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SM Tupou betting stats, splits & projections

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT201010212810.279.77.051.6MEDIUM
overallT20211234166.714.6MEDIUM

Why we like it

Splits where SM Tupou scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Venue: Independence Park, Port Vila (T20)LOW sample

    74 runs off 73 balls in 5 T20 matches — strike rate 101.4 vs 79.7 overall, average 14.8 vs 10.2 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Bowling type: PACE (T20)LOW sample

    41 runs off 61 balls in 9 T20 matches — strike rate 67.2 vs 79.7 overall, average 20.5 vs 10.2 overall.

  • Phase: middle (T20)LOW sample

    47 runs off 66 balls in 8 T20 matches — strike rate 71.2 vs 79.7 overall, average 6.7 vs 10.2 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

VanuatuT202314015.577.510.057.5LOW
SamoaT202413320.5124.212.133.3LOW

Bowling

SamoaT20483454.36.8LOW
South KoreaT20434326.021.5LOW
Cook IslandsT20425337.617.7LOW
VanuatuT20425938.419.7LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Independence Park, Port VilaT205747314.8101.49.642.5LOW
Korogi Sports Park, NisshinT20214337.042.43.066.7LOW

Bowling

Independence Park, Port VilaT20114121106.412.1LOW
Sano International Cricket Ground 2T20677246.418.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownT201010212810.279.77.051.6MEDIUM

Bowling

UnknownT20211234166.714.6MEDIUM

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

middleT20847666.771.24.548.5LOW
powerplayT205304715.063.86.459.6LOW

Bowling

middleT20979455.818.8LOW
deathT20668277.511.7LOW
powerplayT20485847.314.5LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACET209416120.567.23.345.9LOW
UNKNOWNT206443911.0112.812.848.7LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.