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SPD Smith betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallTEST614721898950.252.56.171.2HIGH
overallFIRST_CLASS181010200038.850.56.774.8HIGH
overallODI401403169842.582.69.352.5HIGH
overallT20461638106343.1154.120.129.1HIGH
overallLIST_A3269262134.5102.711.545.8MEDIUM
overallHUNDRED813710619.6129.217.935.8LOW
overallFIRST_CLASS33019643.649.0MEDIUM
overallTEST1317523.437.5LOW
overallLIST_A121608.0—LOW
overallT20614114.014.0LOW

Why we like it

Splits where SPD Smith scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: Sri Lanka (TEST)HIGH sample

    423 runs off 791 balls in 4 TEST matches — strike rate 53.5 vs 52.5 overall, average 105.8 vs 50.2 overall.

  • Opposition: West Indies (TEST)HIGH sample

    502 runs off 778 balls in 6 TEST matches — strike rate 64.5 vs 52.5 overall, average 62.8 vs 50.2 overall.

  • Opposition: Tasmania (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    216 runs off 516 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 41.9 vs 50.5 overall, average 54.0 vs 38.8 overall.

  • Opposition: Queensland (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    278 runs off 424 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 65.6 vs 50.5 overall, average 46.3 vs 38.8 overall.

  • Venue: Sydney Cricket Ground (TEST)HIGH sample

    698 runs off 1315 balls in 7 TEST matches — strike rate 53.1 vs 52.5 overall, average 63.5 vs 50.2 overall.

  • Venue: Galle International Stadium (TEST)HIGH sample

    423 runs off 791 balls in 4 TEST matches — strike rate 53.5 vs 52.5 overall, average 105.8 vs 50.2 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: India (TEST)HIGH sample

    927 runs off 1890 balls in 14 TEST matches — strike rate 49.0 vs 52.5 overall, average 40.3 vs 50.2 overall.

  • Opposition: Pakistan (TEST)HIGH sample

    460 runs off 1156 balls in 8 TEST matches — strike rate 39.8 vs 52.5 overall, average 41.8 vs 50.2 overall.

  • Opposition: New Zealand (TEST)HIGH sample

    265 runs off 750 balls in 5 TEST matches — strike rate 35.3 vs 52.5 overall, average 29.4 vs 50.2 overall.

  • Opposition: Victoria (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    272 runs off 554 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 49.1 vs 50.5 overall, average 27.2 vs 38.8 overall.

  • Opposition: India (ODI)HIGH sample

    260 runs off 331 balls in 8 ODI matches — strike rate 78.5 vs 82.6 overall, average 32.5 vs 42.5 overall.

  • Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground (TEST)HIGH sample

    463 runs off 1037 balls in 7 TEST matches — strike rate 44.6 vs 52.5 overall, average 42.1 vs 50.2 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

EnglandTEST181677280455.959.87.368.3HIGH
IndiaTEST14927189040.349.06.074.3HIGH
PakistanTEST8460115641.839.83.675.7HIGH
Sri LankaTEST4423791105.853.55.265.5HIGH
West IndiesTEST650277862.864.56.865.2HIGH
New ZealandTEST526575029.435.34.080.0HIGH
VictoriaFIRST_CLASS627255427.249.15.874.4HIGH
South AfricaTEST431055451.756.07.071.7HIGH
TasmaniaFIRST_CLASS221651654.041.94.372.5HIGH
EnglandODI1038143647.687.48.546.8HIGH
QueenslandFIRST_CLASS427842446.365.611.374.1HIGH
GlamorganFIRST_CLASS217836689.048.66.077.6HIGH
IndiaODI826033132.578.58.552.3HIGH
BangladeshTEST215726652.359.07.168.0MEDIUM
New ZealandODI418524946.374.38.057.0MEDIUM
VictoriaLIST_A218317791.5103.411.948.6MEDIUM
Sri LankaODI512215024.481.310.055.3MEDIUM
Perth ScorchersT20523614459.0163.922.231.9MEDIUM
ZimbabweODI39612796.075.611.865.4MEDIUM
WorcestershireFIRST_CLASS26011230.053.68.980.4LOW
Sydney ThunderT203225108112.5208.325.922.2LOW
PakistanODI38610328.783.511.760.2LOW
IndiaT2051239630.8128.116.731.3LOW
West IndiesODI3909290.097.810.945.7LOW
Hobart HurricanesT2031509075.0166.724.432.2LOW
Adelaide StrikersT20215386153.0177.920.922.1LOW
QueenslandLIST_A18685—101.210.640.0LOW
Hyderabad KingsmenT2031658055.0206.332.521.3LOW
South AfricaODI2497824.562.87.760.3LOW
NetherlandsODI1716871.0104.414.750.0LOW
BangladeshODI16364—98.47.832.8LOW
Sri LankaT204655421.7120.413.031.5LOW
Islamabad UnitedT202614230.5145.221.438.1LOW
Melbourne RenegadesT201614261.0145.219.023.8LOW
Brisbane HeatT201544054.0135.012.522.5LOW
Mumbai IndiansT202423721.0113.513.540.5LOW
Birmingham PhoenixHUNDRED14736—130.613.925.0LOW
Quetta GladiatorsT201533553.0151.422.928.6LOW
RawalpindizT202613530.5174.325.722.9LOW
Kolkata Knight RidersT201393439.0114.711.826.5LOW
Punjab KingsT202333416.597.12.920.6LOW

Bowling

QueenslandFIRST_CLASS1325202.4—LOW
GlamorganFIRST_CLASS13011045.127.5LOW
EnglandTEST662612.426.0LOW
PakistanTEST363205.3—LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Sydney Cricket GroundTEST7698131563.553.15.970.4HIGH
Melbourne Cricket GroundTEST7463103742.144.64.675.3HIGH
Galle International StadiumTEST4423791105.853.55.265.5HIGH
Perth StadiumTEST539178855.949.64.470.4HIGH
Kennington Oval, LondonTEST228052970.052.97.071.5HIGH
Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, BrisbaneTEST534052648.664.68.068.8HIGH
Drummoyne Oval, SydneyFIRST_CLASS221651654.041.94.372.5HIGH
Sydney Cricket GroundFIRST_CLASS426648844.354.56.671.3HIGH
Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, BrisbaneFIRST_CLASS427842446.365.611.374.1HIGH
EdgbastonTEST1286422143.067.87.661.8HIGH
Adelaide OvalTEST619742024.646.95.576.7HIGH
Old TraffordTEST1293409146.571.69.363.3HIGH
Lord's, LondonTEST222337155.860.18.469.5HIGH
County Ground, HoveFIRST_CLASS217836689.048.66.077.6HIGH
Sydney Cricket GroundT201055032278.6170.822.728.3HIGH
Cazaly's Stadium, CairnsODI316723255.772.07.859.1MEDIUM
National Stadium, KarachiTEST17221472.033.63.377.1MEDIUM
North Sydney Oval, SydneyLIST_A2213209213.0101.911.545.9MEDIUM
Kennington OvalTEST110319851.552.07.174.2MEDIUM
Marrara Stadium, DarwinTEST111519557.559.06.767.2MEDIUM
Narendra Modi Stadium, AhmedabadTEST14819448.024.72.685.1MEDIUM
Rawalpindi Cricket StadiumTEST17819378.040.44.173.1MEDIUM
Gaddafi Stadium, LahoreTEST17619238.039.63.676.0MEDIUM
Lord'sTEST19216192.057.18.772.7MEDIUM
Vidarbha Cricket Association Stadium, Jamtha, NagpurTEST16215562.040.06.580.0MEDIUM
Brisbane Cricket GroundTEST19114945.561.18.171.8MEDIUM
Melbourne Cricket GroundODI314414172.0102.111.343.3MEDIUM
National Stadium, KarachiT20522313144.6170.226.026.0MEDIUM
Adelaide OvalODI2115126115.091.312.754.0MEDIUM
National Cricket Stadium, St George's, GrenadaTEST17412537.059.26.468.0MEDIUM
Sydney Cricket GroundODI29912449.579.85.645.2MEDIUM
Tony Ireland Stadium, TownsvilleODI295121—78.512.464.5MEDIUM
County Ground, New Road, WorcesterFIRST_CLASS26011230.053.68.980.4LOW
Gaddafi Stadium, LahoreT20615710326.2152.422.335.0LOW
Dubai International Cricket StadiumODI1739673.076.05.249.0LOW
Pallekele International Cricket StadiumODI2819540.585.38.446.3LOW
Old Trafford, ManchesterTEST1589029.064.47.868.9LOW
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-StreetODI1608260.073.26.152.4LOW
Sabina Park, Kingston, JamaicaTEST1537826.567.911.573.1LOW
MA Chidambaram Stadium, Chepauk, ChennaiODI2467423.062.26.858.1LOW
Basin Reserve, WellingtonTEST1317415.541.95.479.7LOW
Great Barrier Reef Arena, MackayTEST1427142.059.28.570.4LOW
Edgbaston, BirminghamTEST1227011.031.41.481.4LOW
Arun Jaitley Stadium, DelhiODI1716871.0104.414.750.0LOW
Melbourne Cricket GroundFIRST_CLASS26661.59.10.097.0LOW
Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium, PuneODI16364—98.47.832.8LOW
Bellerive Oval, HobartTEST1276413.542.26.378.1LOW
Eden Gardens, KolkataODI1306230.048.43.259.7LOW
Narendra Modi Stadium, AhmedabadODI2486124.078.76.645.9LOW
Saurashtra Cricket Association Stadium, RajkotODI1746174.0121.314.829.5LOW
Punjab Cricket Association IS Bindra Stadium, Mohali, ChandigarhODI1416041.068.36.761.7LOW
Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, BrisbaneT202715635.5126.812.526.8LOW
International Sports Stadium, Coffs HarbourT20110156—180.421.417.9LOW
MA Chidambaram Stadium, Chepauk, ChennaiT202675467.0124.114.829.6LOW
Junction Oval, MelbourneLIST_A1565356.0105.711.345.3LOW
Perth StadiumT203795326.3149.117.028.3LOW
R Premadasa Stadium, ColomboODI2415020.582.014.068.0LOW
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchTEST1204910.040.86.181.6LOW
County Ground, BristolODI13648—75.010.460.4LOW
Sharjah Cricket StadiumT202484224.0114.311.931.0LOW
Sophia Gardens, CardiffHUNDRED4504112.5122.022.048.8LOW
Dr. Y.S. Rajasekhara Reddy ACA-VDCA Cricket Stadium, VisakhapatnamT201524152.0126.819.536.6LOW
Headingley, LeedsTEST1244012.060.05.062.5LOW
Holkar Cricket Stadium, IndoreTEST1263826.068.410.565.8LOW
Edgbaston, BirminghamHUNDRED14736—130.613.925.0LOW
Bellerive Oval, HobartT201663266.0206.331.331.3LOW
Wankhede Stadium, MumbaiODI1223022.073.313.363.3LOW
Adelaide OvalT201523052.0173.320.030.0LOW

Bowling

Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, BrisbaneFIRST_CLASS1325202.4—LOW
County Ground, HoveFIRST_CLASS13011045.127.5LOW
Sydney Cricket GroundTEST361813.018.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownTEST584254817647.852.06.071.5HIGH
UnknownFIRST_CLASS181010200038.850.56.774.8HIGH
UnknownODI401403169842.582.69.352.5HIGH
UnknownT20441590102144.2155.720.529.0HIGH
United KingdomTEST238962097.362.77.465.8HIGH
UnknownLIST_A3269262134.5102.711.545.8MEDIUM
PakistanTEST17819378.040.44.173.1MEDIUM
UnknownHUNDRED813710619.6129.217.935.8LOW
United Arab EmiratesT202484224.0114.311.931.0LOW

Bowling

UnknownFIRST_CLASS33019643.649.0MEDIUM
UnknownTEST894623.123.0LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballTEST594198801856.052.45.870.7HIGH
old_ballFIRST_CLASS16860171053.850.36.874.9HIGH
middleODI29959117648.081.58.048.9HIGH
new_ballTEST4252397127.553.98.174.9HIGH
middleT203274448937.2152.117.622.9HIGH
powerplayT204070347858.6147.121.136.4HIGH
powerplayODI3234844734.877.912.366.2HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS1215029015.051.76.274.5MEDIUM
middleLIST_A3200199200.0100.511.145.7MEDIUM
deathT20101919631.8199.028.124.0LOW
powerplayHUNDRED81017616.8132.921.140.8LOW
deathODI5967532.0128.012.026.7LOW
powerplayLIST_A21940—47.50.060.0LOW

Bowling

old_ballFIRST_CLASS30617243.443.0MEDIUM
old_ballTEST1317523.437.5LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACETEST572864554844.151.66.773.9HIGH
SPINTEST521652300666.155.04.965.7HIGH
PACEFIRST_CLASS18628130226.248.26.175.4HIGH
PACEODI3973791835.180.311.159.5HIGH
SPINODI2657769252.583.46.944.9HIGH
PACET204597258138.9167.325.134.1HIGH
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS8192442—43.46.377.8HIGH
UNKNOWNTEST1520543551.347.15.574.0HIGH
SPINT203649138061.4129.211.823.2HIGH
SPINFIRST_CLASS1219025695.074.210.266.4MEDIUM
PACELIST_A315014275.0105.612.045.8MEDIUM
SPINLIST_A3111113—98.210.646.9LOW
UNKNOWNT201917510235.0171.622.522.5LOW
UNKNOWNODI7898889.0101.19.138.6LOW
PACEHUNDRED81078115.3132.121.042.0LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.