SW Bates betting stats, splits & projections
All-rounder
Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.
Record by format
Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.
| overall | T20 | 103 | 2955 | 2689 | 33.6 | 109.9 | 12.9 | 38.9 | HIGH |
| overall | ODI | 45 | 1348 | 1722 | 36.4 | 78.3 | 8.9 | 55.1 | HIGH |
| overall | T20 | 542 | 584 | 24 | 6.5 | 24.3 | HIGH |
| overall | ODI | 264 | 208 | 6 | 4.7 | 34.7 | MEDIUM |
Why we like it
Splits where SW Bates scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.
- Opposition: Pakistan (ODI)HIGH sample
332 runs off 369 balls in 4 ODI matches — strike rate 90.0 vs 78.3 overall, average 83.0 vs 36.4 overall.
- Opposition: Auckland (T20)HIGH sample
413 runs off 355 balls in 10 T20 matches — strike rate 116.3 vs 109.9 overall, average 59.0 vs 33.6 overall.
- Venue: University Oval, Dunedin (T20)HIGH sample
561 runs off 470 balls in 14 T20 matches — strike rate 119.4 vs 109.9 overall, average 43.2 vs 33.6 overall.
- Bowling type: PACE (T20)HIGH sample
966 runs off 839 balls in 83 T20 matches — strike rate 115.1 vs 109.9 overall, average 43.9 vs 33.6 overall.
- Phase: middle (ODI)HIGH sample
684 runs off 724 balls in 17 ODI matches — strike rate 94.5 vs 78.3 overall, average 52.6 vs 36.4 overall.
- Opposition: India (ODI)MEDIUM sample
253 runs off 280 balls in 9 ODI matches — strike rate 90.4 vs 78.3 overall, average 36.1 vs 36.4 overall.
Risks
Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.
- Opposition: England (ODI)HIGH sample
208 runs off 324 balls in 12 ODI matches — strike rate 64.2 vs 78.3 overall, average 17.3 vs 36.4 overall.
- Phase: powerplay (T20)HIGH sample
1563 runs off 1545 balls in 99 T20 matches — strike rate 101.2 vs 109.9 overall, average 40.1 vs 33.6 overall.
- Phase: powerplay (ODI)HIGH sample
656 runs off 989 balls in 45 ODI matches — strike rate 66.3 vs 78.3 overall, average 28.5 vs 36.4 overall.
- Opposition: England (T20)MEDIUM sample
278 runs off 252 balls in 14 T20 matches — strike rate 110.3 vs 109.9 overall, average 21.4 vs 33.6 overall.
- Opposition: Sri Lanka (ODI)MEDIUM sample
150 runs off 214 balls in 5 ODI matches — strike rate 70.1 vs 78.3 overall, average 37.5 vs 36.4 overall.
- Opposition: Canterbury (T20)MEDIUM sample
217 runs off 214 balls in 7 T20 matches — strike rate 101.4 vs 109.9 overall, average 31.0 vs 33.6 overall.
Current projections
Against each opponent
Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.
| Pakistan | ODI | 4 | 332 | 369 | 83.0 | 90.0 | 9.2 | 45.0 | HIGH |
| Auckland | T20 | 10 | 413 | 355 | 59.0 | 116.3 | 13.0 | 38.3 | HIGH |
| Sri Lanka | T20 | 9 | 339 | 328 | 37.7 | 103.4 | 11.0 | 36.6 | HIGH |
| England | ODI | 12 | 208 | 324 | 17.3 | 64.2 | 9.9 | 69.8 | HIGH |
| India | ODI | 9 | 253 | 280 | 36.1 | 90.4 | 12.1 | 53.6 | MEDIUM |
| Wellington | T20 | 10 | 288 | 264 | 28.8 | 109.1 | 13.3 | 39.8 | MEDIUM |
| Bangladesh | ODI | 4 | 232 | 260 | 232.0 | 89.2 | 8.1 | 43.1 | MEDIUM |
| England | T20 | 14 | 278 | 252 | 21.4 | 110.3 | 16.7 | 42.5 | MEDIUM |
| Sri Lanka | ODI | 5 | 150 | 214 | 37.5 | 70.1 | 5.6 | 53.3 | MEDIUM |
| Canterbury | T20 | 7 | 217 | 214 | 31.0 | 101.4 | 12.6 | 42.5 | MEDIUM |
| Northern Districts | T20 | 7 | 283 | 214 | 94.3 | 132.2 | 15.9 | 32.2 | MEDIUM |
| Central Districts | T20 | 7 | 216 | 184 | 43.2 | 117.4 | 14.7 | 40.8 | MEDIUM |
| South Africa | T20 | 7 | 192 | 167 | 38.4 | 115.0 | 13.8 | 36.5 | MEDIUM |
| West Indies | T20 | 6 | 108 | 143 | 18.0 | 75.5 | 6.3 | 51.7 | MEDIUM |
| Australia | T20 | 9 | 139 | 131 | 15.4 | 106.1 | 15.3 | 45.0 | MEDIUM |
| Bangladesh | T20 | 4 | 151 | 130 | 50.3 | 116.2 | 11.5 | 33.1 | MEDIUM |
| Pakistan | T20 | 4 | 125 | 119 | 41.7 | 105.0 | 10.1 | 37.8 | LOW |
| Australia | ODI | 3 | 73 | 104 | 24.3 | 70.2 | 9.6 | 64.4 | LOW |
| West Indies | ODI | 4 | 72 | 102 | 24.0 | 70.6 | 7.8 | 59.8 | LOW |
| Barbados Royals | T20 | 3 | 89 | 84 | 29.7 | 106.0 | 10.7 | 29.8 | LOW |
| South Africa | ODI | 4 | 28 | 69 | 9.3 | 40.6 | 4.3 | 75.4 | LOW |
| India | T20 | 2 | 63 | 58 | 31.5 | 108.6 | 6.9 | 31.0 | LOW |
| Trinbago Knight Riders | T20 | 3 | 35 | 34 | 11.7 | 102.9 | 14.7 | 50.0 | LOW |
Bowling
| Sri Lanka | ODI | 90 | 53 | 2 | 3.5 | 26.5 | LOW |
| Canterbury | T20 | 66 | 74 | 2 | 6.7 | 37.0 | LOW |
| Auckland | T20 | 63 | 62 | 2 | 5.9 | 31.0 | LOW |
| India | ODI | 54 | 48 | 1 | 5.3 | 48.0 | LOW |
| Central Districts | T20 | 54 | 56 | 2 | 6.2 | 28.0 | LOW |
| West Indies | T20 | 54 | 35 | 6 | 3.9 | 5.8 | LOW |
| England | ODI | 48 | 36 | 3 | 4.5 | 12.0 | LOW |
| South Africa | T20 | 48 | 71 | 2 | 8.9 | 35.5 | LOW |
| Northern Districts | T20 | 42 | 44 | 2 | 6.3 | 22.0 | LOW |
| Wellington | T20 | 42 | 53 | 2 | 7.6 | 26.5 | LOW |
| Sri Lanka | T20 | 37 | 30 | 1 | 4.9 | 30.0 | LOW |
| Trinbago Knight Riders | T20 | 36 | 37 | 2 | 6.2 | 18.5 | LOW |
By venue
Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.
| University Oval, Dunedin | T20 | 14 | 561 | 470 | 43.2 | 119.4 | 14.5 | 37.0 | HIGH |
| John Davies Oval, Queenstown | ODI | 6 | 293 | 287 | 48.8 | 102.1 | 12.5 | 44.6 | MEDIUM |
| Basin Reserve, Wellington | ODI | 5 | 216 | 269 | 54.0 | 80.3 | 10.4 | 56.5 | MEDIUM |
| Hagley Oval, Christchurch | ODI | 3 | 224 | 265 | 74.7 | 84.5 | 8.7 | 48.3 | MEDIUM |
| John Davies Oval, Queenstown | T20 | 7 | 320 | 259 | 80.0 | 123.6 | 12.7 | 33.6 | MEDIUM |
| Molyneux Park, Alexandra | T20 | 6 | 250 | 217 | 50.0 | 115.2 | 13.8 | 35.9 | MEDIUM |
| Hagley Oval, Christchurch | T20 | 6 | 188 | 181 | 31.3 | 103.9 | 11.6 | 39.8 | MEDIUM |
| Seddon Park, Hamilton | ODI | 5 | 94 | 150 | 23.5 | 62.7 | 4.0 | 56.0 | MEDIUM |
| P Sara Oval, Colombo | T20 | 3 | 133 | 138 | 44.3 | 96.4 | 10.9 | 39.1 | MEDIUM |
| Galle International Stadium | ODI | 3 | 92 | 131 | 46.0 | 70.2 | 3.8 | 48.1 | MEDIUM |
| Edgbaston, Birmingham | T20 | 5 | 151 | 115 | 37.8 | 131.3 | 17.4 | 30.4 | LOW |
| Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, Antigua | T20 | 5 | 82 | 115 | 16.4 | 71.3 | 7.0 | 54.8 | LOW |
| Basin Reserve, Wellington | T20 | 7 | 95 | 109 | 13.6 | 87.2 | 11.0 | 50.5 | LOW |
| Seddon Park, Hamilton | T20 | 4 | 121 | 105 | 60.5 | 115.2 | 11.4 | 33.3 | LOW |
| Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, Antigua | ODI | 3 | 69 | 97 | 23.0 | 71.1 | 8.2 | 60.8 | LOW |
| Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland | T20 | 3 | 102 | 94 | 34.0 | 108.5 | 12.8 | 42.6 | LOW |
| Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad | ODI | 3 | 63 | 87 | 31.5 | 72.4 | 9.2 | 59.8 | LOW |
| Saxton Oval, Nelson | ODI | 2 | 58 | 83 | 29.0 | 69.9 | 8.4 | 61.4 | LOW |
| Dubai International Cricket Stadium | T20 | 3 | 87 | 83 | 29.0 | 104.8 | 9.6 | 42.2 | LOW |
| Sharjah Cricket Stadium | T20 | 3 | 63 | 77 | 21.0 | 81.8 | 5.2 | 44.2 | LOW |
| University Oval, Dunedin | ODI | 1 | 79 | 67 | — | 117.9 | 11.9 | 32.8 | LOW |
| McLean Park, Napier | T20 | 2 | 66 | 65 | — | 101.5 | 10.8 | 38.5 | LOW |
| Great Barrier Reef Arena, Mackay | T20 | 2 | 67 | 60 | 33.5 | 111.7 | 15.0 | 40.0 | LOW |
| Newlands, Cape Town | T20 | 1 | 81 | 60 | — | 135.0 | 13.3 | 23.3 | LOW |
| Brian Lara Stadium, Tarouba, Trinidad | T20 | 2 | 54 | 54 | 27.0 | 100.0 | 11.1 | 40.7 | LOW |
| Eden Park, Auckland | T20 | 2 | 54 | 53 | 54.0 | 101.9 | 13.2 | 47.2 | LOW |
| Willowmoore Park, Benoni | T20 | 2 | 54 | 53 | 27.0 | 101.9 | 13.2 | 39.6 | LOW |
| Boland Park, Paarl | T20 | 3 | 56 | 52 | 18.7 | 107.7 | 11.5 | 30.8 | LOW |
| Kensington Oval, Bridgetown, Barbados | T20 | 3 | 54 | 50 | 18.0 | 108.0 | 10.0 | 26.0 | LOW |
| County Ground, New Road, Worcester | ODI | 2 | 33 | 49 | 16.5 | 67.3 | 12.2 | 73.5 | LOW |
| The Rose Bowl, Southampton | T20 | 2 | 62 | 45 | 62.0 | 137.8 | 17.8 | 31.1 | LOW |
| County Ground, Bristol | ODI | 2 | 25 | 42 | 12.5 | 59.5 | 11.9 | 78.6 | LOW |
| Eden Park, Auckland | ODI | 1 | 22 | 36 | 22.0 | 61.1 | 8.3 | 69.4 | LOW |
| Kennington Oval, London | T20 | 2 | 35 | 34 | 35.0 | 102.9 | 11.8 | 38.2 | LOW |
| Saxton Oval, Nelson | T20 | 2 | 33 | 33 | 16.5 | 100.0 | 15.2 | 48.5 | LOW |
Bowling
| Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad | ODI | 54 | 48 | 1 | 5.3 | 48.0 | LOW |
| McLean Park, Napier | ODI | 48 | 27 | 1 | 3.4 | 27.0 | LOW |
| Saxton Oval, Nelson | ODI | 48 | 24 | 1 | 3.0 | 24.0 | LOW |
| Seddon Park, Hamilton | ODI | 48 | 36 | 3 | 4.5 | 12.0 | LOW |
| Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, Antigua | T20 | 48 | 29 | 5 | 3.6 | 5.8 | LOW |
| Kensington Oval, Bridgetown, Barbados | T20 | 46 | 57 | 2 | 7.4 | 28.5 | LOW |
| Hagley Oval, Christchurch | T20 | 43 | 39 | 0 | 5.4 | — | LOW |
| Molyneux Park, Alexandra | T20 | 36 | 51 | 2 | 8.5 | 25.5 | LOW |
| Seddon Park, Hamilton | T20 | 36 | 45 | 2 | 7.5 | 22.5 | LOW |
| University Oval, Dunedin | T20 | 36 | 44 | 0 | 7.3 | — | LOW |
By country
Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.
| Unknown | T20 | 100 | 2892 | 2612 | 34.0 | 110.7 | 13.1 | 38.8 | HIGH |
| Unknown | ODI | 45 | 1348 | 1722 | 36.4 | 78.3 | 8.9 | 55.1 | HIGH |
| United Arab Emirates | T20 | 3 | 63 | 77 | 21.0 | 81.8 | 5.2 | 44.2 | LOW |
Bowling
| Unknown | T20 | 536 | 578 | 23 | 6.5 | 25.1 | HIGH |
| Unknown | ODI | 264 | 208 | 6 | 4.7 | 34.7 | MEDIUM |
By match phase
Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.
| powerplay | T20 | 99 | 1563 | 1545 | 40.1 | 101.2 | 13.9 | 48.1 | HIGH |
| powerplay | ODI | 45 | 656 | 989 | 28.5 | 66.3 | 9.7 | 67.9 | HIGH |
| middle | T20 | 60 | 1035 | 903 | 28.0 | 114.6 | 9.9 | 26.8 | HIGH |
| middle | ODI | 17 | 684 | 724 | 52.6 | 94.5 | 7.9 | 37.6 | HIGH |
| death | T20 | 22 | 357 | 241 | 29.8 | 148.1 | 17.8 | 25.7 | MEDIUM |
Bowling
| middle | T20 | 337 | 328 | 15 | 5.8 | 21.9 | MEDIUM |
| middle | ODI | 216 | 166 | 4 | 4.6 | 41.5 | MEDIUM |
| death | T20 | 145 | 187 | 9 | 7.7 | 20.8 | LOW |
| powerplay | T20 | 60 | 69 | 0 | 6.9 | — | LOW |
| death | ODI | 48 | 42 | 2 | 5.3 | 21.0 | LOW |
Against pace and spin
Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.
| SPIN | T20 | 92 | 1628 | 1531 | 29.1 | 106.3 | 10.6 | 35.9 | HIGH |
| SPIN | ODI | 26 | 718 | 854 | 39.9 | 84.1 | 7.4 | 45.2 | HIGH |
| PACE | T20 | 83 | 966 | 839 | 43.9 | 115.1 | 16.2 | 43.0 | HIGH |
| PACE | ODI | 37 | 463 | 633 | 42.1 | 73.1 | 10.1 | 64.0 | HIGH |
| UNKNOWN | T20 | 39 | 361 | 319 | 36.1 | 113.2 | 15.0 | 42.9 | HIGH |
| UNKNOWN | ODI | 19 | 167 | 235 | 20.9 | 71.1 | 11.5 | 66.8 | MEDIUM |
How these splits are used
The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.