SM Elliott betting stats, splits & projections
All-rounder
Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.
Record by format
Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.
| overall | FIRST_CLASS | 34 | 908 | 2246 | 20.6 | 40.4 | 4.7 | 78.9 | HIGH |
| overall | LIST_A | 17 | 236 | 288 | 21.5 | 81.9 | 8.3 | 54.9 | MEDIUM |
| overall | T20 | 4 | 21 | 24 | 7.0 | 87.5 | 12.5 | 54.2 | LOW |
| overall | FIRST_CLASS | 5618 | 2862 | 122 | 3.1 | 23.5 | HIGH |
| overall | LIST_A | 981 | 996 | 35 | 6.1 | 28.5 | HIGH |
| overall | T20 | 77 | 97 | 5 | 7.6 | 19.4 | LOW |
Why we like it
Splits where SM Elliott scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.
- Opposition: Tasmania (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
340 runs off 764 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 44.5 vs 40.4 overall, average 34.0 vs 20.6 overall.
- Phase: death (LIST A)MEDIUM sample
174 runs off 150 balls in 10 LIST A matches — strike rate 116.0 vs 81.9 overall, average 34.8 vs 21.5 overall.
Risks
Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.
- Opposition: South Australia (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
88 runs off 228 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 38.6 vs 40.4 overall, average 11.0 vs 20.6 overall.
- Venue: Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, Perth (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
52 runs off 190 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 27.4 vs 40.4 overall, average 26.0 vs 20.6 overall.
- Phase: middle (LIST A)MEDIUM sample
62 runs off 138 balls in 12 LIST A matches — strike rate 44.9 vs 81.9 overall, average 10.3 vs 21.5 overall.
- Opposition: New South Wales (LIST A)LOW sample
51 runs off 72 balls in 5 LIST A matches — strike rate 70.8 vs 81.9 overall, average 12.8 vs 21.5 overall.
Against each opponent
Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.
| Tasmania | FIRST_CLASS | 8 | 340 | 764 | 34.0 | 44.5 | 5.2 | 75.7 | HIGH |
| Queensland | FIRST_CLASS | 8 | 208 | 576 | 17.3 | 36.1 | 4.2 | 80.9 | HIGH |
| New South Wales | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 168 | 388 | 21.0 | 43.3 | 6.2 | 78.4 | HIGH |
| Western Australia | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 104 | 290 | 17.3 | 35.9 | 2.8 | 81.4 | MEDIUM |
| South Australia | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 88 | 228 | 11.0 | 38.6 | 4.4 | 82.5 | MEDIUM |
| Tasmania | LIST_A | 4 | 76 | 96 | 38.0 | 79.2 | 6.3 | 51.0 | LOW |
| New South Wales | LIST_A | 5 | 51 | 72 | 12.8 | 70.8 | 6.9 | 56.9 | LOW |
| Queensland | LIST_A | 3 | 51 | 44 | 25.5 | 115.9 | 15.9 | 47.7 | LOW |
| Western Australia | LIST_A | 3 | 24 | 40 | 12.0 | 60.0 | 2.5 | 62.5 | LOW |
| South Australia | LIST_A | 2 | 34 | 36 | 34.0 | 94.4 | 13.9 | 61.1 | LOW |
Bowling
| Queensland | FIRST_CLASS | 1524 | 734 | 34 | 2.9 | 21.6 | HIGH |
| Tasmania | FIRST_CLASS | 1442 | 782 | 22 | 3.3 | 35.5 | HIGH |
| Western Australia | FIRST_CLASS | 1130 | 532 | 32 | 2.8 | 16.6 | HIGH |
| South Australia | FIRST_CLASS | 876 | 458 | 8 | 3.1 | 57.3 | HIGH |
| New South Wales | FIRST_CLASS | 646 | 356 | 26 | 3.3 | 13.7 | HIGH |
| New South Wales | LIST_A | 260 | 276 | 6 | 6.4 | 46.0 | MEDIUM |
| Tasmania | LIST_A | 242 | 222 | 16 | 5.5 | 13.9 | MEDIUM |
| Queensland | LIST_A | 173 | 186 | 5 | 6.5 | 37.2 | MEDIUM |
| Western Australia | LIST_A | 162 | 147 | 4 | 5.4 | 36.8 | MEDIUM |
| South Australia | LIST_A | 144 | 165 | 4 | 6.9 | 41.3 | LOW |
| Perth Scorchers | T20 | 36 | 40 | 4 | 6.7 | 10.0 | LOW |
By venue
Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.
| Melbourne Cricket Ground | FIRST_CLASS | 10 | 326 | 812 | 20.4 | 40.1 | 3.7 | 77.1 | HIGH |
| Junction Oval, Melbourne | FIRST_CLASS | 12 | 236 | 542 | 16.9 | 43.5 | 5.9 | 80.8 | HIGH |
| Bellerive Oval, Hobart | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 152 | 332 | 25.3 | 45.8 | 7.2 | 78.3 | HIGH |
| Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, Brisbane | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 94 | 244 | 23.5 | 38.5 | 5.7 | 79.5 | MEDIUM |
| Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, Perth | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 52 | 190 | 26.0 | 27.4 | 0.0 | 82.1 | MEDIUM |
| Junction Oval, Melbourne | LIST_A | 8 | 110 | 145 | 27.5 | 75.9 | 9.0 | 59.3 | MEDIUM |
| Sydney Cricket Ground | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 48 | 126 | 24.0 | 38.1 | 4.8 | 77.8 | MEDIUM |
| Bellerive Oval, Hobart | LIST_A | 1 | 46 | 43 | — | 107.0 | 7.0 | 37.2 | LOW |
| Allan Border Field, Brisbane | LIST_A | 2 | 24 | 33 | 12.0 | 72.7 | 6.1 | 54.5 | LOW |
Bowling
| Melbourne Cricket Ground | FIRST_CLASS | 1882 | 842 | 48 | 2.7 | 17.5 | HIGH |
| Junction Oval, Melbourne | FIRST_CLASS | 1710 | 932 | 22 | 3.3 | 42.4 | HIGH |
| Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, Brisbane | FIRST_CLASS | 816 | 390 | 14 | 2.9 | 27.9 | HIGH |
| Bellerive Oval, Hobart | FIRST_CLASS | 732 | 402 | 12 | 3.3 | 33.5 | HIGH |
| Junction Oval, Melbourne | LIST_A | 491 | 441 | 20 | 5.4 | 22.1 | HIGH |
| Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, Perth | FIRST_CLASS | 256 | 196 | 10 | 4.6 | 19.6 | MEDIUM |
| Sydney Cricket Ground | FIRST_CLASS | 222 | 100 | 16 | 2.7 | 6.3 | MEDIUM |
| Allan Border Field, Brisbane | LIST_A | 114 | 143 | 3 | 7.5 | 47.7 | LOW |
| Cricket Central, Sydney | LIST_A | 60 | 77 | 1 | 7.7 | 77.0 | LOW |
| Great Barrier Reef Arena, Mackay | LIST_A | 60 | 75 | 2 | 7.5 | 37.5 | LOW |
| University of Tasmania Stadium, Launceston | LIST_A | 47 | 26 | 4 | 3.3 | 6.5 | LOW |
| Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, Perth | LIST_A | 46 | 39 | 1 | 5.1 | 39.0 | LOW |
| Bellerive Oval, Hobart | LIST_A | 45 | 49 | 1 | 6.5 | 49.0 | LOW |
| Sydney Cricket Ground | LIST_A | 42 | 55 | 0 | 7.9 | — | LOW |
By country
Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.
| Unknown | FIRST_CLASS | 34 | 908 | 2246 | 20.6 | 40.4 | 4.7 | 78.9 | HIGH |
| Unknown | LIST_A | 17 | 236 | 288 | 21.5 | 81.9 | 8.3 | 54.9 | MEDIUM |
Bowling
| Unknown | FIRST_CLASS | 5618 | 2862 | 122 | 3.1 | 23.5 | HIGH |
| Unknown | LIST_A | 981 | 996 | 35 | 6.1 | 28.5 | HIGH |
| Unknown | T20 | 77 | 97 | 5 | 7.6 | 19.4 | LOW |
By match phase
Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.
| old_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 30 | 796 | 1966 | 20.9 | 40.5 | 5.0 | 79.7 | HIGH |
| new_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 18 | 112 | 280 | 18.7 | 40.0 | 2.9 | 73.6 | MEDIUM |
| death | LIST_A | 10 | 174 | 150 | 34.8 | 116.0 | 12.7 | 42.7 | MEDIUM |
| middle | LIST_A | 12 | 62 | 138 | 10.3 | 44.9 | 3.6 | 68.1 | MEDIUM |
Bowling
| old_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 5194 | 2642 | 108 | 3.1 | 24.5 | HIGH |
| middle | LIST_A | 711 | 633 | 29 | 5.3 | 21.8 | HIGH |
| new_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 424 | 220 | 14 | 3.1 | 15.7 | HIGH |
| powerplay | LIST_A | 144 | 143 | 0 | 6.0 | — | LOW |
| death | LIST_A | 126 | 220 | 6 | 10.5 | 36.7 | LOW |
| middle | T20 | 53 | 58 | 2 | 6.6 | 29.0 | LOW |
Against pace and spin
Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.
| PACE | FIRST_CLASS | 34 | 518 | 1208 | 21.6 | 42.9 | 5.5 | 78.0 | HIGH |
| SPIN | FIRST_CLASS | 28 | 326 | 856 | 20.4 | 38.1 | 3.7 | 80.1 | HIGH |
| UNKNOWN | FIRST_CLASS | 10 | 64 | 182 | 16.0 | 35.2 | 4.4 | 79.1 | MEDIUM |
| PACE | LIST_A | 15 | 136 | 157 | 19.4 | 86.6 | 8.9 | 55.4 | MEDIUM |
| SPIN | LIST_A | 10 | 78 | 104 | 26.0 | 75.0 | 6.7 | 53.8 | LOW |
How these splits are used
The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.