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SB Davey betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallFIRST_CLASS481102205422.053.76.974.0HIGH
overallT203413720.5110.810.835.1LOW
overallFIRST_CLASS814435581622.622.0HIGH
overallT2015023069.238.3MEDIUM

Why we like it

Splits where SB Davey scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: Auckland Aces (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    318 runs off 638 balls in 12 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 49.8 vs 53.7 overall, average 31.8 vs 22.0 overall.

  • Opposition: Otago Volts (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    352 runs off 464 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 75.9 vs 53.7 overall, average 35.2 vs 22.0 overall.

  • Venue: Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    132 runs off 328 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 40.2 vs 53.7 overall, average 33.0 vs 22.0 overall.

  • Bowling type: UNKNOWN (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    202 runs off 310 balls in 22 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 65.2 vs 53.7 overall, average 33.7 vs 22.0 overall.

  • Opposition: Northern Districts (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    164 runs off 290 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 56.6 vs 53.7 overall, average 41.0 vs 22.0 overall.

  • Venue: University Oval, Dunedin (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    202 runs off 226 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 89.4 vs 53.7 overall, not yet dismissed vs 22.0 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: Central Stags (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    180 runs off 430 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 41.9 vs 53.7 overall, average 12.9 vs 22.0 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    422 runs off 936 balls in 38 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 45.1 vs 53.7 overall, average 21.1 vs 22.0 overall.

  • Opposition: Wellington Firebirds (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    88 runs off 232 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 37.9 vs 53.7 overall, average 7.3 vs 22.0 overall.

  • Venue: Mainpower Oval, Rangiora (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    70 runs off 184 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 38.0 vs 53.7 overall, average 8.8 vs 22.0 overall.

  • Venue: McLean Park, Napier (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample

    32 runs off 112 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 28.6 vs 53.7 overall, average 8.0 vs 22.0 overall.

  • Venue: Saxton Oval (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample

    44 runs off 104 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 42.3 vs 53.7 overall, not yet dismissed vs 22.0 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

Auckland AcesFIRST_CLASS1231863831.849.85.371.8HIGH
Otago VoltsFIRST_CLASS1035246435.275.912.168.5HIGH
Central StagsFIRST_CLASS1018043012.941.94.779.1HIGH
Northern DistrictsFIRST_CLASS816429041.056.67.673.8MEDIUM
Wellington FirebirdsFIRST_CLASS8882327.337.94.381.9MEDIUM

Bowling

Auckland AcesFIRST_CLASS2142936402.623.4HIGH
Central StagsFIRST_CLASS1658732282.626.1HIGH
Otago VoltsFIRST_CLASS1572676342.619.9HIGH
Wellington FirebirdsFIRST_CLASS1476640502.612.8HIGH
Northern DistrictsFIRST_CLASS1296574102.757.4HIGH
AucklandT20426128.730.5LOW
WellingtonT20425527.927.5LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Mainpower OvalFIRST_CLASS820638225.853.97.376.4HIGH
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandFIRST_CLASS413232833.040.23.774.4HIGH
University Oval, DunedinFIRST_CLASS2202226—89.413.361.9MEDIUM
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchFIRST_CLASS815022425.067.08.066.1MEDIUM
Mainpower Oval, RangioraFIRST_CLASS8701848.838.05.481.5MEDIUM
McLean ParkFIRST_CLASS27416218.545.73.779.0MEDIUM
Kennards Hire Community OvalFIRST_CLASS210614853.071.68.163.5MEDIUM
McLean Park, NapierFIRST_CLASS2321128.028.63.683.9LOW
Saxton OvalFIRST_CLASS244104—42.35.875.0LOW
Hagley OvalFIRST_CLASS2207610.026.35.386.8LOW
Bert Sutcliffe Oval, LincolnFIRST_CLASS2263813.068.410.573.7LOW

Bowling

Mainpower OvalFIRST_CLASS1644622362.317.3HIGH
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchFIRST_CLASS1340490362.213.6HIGH
Mainpower Oval, RangioraFIRST_CLASS1212534142.638.1HIGH
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandFIRST_CLASS744346102.834.6HIGH
Hagley OvalFIRST_CLASS52824082.730.0HIGH
Kennards Hire Community OvalFIRST_CLASS39618282.822.8HIGH
Saxton OvalFIRST_CLASS37220823.4104.0HIGH
Basin Reserve, WellingtonFIRST_CLASS34823284.029.0MEDIUM
Cello Basin ReserveFIRST_CLASS31296141.86.9MEDIUM
McLean Park, NapierFIRST_CLASS31215663.026.0MEDIUM
Molyneux ParkFIRST_CLASS300122102.412.2MEDIUM
McLean ParkFIRST_CLASS27616623.683.0MEDIUM
University Oval, DunedinFIRST_CLASS26413263.022.0MEDIUM
Bert Sutcliffe Oval, LincolnFIRST_CLASS963222.016.0LOW
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchT20487419.374.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownFIRST_CLASS461082197822.554.77.073.5HIGH
New ZealandFIRST_CLASS2207610.026.35.386.8LOW
UnknownT202383138.0122.612.929.0LOW

Bowling

UnknownFIRST_CLASS761633181542.621.5HIGH
New ZealandFIRST_CLASS52824082.730.0HIGH
UnknownT2012620359.740.6LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS46908177421.651.26.574.7HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS1619428024.369.39.369.3MEDIUM

Bowling

old_ballFIRST_CLASS573226721122.823.9HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS2412886502.217.7HIGH
powerplayT20609229.246.0LOW
middleT20546737.422.3LOW
deathT203671111.871.0LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

SPINFIRST_CLASS3842293621.145.15.176.1HIGH
PACEFIRST_CLASS4047880819.959.28.472.8HIGH
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS2220231033.765.28.471.0HIGH

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.