Cricket betting

SB Harper betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.


overall	FIRST_CLASS	108	4954	8114	29.8	61.1	7.5	69.7	HIGH
overall	LIST_A	29	845	874	30.2	96.7	11.2	46.8	HIGH
overall	T20	46	864	631	21.6	136.9	17.0	34.5	HIGH

Why we like it

Splits where SB Harper scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

Opposition: South Australia (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
1542 runs off 2224 balls in 26 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 69.3 vs 61.1 overall, average 38.5 vs 29.8 overall.
Opposition: Western Australia (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
1292 runs off 2166 balls in 22 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 59.6 vs 61.1 overall, average 40.4 vs 29.8 overall.
Venue: Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, Perth (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
938 runs off 1542 balls in 14 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 60.8 vs 61.1 overall, average 42.6 vs 29.8 overall.
Venue: Adelaide Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
820 runs off 1174 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 69.8 vs 61.1 overall, average 45.6 vs 29.8 overall.
Venue: Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, Brisbane (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
260 runs off 362 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 71.8 vs 61.1 overall, average 32.5 vs 29.8 overall.
Bowling type: SPIN (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
1504 runs off 2532 balls in 94 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 59.4 vs 61.1 overall, average 41.8 vs 29.8 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

Opposition: New South Wales (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
640 runs off 1138 balls in 22 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 56.2 vs 61.1 overall, average 20.0 vs 29.8 overall.
Opposition: Queensland (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
542 runs off 958 balls in 20 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 56.6 vs 61.1 overall, average 15.1 vs 29.8 overall.
Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
664 runs off 1202 balls in 20 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 55.2 vs 61.1 overall, average 18.4 vs 29.8 overall.
Venue: Sydney Cricket Ground (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
218 runs off 336 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 64.9 vs 61.1 overall, average 18.2 vs 29.8 overall.
Bowling type: UNKNOWN (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
454 runs off 864 balls in 38 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 52.5 vs 61.1 overall, average 28.4 vs 29.8 overall.
Phase: powerplay (T20)HIGH sample
444 runs off 348 balls in 41 T20 matches — strike rate 127.6 vs 136.9 overall, average 16.4 vs 21.6 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.


South Australia	FIRST_CLASS	26	1542	2224	38.5	69.3	9.2	67.8	HIGH
Western Australia	FIRST_CLASS	22	1292	2166	40.4	59.6	7.6	69.9	HIGH
Tasmania	FIRST_CLASS	18	938	1628	36.1	57.6	5.8	69.0	HIGH
New South Wales	FIRST_CLASS	22	640	1138	20.0	56.2	7.6	72.9	HIGH
Queensland	FIRST_CLASS	20	542	958	15.1	56.6	6.5	70.8	HIGH
Tasmania	LIST_A	6	242	214	40.3	113.1	14.5	43.0	MEDIUM
Western Australia	LIST_A	5	198	198	49.5	100.0	11.6	46.0	MEDIUM
Queensland	LIST_A	6	159	176	26.5	90.3	10.8	50.0	MEDIUM
New South Wales	LIST_A	6	144	162	24.0	88.9	10.5	50.6	MEDIUM
Adelaide Strikers	T20	5	176	126	35.2	139.7	16.7	27.8	MEDIUM
South Australia	LIST_A	6	102	124	17.0	82.3	6.5	45.2	MEDIUM
Sydney Sixers	T20	6	179	113	35.8	158.4	23.0	33.6	LOW
Brisbane Heat	T20	8	138	112	17.3	123.2	15.2	42.0	LOW
Hobart Hurricanes	T20	6	131	83	32.8	157.8	19.3	28.9	LOW
Sydney Thunder	T20	8	57	64	8.1	89.1	9.4	45.3	LOW
Melbourne Renegades	T20	4	105	63	52.5	166.7	22.2	27.0	LOW
Melbourne Stars	T20	4	59	45	14.8	131.1	11.1	31.1	LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.


Junction Oval, Melbourne	FIRST_CLASS	34	1452	2444	34.6	59.4	7.1	69.1	HIGH
Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, Perth	FIRST_CLASS	14	938	1542	42.6	60.8	8.3	71.6	HIGH
Melbourne Cricket Ground	FIRST_CLASS	20	664	1202	18.4	55.2	5.2	68.9	HIGH
Adelaide Oval	FIRST_CLASS	10	820	1174	45.6	69.8	9.4	69.0	HIGH
Bellerive Oval, Hobart	FIRST_CLASS	8	420	630	35.0	66.7	7.6	64.1	HIGH
Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, Brisbane	FIRST_CLASS	4	260	362	32.5	71.8	9.4	64.1	HIGH
Junction Oval, Melbourne	LIST_A	11	338	362	30.7	93.4	12.2	50.3	HIGH
Sydney Cricket Ground	FIRST_CLASS	8	218	336	18.2	64.9	10.1	73.2	HIGH
Karen Rolton Oval, Adelaide	FIRST_CLASS	2	94	182	23.5	51.6	5.5	73.6	MEDIUM
Docklands Stadium, Melbourne	T20	10	255	175	31.9	145.7	17.1	32.6	MEDIUM
Allan Border Field, Brisbane	LIST_A	3	146	127	48.7	115.0	14.2	39.4	MEDIUM
Adelaide Oval	T20	3	166	115	55.3	144.3	17.4	26.1	LOW
Melbourne Cricket Ground	T20	11	133	110	13.3	120.9	13.6	43.6	LOW
Adelaide Oval	LIST_A	3	84	101	28.0	83.2	5.0	41.6	LOW
Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, Perth	LIST_A	3	85	94	28.3	90.4	8.5	48.9	LOW
Sydney Cricket Ground	T20	3	139	83	69.5	167.5	25.3	28.9	LOW
Allan Border Field, Brisbane	FIRST_CLASS	2	12	80	3.0	15.0	0.0	92.5	LOW
Lavington Sports Oval, Albury	FIRST_CLASS	2	16	74	8.0	21.6	2.7	89.2	LOW
Great Barrier Reef Arena, Mackay	FIRST_CLASS	2	58	72	14.5	80.6	11.1	75.0	LOW
Melbourne Cricket Ground	LIST_A	2	70	61	70.0	114.8	16.4	47.5	LOW
Bellerive Oval, Hobart	LIST_A	1	50	57	50.0	87.7	3.5	38.6	LOW
Manuka Oval, Canberra	T20	3	41	40	20.5	102.5	10.0	35.0	LOW
Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, Brisbane	T20	3	49	36	16.3	136.1	19.4	41.7	LOW
Great Barrier Reef Arena, Mackay	LIST_A	1	47	34	47.0	138.2	20.6	35.3	LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.


Unknown	FIRST_CLASS	108	4954	8114	29.8	61.1	7.5	69.7	HIGH
Unknown	LIST_A	29	845	874	30.2	96.7	11.2	46.8	HIGH
Unknown	T20	46	864	631	21.6	136.9	17.0	34.5	HIGH

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.


old_ball	FIRST_CLASS	104	4294	7216	33.0	59.5	7.2	70.2	HIGH
new_ball	FIRST_CLASS	46	660	898	18.3	73.5	10.0	65.5	HIGH
middle	LIST_A	19	539	551	38.5	97.8	10.2	41.9	HIGH
powerplay	T20	41	444	348	16.4	127.6	16.4	38.8	HIGH
powerplay	LIST_A	16	246	282	24.6	87.2	12.1	59.6	MEDIUM
middle	T20	15	375	257	37.5	145.9	16.7	29.2	MEDIUM
death	LIST_A	4	60	41	15.0	146.3	19.5	24.4	LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.


PACE	FIRST_CLASS	104	2996	4718	26.3	63.5	9.0	72.2	HIGH
SPIN	FIRST_CLASS	94	1504	2532	41.8	59.4	5.4	64.0	HIGH
UNKNOWN	FIRST_CLASS	38	454	864	28.4	52.5	5.6	72.5	HIGH
PACE	LIST_A	28	556	601	26.5	92.5	11.5	51.6	HIGH
PACE	T20	44	599	391	22.2	153.2	22.3	36.1	HIGH
SPIN	T20	26	231	214	19.3	107.9	7.5	31.8	MEDIUM
SPIN	LIST_A	15	183	191	36.6	95.8	7.3	36.6	MEDIUM
UNKNOWN	LIST_A	8	106	82	53.0	129.3	18.3	35.4	LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.