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RL Toole betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallFIRST_CLASS8431620006.115.81.390.8HIGH
overallLIST_A315267.557.77.761.5LOW
overallT20203—0.00.066.7LOW
overallFIRST_CLASS1715084043102.927.1HIGH
overallT201923501210.929.2MEDIUM
overallLIST_A1189634.932.0LOW

Why we like it

Splits where RL Toole scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Venue: Saxton Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    90 runs off 432 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 20.8 vs 15.8 overall, average 15.0 vs 6.1 overall.

  • Venue: University Oval, Dunedin (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample

    30 runs off 68 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 44.1 vs 15.8 overall, average 7.5 vs 6.1 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

No split is materially below their own format baseline.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

CanterburyFIRST_CLASS221407927.017.71.890.9HIGH
Northern DistrictsFIRST_CLASS20504484.211.20.493.8HIGH
Wellington FirebirdsFIRST_CLASS14422925.314.40.089.0MEDIUM
Otago VoltsFIRST_CLASS16402285.017.52.689.5MEDIUM
Auckland AcesFIRST_CLASS104221021.020.01.987.6MEDIUM
LeicestershireFIRST_CLASS22301.06.70.093.3LOW

Bowling

Northern DistrictsFIRST_CLASS44501950782.625.0HIGH
CanterburyFIRST_CLASS40742078923.122.6HIGH
Otago VoltsFIRST_CLASS30881604403.140.1HIGH
Wellington FirebirdsFIRST_CLASS25941310443.029.8HIGH
Auckland AcesFIRST_CLASS22021066462.923.2HIGH
LeicestershireFIRST_CLASS742396103.239.6HIGH
WorcestershireLIST_A585205.4—LOW
AucklandT20487559.415.0LOW
CanterburyT204886110.886.0LOW
OtagoT204287212.443.5LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Saxton OvalFIRST_CLASS109043215.020.82.889.4HIGH
McLean Park, NapierFIRST_CLASS16423903.510.80.091.8HIGH
Saxton Oval, NelsonFIRST_CLASS6141762.38.00.093.2MEDIUM
Bay OvalFIRST_CLASS6181664.510.81.296.4MEDIUM
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchFIRST_CLASS6221303.716.90.092.3MEDIUM
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandFIRST_CLASS21294—12.82.189.4LOW
Fitzherbert ParkFIRST_CLASS618864.520.90.081.4LOW
Mainpower OvalFIRST_CLASS212786.015.42.694.9LOW
University Oval, DunedinFIRST_CLASS630687.544.18.882.4LOW
Kennards Hire Community OvalFIRST_CLASS21066—15.20.087.9LOW
McLean ParkFIRST_CLASS416588.027.63.486.2LOW
Cello Basin ReserveFIRST_CLASS2454—7.40.096.3LOW
University of Otago OvalFIRST_CLASS2442—9.50.090.5LOW
Fitzherbert Park, Palmerston NorthFIRST_CLASS48364.022.20.088.9LOW
Mainpower Oval, RangioraFIRST_CLASS2632—18.80.087.5LOW
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiFIRST_CLASS24302.013.30.093.3LOW
Grace Road, LeicesterFIRST_CLASS22301.06.70.093.3LOW

Bowling

McLean Park, NapierFIRST_CLASS29941268702.518.1HIGH
Saxton Oval, NelsonFIRST_CLASS1224496182.427.6HIGH
Saxton OvalFIRST_CLASS1216700363.519.4HIGH
University Oval, DunedinFIRST_CLASS1216650163.240.6HIGH
Bay OvalFIRST_CLASS1032468102.746.8HIGH
Fitzherbert Park, Palmerston NorthFIRST_CLASS906610164.038.1HIGH
Fitzherbert ParkFIRST_CLASS872502163.531.4HIGH
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchFIRST_CLASS864402122.833.5HIGH
McLean ParkFIRST_CLASS864458163.228.6HIGH
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandFIRST_CLASS828342122.528.5HIGH
Grace Road, LeicesterFIRST_CLASS742396103.239.6HIGH
Seddon Park, HamiltonFIRST_CLASS576326103.432.6HIGH
Kennards Hire Community OvalFIRST_CLASS564198162.112.4HIGH
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiFIRST_CLASS51616441.941.0HIGH
Mainpower Oval, RangioraFIRST_CLASS510338184.018.8HIGH
Mainpower OvalFIRST_CLASS474194122.516.2HIGH
Cello Basin ReserveFIRST_CLASS40814642.136.5HIGH
Cobham Oval (New), WhangareiFIRST_CLASS40823843.559.5HIGH
Molyneux Park, AlexandraFIRST_CLASS38416022.580.0HIGH
University of Otago OvalFIRST_CLASS28815643.339.0MEDIUM
Basin Reserve, WellingtonFIRST_CLASS26419244.448.0MEDIUM
Pukekura Park, New PlymouthT207211279.316.0LOW
County Ground, ChelmsfordLIST_A604434.414.7LOW
County Ground, New Road, WorcesterLIST_A585205.4—LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownFIRST_CLASS8431620006.115.81.390.8HIGH

Bowling

UnknownFIRST_CLASS1715084043102.927.1HIGH
UnknownT201923501210.929.2MEDIUM
UnknownLIST_A1189634.932.0LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS8427816206.317.21.490.0HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS22383804.810.01.194.2HIGH

Bowling

old_ballFIRST_CLASS1330065442523.026.0HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS38501860582.932.1HIGH
deathT2096182711.426.0LOW
powerplayT2072129210.864.5LOW
powerplayLIST_A666015.560.0LOW
middleLIST_A361923.29.5LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACEFIRST_CLASS681589885.316.01.289.9HIGH
SPINFIRST_CLASS621267905.715.91.391.6HIGH
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS2232222—14.41.891.9MEDIUM

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.