553.28.572.3LOW
Queen's Park Oval, Port of SpainT202414641.089.16.539.1LOW
Sharjah Cricket StadiumODI2344534.075.62.237.8LOW
Bir Sreshtho Flight Lieutenant Matiur Rahman Stadium, ChattogramT202674467.0152.315.920.5LOW
Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, AntiguaT201524252.0123.811.928.6LOW
Sydney Cricket GroundODI1254125.061.04.956.1LOW
Sabina Park, JamaicaTEST112376.032.45.481.1LOW
Central Broward Regional Park Stadium Turf Ground, LauderhillT203363612.0100.05.630.6LOW
Eden Park, AucklandT202343317.0103.09.133.3LOW
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiTEST17333.521.20.084.8LOW
Rangiri Dambulla International StadiumT20327329.084.43.134.4LOW
University Oval, DunedinT201383238.0118.812.531.3LOW
Zayed Cricket Stadium, Abu DhabiT202353035.0116.720.050.0LOW

Bowling

Galle International StadiumTEST45525783.432.1HIGH
Old TraffordTEST41426983.933.6HIGH
Daren Sammy National Cricket Stadium, Gros Islet, St LuciaT20396501177.629.5HIGH
Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, AntiguaTEST37222163.636.8HIGH
Warner Park, Basseterre, St KittsT20348450157.830.0MEDIUM
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiTEST34226514.6265.0MEDIUM
Providence Stadium, GuyanaT20276328137.125.2MEDIUM
Daren Sammy National Cricket Stadium, St LuciaTEST24613203.2—MEDIUM
Queens Sports Club, BulawayoTEST2348832.329.3MEDIUM
Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, AntiguaTEST23415624.078.0MEDIUM
Perth StadiumTEST22217114.6171.0MEDIUM
Adelaide OvalTEST20414224.271.0MEDIUM
Sharjah Cricket StadiumODI16811934.339.7MEDIUM
The Wanderers Stadium, JohannesburgTEST1689903.5—MEDIUM
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchTEST1628313.183.0MEDIUM
Arun Jaitley Stadium, DelhiTEST15811934.539.7MEDIUM
Harare Sports ClubODI15611714.5117.0MEDIUM
Sabina Park, Kingston, JamaicaTEST1569003.5—MEDIUM
Seddon ParkTEST15010904.4—MEDIUM
The Rose BowlTEST1507122.835.5MEDIUM
Daren Sammy National Cricket Stadium, Gros Islet, St LuciaTEST1444001.7—LOW
Narendra Modi Stadium, AhmedabadTEST1449023.845.0LOW
Brian Lara Stadium, Tarouba, TrinidadT20137161117.114.6LOW
Kensington Oval, BarbadosTEST1306082.87.5LOW
Brian Lara Stadium, Tarouba, TrinidadODI1208334.227.7LOW
Sabina Park, Kingston, JamaicaODI1209344.723.3LOW
Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, AntiguaODI12010015.0100.0LOW
Takashinga Sports Club, Highfield, HarareODI12013646.834.0LOW
Brian Lara Stadium, TaroubaT201209664.816.0LOW
Sabina Park, Kingston, JamaicaT2011614147.335.3LOW
Sabina Park, JamaicaTEST1026703.9—LOW
Pallekele International Cricket StadiumODI9810526.452.5LOW
Warner Park, Basseterre, St KittsODI907214.872.0LOW
Arnos Vale Ground, Kingstown, St VincentT20847055.014.0LOW
Eden Gardens, KolkataT20848065.713.3LOW
SuperSport Park, CenturionTEST843302.4—LOW
Central Broward Regional Park Stadium Turf Ground, LauderhillT20789036.930.0LOW
Kensington Oval, Bridgetown, BarbadosT207810848.327.0LOW
Basin ReserveTEST785424.227.0LOW
Rangiri Dambulla International StadiumT20727706.4—LOW
Kensington Oval, Bridgetown, BarbadosODI604214.242.0LOW
Sydney Cricket GroundODI604004.0—LOW
National Cricket Stadium, St George's, GrenadaTEST544805.3—LOW
Castle Avenue, DublinODI484325.421.5LOW
Eden Park, AucklandT20485957.411.8LOW
Bir Sreshtho Flight Lieutenant Matiur Rahman Stadium, ChattogramT20424416.344.0LOW
Queen's Park Oval, Port of SpainT20423114.431.0LOW
Queen's Park Oval, Port of Spain, TrinidadTEST422203.1—LOW
Edgbaston, BirminghamODI364106.8—LOW
Melbourne Cricket GroundODI363105.2—LOW
Sophia Gardens, CardiffODI364417.344.0LOW
The Wanderers Stadium, JohannesburgT203666011.0—LOW
Wankhede Stadium, MumbaiT20363936.513.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownTEST331261269321.446.85.274.0HIGH
UnknownT201112332185527.1125.715.134.8HIGH
UnknownODI2149260230.881.78.651.0HIGH
United KingdomTEST18423042.036.53.077.4MEDIUM
ZimbabweODI2455622.580.45.441.1LOW
United Arab EmiratesODI2344534.075.62.237.8LOW

Bowling

UnknownTEST43372633493.653.7HIGH
UnknownT20220326331097.224.2HIGH
UnknownODI974849205.242.5HIGH
United Arab EmiratesODI16811934.339.7MEDIUM
ZimbabweODI15611714.5117.0MEDIUM
United KingdomTEST1507122.835.5MEDIUM

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballTEST331190255022.946.74.973.8HIGH
middleT20851422116332.3122.313.731.7HIGH
middleODI2147261439.376.97.752.0HIGH
new_ballTEST2115537317.241.65.477.7HIGH
powerplayT205541536625.9113.417.251.1HIGH
deathT204852834719.6152.218.428.8HIGH
deathODI10958213.6115.911.031.7LOW

Bowling

old_ballTEST43392619503.652.4HIGH
middleT2015181762677.026.3HIGH
middleODI1112890194.846.8HIGH
powerplayT20480604297.520.8HIGH
deathT20205267137.820.5MEDIUM
deathODI15616546.341.3MEDIUM
new_ballTEST1488513.485.0LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACETEST32730186416.639.24.479.1HIGH
SPINT2093113497029.8116.912.434.7HIGH
SPINTEST2453495635.655.95.566.3HIGH
PACET209299374126.1134.018.436.7HIGH
SPINODI2326934126.978.97.346.6HIGH
PACEODI2023828326.484.18.550.5MEDIUM
UNKNOWNT203423816521.6144.218.228.5MEDIUM
UNKNOWNTEST68110340.578.610.761.2LOW
UNKNOWNODI96479—81.08.957.0LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.