SFM Devine betting stats, splits & projections
All-rounder
Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.
Record by format
Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.
| overall | T20 | 84 | 2347 | 1747 | 34.0 | 134.3 | 17.9 | 36.3 | HIGH |
| overall | ODI | 44 | 1337 | 1466 | 32.6 | 91.2 | 11.6 | 50.6 | HIGH |
| overall | ODI | 1277 | 1079 | 34 | 5.1 | 31.7 | HIGH |
| overall | T20 | 1136 | 1303 | 69 | 6.9 | 18.9 | HIGH |
Why we like it
Splits where SFM Devine scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.
- Opposition: Otago (T20)MEDIUM sample
318 runs off 184 balls in 5 T20 matches — strike rate 172.8 vs 134.3 overall, average 79.5 vs 34.0 overall.
- Opposition: Sri Lanka (ODI)MEDIUM sample
194 runs off 183 balls in 3 ODI matches — strike rate 106.0 vs 91.2 overall, average 194.0 vs 32.6 overall.
- Venue: Seddon Park, Hamilton (ODI)MEDIUM sample
270 runs off 263 balls in 4 ODI matches — strike rate 102.7 vs 91.2 overall, average 90.0 vs 32.6 overall.
- Venue: Basin Reserve (T20)MEDIUM sample
398 runs off 249 balls in 7 T20 matches — strike rate 159.8 vs 134.3 overall, average 66.3 vs 34.0 overall.
- Venue: Galle International Stadium (ODI)MEDIUM sample
194 runs off 183 balls in 3 ODI matches — strike rate 106.0 vs 91.2 overall, average 194.0 vs 32.6 overall.
- Venue: Edgbaston, Birmingham (T20)MEDIUM sample
177 runs off 153 balls in 5 T20 matches — strike rate 115.7 vs 134.3 overall, average 44.3 vs 34.0 overall.
Risks
Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.
- Opposition: England (ODI)HIGH sample
371 runs off 458 balls in 13 ODI matches — strike rate 81.0 vs 91.2 overall, average 30.9 vs 32.6 overall.
- Bowling type: PACE (T20)HIGH sample
611 runs off 516 balls in 65 T20 matches — strike rate 118.4 vs 134.3 overall, average 30.6 vs 34.0 overall.
- Phase: middle (T20)HIGH sample
972 runs off 776 balls in 56 T20 matches — strike rate 125.3 vs 134.3 overall, average 33.5 vs 34.0 overall.
- Opposition: West Indies (ODI)MEDIUM sample
147 runs off 182 balls in 4 ODI matches — strike rate 80.8 vs 91.2 overall, average 36.8 vs 32.6 overall.
- Opposition: Australia (T20)MEDIUM sample
109 runs off 127 balls in 8 T20 matches — strike rate 85.8 vs 134.3 overall, average 15.6 vs 34.0 overall.
- Opposition: West Indies (T20)MEDIUM sample
121 runs off 120 balls in 7 T20 matches — strike rate 100.8 vs 134.3 overall, average 20.2 vs 34.0 overall.
Current projections
Against each opponent
Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.
| England | ODI | 13 | 371 | 458 | 30.9 | 81.0 | 11.1 | 59.4 | HIGH |
| England | T20 | 13 | 375 | 269 | 34.1 | 139.4 | 19.7 | 36.4 | MEDIUM |
| India | ODI | 9 | 237 | 244 | 26.3 | 97.1 | 12.7 | 47.1 | MEDIUM |
| South Africa | T20 | 11 | 297 | 224 | 33.0 | 132.6 | 17.0 | 32.6 | MEDIUM |
| Otago | T20 | 5 | 318 | 184 | 79.5 | 172.8 | 25.0 | 31.0 | MEDIUM |
| Sri Lanka | ODI | 3 | 194 | 183 | 194.0 | 106.0 | 12.6 | 37.2 | MEDIUM |
| West Indies | ODI | 4 | 147 | 182 | 36.8 | 80.8 | 7.7 | 48.4 | MEDIUM |
| South Africa | ODI | 4 | 140 | 159 | 35.0 | 88.1 | 13.2 | 53.5 | MEDIUM |
| Australia | T20 | 8 | 109 | 127 | 15.6 | 85.8 | 10.2 | 52.0 | MEDIUM |
| Barbados Royals | T20 | 3 | 167 | 124 | 83.5 | 134.7 | 20.2 | 35.5 | MEDIUM |
| West Indies | T20 | 7 | 121 | 120 | 20.2 | 100.8 | 10.8 | 45.8 | MEDIUM |
| Canterbury | T20 | 6 | 130 | 106 | 21.7 | 122.6 | 18.9 | 44.3 | LOW |
| Auckland | T20 | 6 | 158 | 100 | 26.3 | 158.0 | 25.0 | 41.0 | LOW |
| Sri Lanka | T20 | 7 | 136 | 95 | 34.0 | 143.2 | 15.8 | 25.3 | LOW |
| Pakistan | ODI | 4 | 124 | 92 | 24.8 | 134.8 | 17.4 | 43.5 | LOW |
| Bangladesh | T20 | 4 | 111 | 82 | 27.8 | 135.4 | 19.5 | 34.1 | LOW |
| Northern Districts | T20 | 4 | 122 | 82 | 61.0 | 148.8 | 15.9 | 30.5 | LOW |
| Bangladesh | ODI | 4 | 78 | 81 | 26.0 | 96.3 | 9.9 | 38.3 | LOW |
| Australia | ODI | 3 | 46 | 67 | 15.3 | 68.7 | 9.0 | 64.2 | LOW |
| Central Districts | T20 | 2 | 93 | 67 | 46.5 | 138.8 | 17.9 | 28.4 | LOW |
| India | T20 | 2 | 88 | 59 | 88.0 | 149.2 | 18.6 | 25.4 | LOW |
| Trinbago Knight Riders | T20 | 2 | 86 | 57 | 86.0 | 150.9 | 19.3 | 38.6 | LOW |
| Pakistan | T20 | 3 | 35 | 47 | 11.7 | 74.5 | 4.3 | 38.3 | LOW |
Bowling
| England | ODI | 412 | 368 | 9 | 5.4 | 40.9 | HIGH |
| India | ODI | 255 | 219 | 8 | 5.2 | 27.4 | MEDIUM |
| England | T20 | 170 | 236 | 6 | 8.3 | 39.3 | MEDIUM |
| South Africa | T20 | 162 | 213 | 12 | 7.9 | 17.8 | MEDIUM |
| South Africa | ODI | 138 | 121 | 5 | 5.3 | 24.2 | LOW |
| West Indies | ODI | 124 | 103 | 2 | 5.0 | 51.5 | LOW |
| Auckland | T20 | 118 | 116 | 8 | 5.9 | 14.5 | LOW |
| Australia | ODI | 108 | 95 | 2 | 5.3 | 47.5 | LOW |
| Pakistan | ODI | 108 | 83 | 5 | 4.6 | 16.6 | LOW |
| Canterbury | T20 | 108 | 87 | 10 | 4.8 | 8.7 | LOW |
| West Indies | T20 | 89 | 89 | 5 | 6.0 | 17.8 | LOW |
| Sri Lanka | ODI | 78 | 67 | 3 | 5.2 | 22.3 | LOW |
| Australia | T20 | 75 | 122 | 3 | 9.8 | 40.7 | LOW |
| Northern Districts | T20 | 72 | 56 | 8 | 4.7 | 7.0 | LOW |
| Otago | T20 | 68 | 66 | 3 | 5.8 | 22.0 | LOW |
| Barbados Royals | T20 | 60 | 66 | 2 | 6.6 | 33.0 | LOW |
| Bangladesh | ODI | 54 | 23 | 0 | 2.6 | — | LOW |
| Sri Lanka | T20 | 52 | 62 | 0 | 7.2 | — | LOW |
| Central Districts | T20 | 36 | 40 | 2 | 6.7 | 20.0 | LOW |
| Trinbago Knight Riders | T20 | 36 | 43 | 3 | 7.2 | 14.3 | LOW |
By venue
Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.
| Seddon Park, Hamilton | ODI | 4 | 270 | 263 | 90.0 | 102.7 | 14.8 | 47.1 | MEDIUM |
| Basin Reserve | T20 | 7 | 398 | 249 | 66.3 | 159.8 | 20.9 | 28.5 | MEDIUM |
| Galle International Stadium | ODI | 3 | 194 | 183 | 194.0 | 106.0 | 12.6 | 37.2 | MEDIUM |
| Edgbaston, Birmingham | T20 | 5 | 177 | 153 | 44.3 | 115.7 | 15.7 | 41.2 | MEDIUM |
| John Davies Oval, Queenstown | ODI | 6 | 182 | 148 | 30.3 | 123.0 | 14.9 | 41.2 | MEDIUM |
| Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui | ODI | 1 | 108 | 126 | 108.0 | 85.7 | 7.9 | 41.3 | MEDIUM |
| Kensington Oval, Bridgetown, Barbados | T20 | 2 | 145 | 104 | 145.0 | 139.4 | 20.2 | 31.7 | LOW |
| County Ground, Bristol | ODI | 2 | 77 | 102 | 38.5 | 75.5 | 9.8 | 54.9 | LOW |
| Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad | ODI | 3 | 90 | 102 | 30.0 | 88.2 | 9.8 | 45.1 | LOW |
| St Lawrence Ground, Canterbury | T20 | 2 | 145 | 99 | 145.0 | 146.5 | 20.2 | 30.3 | LOW |
| Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, Antigua | T20 | 5 | 87 | 94 | 21.8 | 92.6 | 9.6 | 51.1 | LOW |
| Basin Reserve, Wellington | ODI | 4 | 67 | 91 | 16.8 | 73.6 | 9.9 | 61.5 | LOW |
| Eden Park, Auckland | T20 | 3 | 99 | 82 | 99.0 | 120.7 | 14.6 | 34.1 | LOW |
| Seddon Park, Hamilton | T20 | 2 | 117 | 80 | 58.5 | 146.3 | 23.8 | 42.5 | LOW |
| County Ground, New Road, Worcester | ODI | 2 | 56 | 75 | 28.0 | 74.7 | 12.0 | 65.3 | LOW |
| Dubai International Cricket Stadium | T20 | 3 | 82 | 71 | 41.0 | 115.5 | 9.9 | 22.5 | LOW |
| University Oval, Dunedin | T20 | 4 | 73 | 71 | 18.3 | 102.8 | 9.9 | 36.6 | LOW |
| Hagley Oval, Christchurch | ODI | 3 | 54 | 56 | 13.5 | 96.4 | 14.3 | 57.1 | LOW |
| Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, Antigua | ODI | 3 | 39 | 56 | 13.0 | 69.6 | 7.1 | 64.3 | LOW |
| John Davies Oval, Queenstown | T20 | 2 | 78 | 56 | 39.0 | 139.3 | 19.6 | 37.5 | LOW |
| Saxton Oval, Nelson | T20 | 2 | 77 | 51 | 38.5 | 151.0 | 17.6 | 25.5 | LOW |
| The Rose Bowl, Southampton | T20 | 3 | 67 | 49 | 22.3 | 136.7 | 16.3 | 26.5 | LOW |
| County Ground, Derby | ODI | 1 | 41 | 48 | 41.0 | 85.4 | 12.5 | 66.7 | LOW |
| Eden Park, Auckland | ODI | 1 | 41 | 48 | 41.0 | 85.4 | 10.4 | 58.3 | LOW |
| Basin Reserve, Wellington | T20 | 6 | 26 | 47 | 4.3 | 55.3 | 4.3 | 61.7 | LOW |
| Sky Stadium, Wellington | T20 | 2 | 65 | 43 | 32.5 | 151.2 | 23.3 | 39.5 | LOW |
| Willowmoore Park, Benoni | T20 | 2 | 69 | 43 | 69.0 | 160.5 | 20.9 | 18.6 | LOW |
| Brian Lara Stadium, Tarouba, Trinidad | T20 | 2 | 60 | 39 | 60.0 | 153.8 | 25.6 | 46.2 | LOW |
| Queen's Park Oval, Port of Spain, Trinidad | T20 | 1 | 48 | 38 | 48.0 | 126.3 | 13.2 | 39.5 | LOW |
| Eden Park Outer Oval | T20 | 2 | 39 | 37 | 19.5 | 105.4 | 13.5 | 43.2 | LOW |
| University Oval | T20 | 1 | 108 | 37 | — | 291.9 | 48.6 | 18.9 | LOW |
| Kingsmead, Durban | ODI | 1 | 30 | 36 | 30.0 | 83.3 | 13.9 | 58.3 | LOW |
| Hagley Oval, Christchurch | T20 | 3 | 45 | 36 | 15.0 | 125.0 | 16.7 | 33.3 | LOW |
| University Oval | ODI | 2 | 21 | 34 | 10.5 | 61.8 | 5.9 | 58.8 | LOW |
| Sharjah Cricket Stadium | T20 | 3 | 32 | 34 | 16.0 | 94.1 | 5.9 | 38.2 | LOW |
| P Sara Oval, Colombo | T20 | 3 | 51 | 31 | 25.5 | 164.5 | 16.1 | 12.9 | LOW |
| Boland Park, Paarl | T20 | 3 | 19 | 30 | 9.5 | 63.3 | 3.3 | 46.7 | LOW |
Bowling
| John Davies Oval, Queenstown | ODI | 162 | 137 | 5 | 5.1 | 27.4 | MEDIUM |
| Basin Reserve, Wellington | ODI | 138 | 108 | 2 | 4.7 | 54.0 | LOW |
| Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad | ODI | 123 | 101 | 4 | 4.9 | 25.3 | LOW |
| Basin Reserve, Wellington | T20 | 112 | 115 | 9 | 6.2 | 12.8 | LOW |
| Basin Reserve | T20 | 102 | 95 | 4 | 5.6 | 23.8 | LOW |
| County Ground, Bristol | ODI | 100 | 86 | 2 | 5.2 | 43.0 | LOW |
| Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, Antigua | ODI | 88 | 70 | 2 | 4.8 | 35.0 | LOW |
| Edgbaston, Birmingham | T20 | 81 | 89 | 6 | 6.6 | 14.8 | LOW |
| Galle International Stadium | ODI | 78 | 67 | 3 | 5.2 | 22.3 | LOW |
| Hagley Oval, Christchurch | ODI | 78 | 64 | 4 | 4.9 | 16.0 | LOW |
| University Oval | ODI | 78 | 56 | 2 | 4.3 | 28.0 | LOW |
| Hagley Oval, Christchurch | T20 | 66 | 50 | 9 | 4.5 | 5.6 | LOW |
| Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, Antigua | T20 | 66 | 62 | 5 | 5.6 | 12.4 | LOW |
| County Ground, Derby | ODI | 60 | 55 | 2 | 5.5 | 27.5 | LOW |
| St Lawrence Ground, Canterbury | ODI | 60 | 74 | 1 | 7.4 | 74.0 | LOW |
| Grace Road, Leicester | ODI | 54 | 26 | 0 | 2.9 | — | LOW |
| Kingsmead, Durban | ODI | 54 | 33 | 3 | 3.7 | 11.0 | LOW |
| University Oval, Dunedin | T20 | 54 | 70 | 3 | 7.8 | 23.3 | LOW |
| The Rose Bowl, Southampton | T20 | 51 | 73 | 0 | 8.6 | — | LOW |
| County Ground, New Road, Worcester | ODI | 48 | 53 | 2 | 6.6 | 26.5 | LOW |
| Eden Park Outer Oval | T20 | 48 | 37 | 5 | 4.6 | 7.4 | LOW |
| Kensington Oval, Bridgetown, Barbados | T20 | 48 | 42 | 2 | 5.3 | 21.0 | LOW |
| Seddon Park, Hamilton | T20 | 46 | 60 | 2 | 7.8 | 30.0 | LOW |
| Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui | T20 | 42 | 50 | 5 | 7.1 | 10.0 | LOW |
| Eden Park, Auckland | T20 | 42 | 50 | 3 | 7.1 | 16.7 | LOW |
| Sky Stadium, Wellington | T20 | 42 | 57 | 2 | 8.1 | 28.5 | LOW |
| Willowmoore Park, Benoni | T20 | 42 | 62 | 0 | 8.9 | — | LOW |
| Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui | ODI | 36 | 33 | 0 | 5.5 | — | LOW |
| Senwes Park, Potchefstroom | ODI | 36 | 38 | 1 | 6.3 | 38.0 | LOW |
| Saxton Oval, Nelson | T20 | 36 | 53 | 4 | 8.8 | 13.3 | LOW |
By country
Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.
| Unknown | T20 | 81 | 2315 | 1713 | 34.6 | 135.1 | 18.2 | 36.3 | HIGH |
| Unknown | ODI | 44 | 1337 | 1466 | 32.6 | 91.2 | 11.6 | 50.6 | HIGH |
| United Arab Emirates | T20 | 3 | 32 | 34 | 16.0 | 94.1 | 5.9 | 38.2 | LOW |
Bowling
| Unknown | ODI | 1277 | 1079 | 34 | 5.1 | 31.7 | HIGH |
| Unknown | T20 | 1124 | 1285 | 69 | 6.9 | 18.6 | HIGH |
By match phase
Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.
| middle | ODI | 30 | 832 | 952 | 39.6 | 87.4 | 10.7 | 49.9 | HIGH |
| middle | T20 | 56 | 972 | 776 | 33.5 | 125.3 | 15.2 | 34.0 | HIGH |
| powerplay | T20 | 56 | 908 | 712 | 37.8 | 127.5 | 19.2 | 44.9 | HIGH |
| powerplay | ODI | 30 | 359 | 430 | 25.6 | 83.5 | 11.4 | 57.4 | HIGH |
| death | T20 | 26 | 467 | 259 | 29.2 | 180.3 | 22.4 | 19.7 | MEDIUM |
| death | ODI | 6 | 146 | 84 | 24.3 | 173.8 | 22.6 | 23.8 | LOW |
Bowling
| middle | ODI | 772 | 587 | 18 | 4.6 | 32.6 | HIGH |
| powerplay | T20 | 420 | 427 | 20 | 6.1 | 21.4 | HIGH |
| middle | T20 | 409 | 469 | 27 | 6.9 | 17.4 | HIGH |
| powerplay | ODI | 336 | 302 | 4 | 5.4 | 75.5 | MEDIUM |
| death | T20 | 307 | 407 | 22 | 8.0 | 18.5 | MEDIUM |
| death | ODI | 169 | 190 | 12 | 6.7 | 15.8 | MEDIUM |
Against pace and spin
Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.
| SPIN | T20 | 73 | 1432 | 1012 | 37.7 | 141.5 | 18.7 | 34.0 | HIGH |
| SPIN | ODI | 35 | 734 | 766 | 38.6 | 95.8 | 11.5 | 47.4 | HIGH |
| PACE | T20 | 65 | 611 | 516 | 30.6 | 118.4 | 16.1 | 41.9 | HIGH |
| PACE | ODI | 31 | 431 | 486 | 26.9 | 88.7 | 12.3 | 52.7 | HIGH |
| UNKNOWN | T20 | 32 | 304 | 219 | 27.6 | 138.8 | 18.7 | 34.2 | MEDIUM |
| UNKNOWN | ODI | 18 | 172 | 214 | 28.7 | 80.4 | 10.3 | 57.5 | MEDIUM |
How these splits are used
The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.