Cricket betting

SB Keene betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.


overall	FIRST_CLASS	58	2798	4398	33.3	63.6	8.7	68.2	HIGH
overall	T20	10	214	130	21.4	164.6	26.9	37.7	MEDIUM


overall	FIRST_CLASS	7518	4180	136	3.3	30.7	HIGH
overall	T20	126	173	5	8.2	34.6	LOW

Why we like it

Splits where SB Keene scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

Opposition: Northern Districts (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
894 runs off 1238 balls in 12 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 72.2 vs 63.6 overall, average 44.7 vs 33.3 overall.
Venue: Hagley Oval, Christchurch (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
408 runs off 448 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 91.1 vs 63.6 overall, average 102.0 vs 33.3 overall.
Venue: Basin Reserve, Wellington (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
220 runs off 290 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 75.9 vs 63.6 overall, average 36.7 vs 33.3 overall.
Venue: Seddon Park, Hamilton (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
172 runs off 188 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 91.5 vs 63.6 overall, average 43.0 vs 33.3 overall.
Opposition: Wellington (T20)LOW sample
122 runs off 62 balls in 3 T20 matches — strike rate 196.8 vs 164.6 overall, average 40.7 vs 21.4 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

Opposition: Central Stags (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
328 runs off 764 balls in 12 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 42.9 vs 63.6 overall, average 16.4 vs 33.3 overall.
Venue: Hagley Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
230 runs off 524 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 43.9 vs 63.6 overall, average 38.3 vs 33.3 overall.
Venue: McLean Park, Napier (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
164 runs off 308 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 53.2 vs 63.6 overall, average 41.0 vs 33.3 overall.
Phase: new_ball (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
316 runs off 580 balls in 24 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 54.5 vs 63.6 overall, average 39.5 vs 33.3 overall.
Venue: Fitzherbert Park, Palmerston North (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
60 runs off 214 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 28.0 vs 63.6 overall, average 10.0 vs 33.3 overall.
Venue: Cello Basin Reserve (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
76 runs off 142 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 53.5 vs 63.6 overall, not yet dismissed vs 33.3 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.


Northern Districts	FIRST_CLASS	12	894	1238	44.7	72.2	9.5	64.0	HIGH
Canterbury	FIRST_CLASS	14	776	1214	38.8	63.9	9.7	69.4	HIGH
Central Stags	FIRST_CLASS	12	328	764	16.4	42.9	5.0	78.0	HIGH
Wellington Firebirds	FIRST_CLASS	12	450	680	32.1	66.2	7.9	63.8	HIGH
Otago Volts	FIRST_CLASS	8	350	502	35.0	69.7	11.2	66.9	HIGH
Wellington	T20	3	122	62	40.7	196.8	32.3	27.4	LOW
Central Districts	T20	2	56	31	28.0	180.6	32.3	48.4	LOW

Bowling


Wellington Firebirds	FIRST_CLASS	2088	1012	52	2.9	19.5	HIGH
Canterbury	FIRST_CLASS	1752	1036	28	3.5	37.0	HIGH
Northern Districts	FIRST_CLASS	1524	876	16	3.4	54.8	HIGH
Central Stags	FIRST_CLASS	1164	712	14	3.7	50.9	HIGH
Otago Volts	FIRST_CLASS	990	544	26	3.3	20.9	HIGH
Wellington	T20	48	75	3	9.4	25.0	LOW
Central Districts	T20	36	37	0	6.2	—	LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.


Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland	FIRST_CLASS	20	786	1202	30.2	65.4	8.5	64.4	HIGH
Kennards Hire Community Oval	FIRST_CLASS	10	480	744	26.7	64.5	9.1	70.4	HIGH
Hagley Oval	FIRST_CLASS	4	230	524	38.3	43.9	6.5	79.8	HIGH
Hagley Oval, Christchurch	FIRST_CLASS	2	408	448	102.0	91.1	13.8	56.3	HIGH
McLean Park, Napier	FIRST_CLASS	2	164	308	41.0	53.2	6.5	74.0	HIGH
Basin Reserve, Wellington	FIRST_CLASS	4	220	290	36.7	75.9	10.3	62.1	MEDIUM
Fitzherbert Park, Palmerston North	FIRST_CLASS	4	60	214	10.0	28.0	2.8	83.2	MEDIUM
Molyneux Park	FIRST_CLASS	2	136	212	68.0	64.2	9.4	67.9	MEDIUM
Seddon Park, Hamilton	FIRST_CLASS	2	172	188	43.0	91.5	14.9	62.8	MEDIUM
Cello Basin Reserve	FIRST_CLASS	2	76	142	—	53.5	5.6	70.4	MEDIUM
Bert Sutcliffe Oval, Lincoln	FIRST_CLASS	2	10	62	2.5	16.1	0.0	83.9	LOW
Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui	FIRST_CLASS	2	44	54	22.0	81.5	7.4	51.9	LOW
Basin Reserve, Wellington	T20	2	102	47	51.0	217.0	36.2	23.4	LOW
McLean Park, Napier	T20	2	56	31	28.0	180.6	32.3	48.4	LOW

Bowling


Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland	FIRST_CLASS	2868	1536	58	3.2	26.5	HIGH
Kennards Hire Community Oval	FIRST_CLASS	1168	650	10	3.3	65.0	HIGH
Basin Reserve, Wellington	FIRST_CLASS	780	392	18	3.0	21.8	HIGH
Seddon Park, Hamilton	FIRST_CLASS	384	224	4	3.5	56.0	HIGH
Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui	FIRST_CLASS	348	126	4	2.2	31.5	MEDIUM
Hagley Oval, Christchurch	FIRST_CLASS	312	216	4	4.2	54.0	MEDIUM
Cello Basin Reserve	FIRST_CLASS	288	152	6	3.2	25.3	MEDIUM
Hagley Oval	FIRST_CLASS	288	222	2	4.6	111.0	MEDIUM
Fitzherbert Park, Palmerston North	FIRST_CLASS	264	204	12	4.6	17.0	MEDIUM
McLean Park, Napier	FIRST_CLASS	240	168	0	4.2	—	MEDIUM
Bert Sutcliffe Oval, Lincoln	FIRST_CLASS	216	140	4	3.9	35.0	MEDIUM
University Oval, Dunedin	FIRST_CLASS	194	76	14	2.4	5.4	MEDIUM
Molyneux Park	FIRST_CLASS	168	74	0	2.6	—	MEDIUM
Basin Reserve, Wellington	T20	36	64	3	10.7	21.3	LOW
McLean Park, Napier	T20	36	37	0	6.2	—	LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.


Unknown	FIRST_CLASS	54	2568	3874	32.9	66.3	9.0	66.6	HIGH
New Zealand	FIRST_CLASS	4	230	524	38.3	43.9	6.5	79.8	HIGH
Unknown	T20	10	214	130	21.4	164.6	26.9	37.7	MEDIUM

Bowling


Unknown	FIRST_CLASS	7230	3958	134	3.3	29.5	HIGH
New Zealand	FIRST_CLASS	288	222	2	4.6	111.0	MEDIUM
Unknown	T20	126	173	5	8.2	34.6	LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.


old_ball	FIRST_CLASS	58	2482	3818	32.7	65.0	9.1	67.9	HIGH
new_ball	FIRST_CLASS	24	316	580	39.5	54.5	6.6	70.0	HIGH
powerplay	T20	8	150	99	21.4	151.5	27.3	43.4	LOW

Bowling


old_ball	FIRST_CLASS	5330	2884	96	3.2	30.0	HIGH
new_ball	FIRST_CLASS	2188	1296	40	3.6	32.4	HIGH
powerplay	T20	83	109	3	7.9	36.3	LOW
middle	T20	42	58	2	8.3	29.0	LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.


PACE	FIRST_CLASS	52	1484	2150	33.7	69.0	10.0	66.7	HIGH
SPIN	FIRST_CLASS	56	1056	1884	33.0	56.1	6.6	70.0	HIGH
UNKNOWN	FIRST_CLASS	18	258	364	32.3	70.9	12.6	68.1	HIGH
PACE	T20	9	154	94	22.0	163.8	27.7	39.4	LOW
SPIN	T20	7	59	35	19.7	168.6	25.7	34.3	LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.