Cricket betting

S Fanning betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.


overall	FIRST_CLASS	34	1708	4040	28.5	42.3	4.8	77.4	HIGH
overall	LIST_A	10	253	323	25.3	78.3	9.3	61.9	HIGH
overall	T20	5	133	94	44.3	141.5	18.1	33.0	LOW

Why we like it

Splits where S Fanning scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

Opposition: Queensland (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
560 runs off 1348 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 41.5 vs 42.3 overall, average 40.0 vs 28.5 overall.
Opposition: Victoria (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
330 runs off 654 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 50.5 vs 42.3 overall, average 41.3 vs 28.5 overall.
Venue: Bellerive Oval, Hobart (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
238 runs off 574 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 41.5 vs 42.3 overall, average 39.7 vs 28.5 overall.
Venue: Allan Border Field, Brisbane (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
298 runs off 554 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 53.8 vs 42.3 overall, average 74.5 vs 28.5 overall.
Bowling type: SPIN (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
600 runs off 1098 balls in 24 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 54.6 vs 42.3 overall, average 42.9 vs 28.5 overall.
Bowling type: UNKNOWN (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
294 runs off 574 balls in 14 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 51.2 vs 42.3 overall, average 147.0 vs 28.5 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

Opposition: New South Wales (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
406 runs off 1106 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 36.7 vs 42.3 overall, average 20.3 vs 28.5 overall.
Bowling type: PACE (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
814 runs off 2368 balls in 34 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 34.4 vs 42.3 overall, average 18.5 vs 28.5 overall.
Opposition: South Australia (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
112 runs off 272 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 41.2 vs 42.3 overall, average 14.0 vs 28.5 overall.
Venue: Cricket Central, Sydney (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
48 runs off 130 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 36.9 vs 42.3 overall, average 12.0 vs 28.5 overall.
Opposition: Tasmania (LIST A)LOW sample
71 runs off 110 balls in 2 LIST A matches — strike rate 64.5 vs 78.3 overall, average 35.5 vs 25.3 overall.
Venue: Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, Perth (LIST A)LOW sample
82 runs off 96 balls in 5 LIST A matches — strike rate 85.4 vs 78.3 overall, average 16.4 vs 25.3 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.


Queensland	FIRST_CLASS	10	560	1348	40.0	41.5	4.6	76.4	HIGH
New South Wales	FIRST_CLASS	10	406	1106	20.3	36.7	4.3	81.9	HIGH
Tasmania	FIRST_CLASS	6	300	660	30.0	45.5	4.5	74.2	HIGH
Victoria	FIRST_CLASS	4	330	654	41.3	50.5	6.4	74.6	HIGH
South Australia	FIRST_CLASS	4	112	272	14.0	41.2	3.7	78.7	MEDIUM
Tasmania	LIST_A	2	71	110	35.5	64.5	5.5	58.2	LOW
South Australia	LIST_A	2	109	109	54.5	100.0	11.9	52.3	LOW
Adelaide Strikers	T20	3	91	64	45.5	142.2	20.3	37.5	LOW
Victoria	LIST_A	2	35	41	17.5	85.4	9.8	65.9	LOW
Queensland	LIST_A	2	26	36	13.0	72.2	13.9	80.6	LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.


Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, Perth	FIRST_CLASS	14	656	1576	23.4	41.6	4.9	79.3	HIGH
Bellerive Oval, Hobart	FIRST_CLASS	4	238	574	39.7	41.5	3.5	74.6	HIGH
Allan Border Field, Brisbane	FIRST_CLASS	2	298	554	74.5	53.8	6.9	71.5	HIGH
Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, Brisbane	FIRST_CLASS	6	202	552	33.7	36.6	2.9	76.8	HIGH
Junction Oval, Melbourne	FIRST_CLASS	2	124	298	31.0	41.6	5.4	79.2	MEDIUM
Sydney Cricket Ground	FIRST_CLASS	2	128	282	32.0	45.4	5.7	78.7	MEDIUM
Cricket Central, Sydney	FIRST_CLASS	2	48	130	12.0	36.9	6.2	83.1	MEDIUM
Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, Perth	LIST_A	5	82	96	16.4	85.4	12.5	69.8	LOW
Bellerive Oval, Hobart	LIST_A	1	66	91	66.0	72.5	6.6	53.8	LOW
Karen Rolton Oval, Adelaide	LIST_A	1	75	90	75.0	83.3	7.8	52.2	LOW
Adelaide Oval	FIRST_CLASS	2	14	74	3.5	18.9	0.0	86.5	LOW
Perth Stadium	T20	3	91	64	45.5	142.2	20.3	37.5	LOW
Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, Brisbane	LIST_A	1	26	33	26.0	78.8	15.2	78.8	LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.


Unknown	FIRST_CLASS	34	1708	4040	28.5	42.3	4.8	77.4	HIGH
Unknown	LIST_A	10	253	323	25.3	78.3	9.3	61.9	HIGH
Unknown	T20	5	133	94	44.3	141.5	18.1	33.0	LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.


old_ball	FIRST_CLASS	34	1392	3234	30.3	43.0	4.8	76.5	HIGH
new_ball	FIRST_CLASS	24	316	806	22.6	39.2	4.5	81.1	HIGH
powerplay	LIST_A	10	161	202	23.0	79.7	10.9	66.3	MEDIUM
middle	LIST_A	3	92	121	30.7	76.0	6.6	54.5	MEDIUM
powerplay	T20	5	106	69	106.0	153.6	23.2	37.7	LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.


PACE	FIRST_CLASS	34	814	2368	18.5	34.4	4.1	82.6	HIGH
SPIN	FIRST_CLASS	24	600	1098	42.9	54.6	6.0	69.4	HIGH
UNKNOWN	FIRST_CLASS	14	294	574	147.0	51.2	4.9	71.4	HIGH
PACE	LIST_A	10	179	228	25.6	78.5	10.1	64.0	MEDIUM
UNKNOWN	LIST_A	4	61	73	20.3	83.6	9.6	60.3	LOW
PACE	T20	5	82	54	82.0	151.9	24.1	46.3	LOW
SPIN	T20	4	35	30	35.0	116.7	6.7	10.0	LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.