TA Findlay betting stats, splits & projections
Bowler
Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.
Record by format
Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.
| overall | FIRST_CLASS | 12 | 216 | 406 | 13.5 | 53.2 | 7.4 | 72.9 | HIGH |
| overall | FIRST_CLASS | 1774 | 1218 | 26 | 4.1 | 46.8 | HIGH |
| overall | T20 | 243 | 356 | 12 | 8.8 | 29.7 | MEDIUM |
Why we like it
Splits where TA Findlay scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.
- Bowling type: SPIN (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
108 runs off 208 balls in 12 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 51.9 vs 53.2 overall, average 27.0 vs 13.5 overall.
- Venue: McLean Park, Napier (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample
74 runs off 114 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 64.9 vs 53.2 overall, average 18.5 vs 13.5 overall.
Risks
Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.
- Venue: Seddon Park, Hamilton (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
70 runs off 160 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 43.8 vs 53.2 overall, average 17.5 vs 13.5 overall.
- Opposition: Wellington Firebirds (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample
32 runs off 72 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 44.4 vs 53.2 overall, average 16.0 vs 13.5 overall.
Against each opponent
Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.
| Northern Districts | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 112 | 202 | 18.7 | 55.4 | 7.9 | 70.3 | MEDIUM |
| Canterbury | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 70 | 124 | 11.7 | 56.5 | 6.5 | 72.6 | MEDIUM |
| Wellington Firebirds | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 32 | 72 | 16.0 | 44.4 | 8.3 | 80.6 | LOW |
Bowling
| Canterbury | FIRST_CLASS | 516 | 332 | 4 | 3.9 | 83.0 | HIGH |
| Northern Districts | FIRST_CLASS | 502 | 292 | 12 | 3.5 | 24.3 | HIGH |
| Otago Volts | FIRST_CLASS | 384 | 330 | 4 | 5.2 | 82.5 | HIGH |
| Wellington Firebirds | FIRST_CLASS | 372 | 264 | 6 | 4.3 | 44.0 | HIGH |
| Canterbury | T20 | 88 | 125 | 5 | 8.5 | 25.0 | LOW |
| Auckland | T20 | 66 | 84 | 4 | 7.6 | 21.0 | LOW |
| Wellington | T20 | 48 | 78 | 1 | 9.8 | 78.0 | LOW |
By venue
Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.
| Seddon Park, Hamilton | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 70 | 160 | 17.5 | 43.8 | 5.0 | 73.8 | MEDIUM |
| McLean Park, Napier | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 74 | 114 | 18.5 | 64.9 | 12.3 | 71.9 | LOW |
| Hagley Oval, Christchurch | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 58 | 98 | 29.0 | 59.2 | 6.1 | 71.4 | LOW |
Bowling
| McLean Park, Napier | FIRST_CLASS | 580 | 388 | 8 | 4.0 | 48.5 | HIGH |
| Molyneux Park, Alexandra | FIRST_CLASS | 300 | 252 | 2 | 5.0 | 126.0 | MEDIUM |
| Seddon Park, Hamilton | FIRST_CLASS | 294 | 168 | 10 | 3.4 | 16.8 | MEDIUM |
| Mainpower Oval, Rangiora | FIRST_CLASS | 276 | 168 | 4 | 3.7 | 42.0 | MEDIUM |
| Hagley Oval, Christchurch | FIRST_CLASS | 240 | 164 | 0 | 4.1 | — | MEDIUM |
| McLean Park, Napier | T20 | 107 | 137 | 5 | 7.7 | 27.4 | LOW |
| Fitzherbert Park | FIRST_CLASS | 84 | 78 | 2 | 5.6 | 39.0 | LOW |
| Basin Reserve, Wellington | T20 | 72 | 107 | 4 | 8.9 | 26.8 | LOW |
By country
Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.
| Unknown | FIRST_CLASS | 12 | 216 | 406 | 13.5 | 53.2 | 7.4 | 72.9 | HIGH |
Bowling
| Unknown | FIRST_CLASS | 1774 | 1218 | 26 | 4.1 | 46.8 | HIGH |
| Unknown | T20 | 243 | 356 | 12 | 8.8 | 29.7 | MEDIUM |
By match phase
Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.
| old_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 12 | 156 | 276 | 13.0 | 56.5 | 7.2 | 71.0 | MEDIUM |
| new_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 60 | 130 | 15.0 | 46.2 | 7.7 | 76.9 | MEDIUM |
Bowling
| old_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 1666 | 1114 | 26 | 4.0 | 42.8 | HIGH |
| new_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 108 | 104 | 0 | 5.8 | — | LOW |
| powerplay | T20 | 108 | 142 | 5 | 7.9 | 28.4 | LOW |
| middle | T20 | 69 | 100 | 2 | 8.7 | 50.0 | LOW |
| death | T20 | 66 | 114 | 5 | 10.4 | 22.8 | LOW |
Against pace and spin
Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.
| SPIN | FIRST_CLASS | 12 | 108 | 208 | 27.0 | 51.9 | 5.8 | 71.2 | MEDIUM |
| PACE | FIRST_CLASS | 12 | 86 | 158 | 8.6 | 54.4 | 8.9 | 74.7 | MEDIUM |
| UNKNOWN | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 22 | 40 | 11.0 | 55.0 | 10.0 | 75.0 | LOW |
How these splits are used
The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.