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T Bavuma betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallTEST332256451042.650.05.672.5HIGH
overallODI431559177441.087.910.151.5HIGH
overallFIRST_CLASS141048160040.365.58.969.0HIGH
overallT201516916012.1105.614.448.8MEDIUM
overallODI372203.6—LOW
overallFIRST_CLASS12402.0—LOW

Why we like it

Splits where T Bavuma scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: Sri Lanka (TEST)HIGH sample

    473 runs off 830 balls in 6 TEST matches — strike rate 57.0 vs 50.0 overall, average 59.1 vs 42.6 overall.

  • Opposition: Derbyshire (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    330 runs off 466 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 70.8 vs 65.5 overall, average 82.5 vs 40.3 overall.

  • Venue: Kingsmead, Durban (TEST)HIGH sample

    280 runs off 555 balls in 2 TEST matches — strike rate 50.5 vs 50.0 overall, average 70.0 vs 42.6 overall.

  • Venue: Queen's Park, Chesterfield (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    330 runs off 466 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 70.8 vs 65.5 overall, average 82.5 vs 40.3 overall.

  • Venue: The Wanderers Stadium, Johannesburg (TEST)HIGH sample

    274 runs off 445 balls in 2 TEST matches — strike rate 61.6 vs 50.0 overall, average 91.3 vs 42.6 overall.

  • Venue: Mangaung Oval, Bloemfontein (ODI)HIGH sample

    305 runs off 312 balls in 4 ODI matches — strike rate 97.8 vs 87.9 overall, average 101.7 vs 41.0 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: Leicestershire (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    176 runs off 348 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 50.6 vs 65.5 overall, average 44.0 vs 40.3 overall.

  • Opposition: India (ODI)HIGH sample

    266 runs off 336 balls in 7 ODI matches — strike rate 79.2 vs 87.9 overall, average 38.0 vs 41.0 overall.

  • Venue: SuperSport Park, Centurion (TEST)HIGH sample

    158 runs off 332 balls in 3 TEST matches — strike rate 47.6 vs 50.0 overall, average 31.6 vs 42.6 overall.

  • Phase: new_ball (TEST)HIGH sample

    201 runs off 409 balls in 20 TEST matches — strike rate 49.1 vs 50.0 overall, average 33.5 vs 42.6 overall.

  • Opposition: New Zealand (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    100 runs off 236 balls in 2 TEST matches — strike rate 42.4 vs 50.0 overall, average 25.0 vs 42.6 overall.

  • Opposition: Sussex (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    140 runs off 212 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 66.0 vs 65.5 overall, average 17.5 vs 40.3 overall.

Current projections

South Africa v Australia
Test Match
20.6 runs
median 6 · 90th percentile 63 · plays 55% · 87 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

PakistanTEST644595949.446.45.174.7HIGH
Sri LankaTEST647383059.157.06.067.1HIGH
IndiaTEST841982034.951.16.873.4HIGH
AustraliaTEST428761541.046.74.274.0HIGH
West IndiesTEST430556343.654.25.768.4HIGH
DerbyshireFIRST_CLASS233046682.570.89.465.2HIGH
LancashireFIRST_CLASS431643239.573.19.767.6HIGH
BangladeshTEST219443048.545.14.973.0HIGH
AustraliaODI833638948.086.410.051.2HIGH
LeicestershireFIRST_CLASS217634844.050.68.680.5HIGH
IndiaODI726633638.079.27.148.5HIGH
PakistanODI724327534.788.411.650.5MEDIUM
New ZealandTEST210023625.042.45.582.2MEDIUM
SussexFIRST_CLASS414021217.566.07.563.2MEDIUM
EnglandODI519017338.0109.815.050.3MEDIUM
DurhamFIRST_CLASS28614243.060.67.066.2MEDIUM
New ZealandODI310012233.382.010.759.0MEDIUM
NetherlandsODI311212056.093.310.855.8MEDIUM
BangladeshODI37011823.359.35.161.9LOW
West IndiesODI1144117144.0123.115.441.0LOW
IndiaT20874939.379.69.755.9LOW
IrelandODI4526626.078.89.163.6LOW
Sri LankaODI2465846.079.35.241.4LOW
EnglandTEST1335716.557.910.578.9LOW

Bowling

BangladeshODI372203.6—LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

County Ground, NorthamptonFIRST_CLASS644671837.262.19.773.8HIGH
Kingsmead, DurbanTEST228055570.050.55.671.0HIGH
Queen's Park, ChesterfieldFIRST_CLASS233046682.570.89.465.2HIGH
The Wanderers Stadium, JohannesburgTEST227444591.361.67.466.5HIGH
SuperSport Park, CenturionTEST315833231.647.66.977.4HIGH
Mangaung Oval, BloemfonteinODI4305312101.797.813.552.6HIGH
Newlands, Cape TownTEST216628783.057.87.068.3MEDIUM
Rawalpindi Cricket StadiumTEST1105258105.040.74.377.1MEDIUM
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchTEST210023625.042.45.582.2MEDIUM
St George's Park, GqeberhaTEST114422572.064.06.261.3MEDIUM
St George's Park, Port ElizabethTEST19721848.544.54.170.6MEDIUM
Lord's, LondonTEST110221751.047.04.672.4MEDIUM
Queen's Park Oval, Port of Spain, TrinidadTEST1101199101.050.84.068.8MEDIUM
Boland Park, PaarlODI214517972.581.06.143.6MEDIUM
Old Trafford, ManchesterFIRST_CLASS210816827.064.36.070.2MEDIUM
NewlandsTEST17516275.046.36.278.4MEDIUM
National StadiumTEST15715928.535.81.975.5MEDIUM
Melbourne Cricket GroundTEST16615233.043.43.977.6MEDIUM
Eden Gardens, KolkataTEST15814758.039.52.770.7MEDIUM
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-StreetFIRST_CLASS28614243.060.67.066.2MEDIUM
The Wanderers StadiumTEST38313816.660.110.175.4MEDIUM
Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, BrisbaneTEST16713133.551.14.670.2MEDIUM
SuperSport ParkTEST17112471.057.35.667.7MEDIUM
Buffalo Park, East LondonODI1144117144.0123.115.441.0LOW
Sydney Cricket GroundTEST15211552.045.23.576.5LOW
County Ground, HoveFIRST_CLASS27810619.573.67.554.7LOW
The Wanderers StadiumODI19210292.090.28.841.2LOW
Barsapara Cricket Stadium, GuwahatiTEST14410122.043.65.074.3LOW
National Stadium, KarachiODI1829682.085.413.556.3LOW
Gaddafi Stadium, LahoreODI2769438.080.98.554.3LOW
SuperSport Park, CenturionODI4549313.558.14.358.1LOW
KingsmeadTEST1508150.061.78.672.8LOW
Willowmoore Park, BenoniODI19079—113.911.443.0LOW
Maharashtra Cricket Association StadiumTEST1467823.059.07.770.5LOW
JSCA International Stadium ComplexTEST1327516.042.76.778.7LOW
Cazaly's Stadium, CairnsODI1657465.087.86.839.2LOW
The Wanderers Stadium, JohannesburgODI4517012.872.910.064.3LOW
Dr. Y.S. Rajasekhara Reddy ACA-VDCA Cricket Stadium, VisakhapatnamODI1486748.071.67.556.7LOW
Bharat Ratna Shri Atal Bihari Vajpayee Ekana Cricket Stadium, LucknowODI2436621.565.26.159.1LOW
Sedgars Park, PotchefstroomODI1576257.091.99.746.8LOW
R Premadasa Stadium, ColomboODI13853—71.71.939.6LOW
Shaheed Veer Narayan Singh International Stadium, RaipurODI1464846.095.88.337.5LOW
Zayed Cricket Stadium, Abu DhabiODI2394339.090.714.067.4LOW
Himachal Pradesh Cricket Association Stadium, DharamsalaODI1163116.051.69.783.9LOW
Barabati Stadium, CuttackT201353035.0116.716.743.3LOW

Bowling

The Wanderers Stadium, JohannesburgODI372203.6—LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownTEST241834364544.750.35.571.7HIGH
UnknownODI421467167239.687.710.252.2HIGH
UnknownFIRST_CLASS141048160040.365.58.969.0HIGH
South AfricaTEST728553231.753.67.174.2HIGH
PakistanTEST1105258105.040.74.377.1MEDIUM
UnknownT201516916012.1105.614.448.8MEDIUM
South AfricaODI19210292.090.28.841.2LOW
IndiaTEST1327516.042.76.778.7LOW

Bowling

UnknownODI372203.6—LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballTEST332055410143.750.15.572.2HIGH
old_ballFIRST_CLASS14992153245.164.88.768.9HIGH
middleODI25901101753.088.68.746.0HIGH
powerplayODI3456366833.184.312.362.1HIGH
new_ballTEST2020140933.549.16.474.8HIGH
powerplayT201514614412.2101.413.951.4MEDIUM
deathODI6958923.8106.711.234.8LOW
new_ballFIRST_CLASS6566814.082.411.870.6LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACETEST331274257236.449.56.174.4HIGH
SPINTEST27806162353.749.74.870.7HIGH
PACEFIRST_CLASS14764123634.761.89.472.8HIGH
PACEODI42910103741.487.810.854.9HIGH
SPINODI2751060039.285.08.848.3HIGH
SPINFIRST_CLASS1028436471.078.07.156.0HIGH
UNKNOWNTEST1117631558.755.95.466.0HIGH
UNKNOWNODI1113913746.3101.510.940.1MEDIUM
PACET201398879.8112.616.149.4LOW
UNKNOWNT206314331.072.19.360.5LOW
SPINT207403013.3133.316.730.0LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.