TC Bruce betting stats, splits & projections
All-rounder
Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.
Record by format
Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.
| overall | FIRST_CLASS | 114 | 7272 | 11348 | 46.6 | 64.1 | 7.9 | 67.0 | HIGH |
| overall | T20 | 82 | 2072 | 1427 | 33.4 | 145.2 | 18.7 | 27.3 | HIGH |
| overall | LIST_A | 1 | 16 | 13 | 16.0 | 123.1 | 15.4 | 30.8 | LOW |
| overall | FIRST_CLASS | 604 | 340 | 8 | 3.4 | 42.5 | HIGH |
| overall | T20 | 246 | 354 | 12 | 8.6 | 29.5 | MEDIUM |
Why we like it
Splits where TC Bruce scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.
- Opposition: Northern Districts (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
2086 runs off 3162 balls in 26 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 66.0 vs 64.1 overall, average 57.9 vs 46.6 overall.
- Opposition: Auckland Aces (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
1996 runs off 2784 balls in 16 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 71.7 vs 64.1 overall, average 99.8 vs 46.6 overall.
- Opposition: Otago Volts (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
1182 runs off 1754 balls in 18 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 67.4 vs 64.1 overall, average 59.1 vs 46.6 overall.
- Venue: Bay Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
718 runs off 1096 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 65.5 vs 64.1 overall, average 119.7 vs 46.6 overall.
- Venue: Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
708 runs off 846 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 83.7 vs 64.1 overall, average 118.0 vs 46.6 overall.
- Venue: Kennards Hire Community Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
500 runs off 772 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 64.8 vs 64.1 overall, average 125.0 vs 46.6 overall.
Risks
Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.
- Opposition: Canterbury (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
1016 runs off 1826 balls in 22 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 55.6 vs 64.1 overall, average 29.9 vs 46.6 overall.
- Opposition: Wellington Firebirds (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
450 runs off 994 balls in 18 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 45.3 vs 64.1 overall, average 18.8 vs 46.6 overall.
- Venue: Saxton Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
550 runs off 1272 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 43.2 vs 64.1 overall, average 34.4 vs 46.6 overall.
- Venue: McLean Park (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
486 runs off 730 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 66.6 vs 64.1 overall, average 34.7 vs 46.6 overall.
- Bowling type: PACE (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
3142 runs off 5402 balls in 108 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 58.2 vs 64.1 overall, average 28.6 vs 46.6 overall.
- Bowling type: SPIN (T20)HIGH sample
806 runs off 594 balls in 69 T20 matches — strike rate 135.7 vs 145.2 overall, average 35.0 vs 33.4 overall.
Against each opponent
Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.
| Northern Districts | FIRST_CLASS | 26 | 2086 | 3162 | 57.9 | 66.0 | 7.7 | 64.3 | HIGH |
| Auckland Aces | FIRST_CLASS | 16 | 1996 | 2784 | 99.8 | 71.7 | 9.0 | 62.6 | HIGH |
| Canterbury | FIRST_CLASS | 22 | 1016 | 1826 | 29.9 | 55.6 | 6.9 | 73.4 | HIGH |
| Otago Volts | FIRST_CLASS | 18 | 1182 | 1754 | 59.1 | 67.4 | 9.1 | 66.5 | HIGH |
| Wellington Firebirds | FIRST_CLASS | 18 | 450 | 994 | 18.8 | 45.3 | 5.4 | 76.9 | HIGH |
| Auckland | T20 | 14 | 425 | 285 | 38.6 | 149.1 | 18.6 | 27.7 | MEDIUM |
| Nottinghamshire | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 176 | 282 | 44.0 | 62.4 | 9.2 | 70.9 | MEDIUM |
| Canterbury | T20 | 15 | 421 | 275 | 42.1 | 153.1 | 21.1 | 29.1 | MEDIUM |
| Otago | T20 | 13 | 396 | 267 | 44.0 | 148.3 | 19.9 | 24.3 | MEDIUM |
| Durham | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 178 | 264 | 44.5 | 67.4 | 6.8 | 63.6 | MEDIUM |
| Wellington | T20 | 13 | 384 | 244 | 38.4 | 157.4 | 21.7 | 23.4 | MEDIUM |
| Northern Districts | T20 | 12 | 217 | 165 | 19.7 | 131.5 | 15.8 | 29.7 | MEDIUM |
| Essex | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 62 | 138 | 15.5 | 44.9 | 7.2 | 79.7 | MEDIUM |
| Warwickshire | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 68 | 54 | 34.0 | 125.9 | 14.8 | 33.3 | LOW |
| Surrey | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 34 | 46 | 17.0 | 73.9 | 8.7 | 60.9 | LOW |
| Kent | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 24 | 42 | 6.0 | 57.1 | 4.8 | 66.7 | LOW |
| Worcestershire | T20 | 2 | 50 | 41 | 50.0 | 122.0 | 12.2 | 29.3 | LOW |
Bowling
| Northern Districts | FIRST_CLASS | 448 | 284 | 8 | 3.8 | 35.5 | HIGH |
| Auckland Aces | FIRST_CLASS | 72 | 26 | 0 | 2.2 | — | LOW |
| Wellington | T20 | 65 | 103 | 2 | 9.5 | 51.5 | LOW |
| Canterbury | T20 | 58 | 75 | 0 | 7.8 | — | LOW |
| Otago | T20 | 57 | 74 | 4 | 7.8 | 18.5 | LOW |
| Otago Volts | FIRST_CLASS | 48 | 26 | 0 | 3.3 | — | LOW |
| Northern Districts | T20 | 42 | 59 | 5 | 8.4 | 11.8 | LOW |
By venue
Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.
| McLean Park, Napier | FIRST_CLASS | 16 | 788 | 1358 | 39.4 | 58.0 | 7.7 | 71.6 | HIGH |
| Saxton Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 8 | 550 | 1272 | 34.4 | 43.2 | 4.6 | 75.3 | HIGH |
| Bay Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 718 | 1096 | 119.7 | 65.5 | 6.9 | 62.6 | HIGH |
| Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 708 | 846 | 118.0 | 83.7 | 10.2 | 56.0 | HIGH |
| Kennards Hire Community Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 500 | 772 | 125.0 | 64.8 | 8.0 | 64.5 | HIGH |
| McLean Park | FIRST_CLASS | 10 | 486 | 730 | 34.7 | 66.6 | 8.5 | 65.2 | HIGH |
| Saxton Oval, Nelson | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 422 | 726 | 42.2 | 58.1 | 9.9 | 76.3 | HIGH |
| Cobham Oval (New), Whangarei | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 416 | 610 | — | 68.2 | 6.9 | 63.6 | HIGH |
| University Oval, Dunedin | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 434 | 520 | 108.5 | 83.5 | 11.2 | 60.0 | HIGH |
| Fitzherbert Park, Palmerston North | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 296 | 448 | 49.3 | 66.1 | 8.9 | 71.0 | HIGH |
| University of Otago Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 222 | 388 | 111.0 | 57.2 | 4.6 | 62.4 | HIGH |
| Seddon Park, Hamilton | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 236 | 336 | 59.0 | 70.2 | 8.3 | 63.1 | HIGH |
| Hagley Oval, Christchurch | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 222 | 304 | 22.2 | 73.0 | 7.9 | 63.2 | HIGH |
| Trent Bridge, Nottingham | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 176 | 282 | 44.0 | 62.4 | 9.2 | 70.9 | MEDIUM |
| Mainpower Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 232 | 272 | 58.0 | 85.3 | 12.5 | 64.0 | MEDIUM |
| Stanley Park, Blackpool | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 178 | 264 | 44.5 | 67.4 | 6.8 | 63.6 | MEDIUM |
| Fitzherbert Park | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 142 | 244 | 17.8 | 58.2 | 7.4 | 71.3 | MEDIUM |
| Basin Reserve, Wellington | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 104 | 220 | 52.0 | 47.3 | 5.5 | 72.7 | MEDIUM |
| Seddon Park | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 140 | 198 | 35.0 | 70.7 | 11.1 | 66.7 | MEDIUM |
| McLean Park, Napier | T20 | 9 | 238 | 188 | 47.6 | 126.6 | 13.8 | 28.7 | MEDIUM |
| Old Trafford, Manchester | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 126 | 142 | 15.8 | 88.7 | 9.9 | 52.1 | MEDIUM |
| McLean Park | T20 | 8 | 229 | 140 | 28.6 | 163.6 | 22.1 | 23.6 | MEDIUM |
| County Ground, Chelmsford | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 62 | 138 | 15.5 | 44.9 | 7.2 | 79.7 | MEDIUM |
| Basin Reserve, Wellington | T20 | 5 | 183 | 130 | 91.5 | 140.8 | 20.0 | 26.9 | MEDIUM |
| Pukekura Park, New Plymouth | T20 | 8 | 180 | 114 | 25.7 | 157.9 | 22.8 | 32.5 | LOW |
| Molyneux Park, Alexandra | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 66 | 96 | 16.5 | 68.8 | 10.4 | 66.7 | LOW |
| University Oval, Dunedin | T20 | 3 | 142 | 89 | 71.0 | 159.6 | 20.2 | 15.7 | LOW |
| Eden Park Outer Oval | T20 | 5 | 119 | 81 | 23.8 | 146.9 | 21.0 | 28.4 | LOW |
| Old Trafford, Manchester | T20 | 3 | 96 | 75 | 48.0 | 128.0 | 13.3 | 26.7 | LOW |
| Pukekura Park | T20 | 4 | 106 | 75 | 35.3 | 141.3 | 13.3 | 25.3 | LOW |
| Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland | T20 | 2 | 115 | 67 | 115.0 | 171.6 | 23.9 | 23.9 | LOW |
| Fitzherbert Park, Palmerston North | T20 | 4 | 120 | 66 | 30.0 | 181.8 | 30.3 | 31.8 | LOW |
| Saxton Oval, Nelson | T20 | 3 | 120 | 65 | 60.0 | 184.6 | 26.2 | 16.9 | LOW |
| Cello Basin Reserve | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 26 | 54 | 6.5 | 48.1 | 7.4 | 74.1 | LOW |
| Hagley Oval | T20 | 2 | 74 | 53 | 74.0 | 139.6 | 22.6 | 34.0 | LOW |
| Eden Gardens, Kolkata | T20 | 3 | 60 | 47 | 20.0 | 127.7 | 10.6 | 23.4 | LOW |
| Basin Reserve | T20 | 3 | 63 | 46 | 21.0 | 137.0 | 17.4 | 26.1 | LOW |
| Seddon Park | T20 | 2 | 45 | 41 | 22.5 | 109.8 | 9.8 | 24.4 | LOW |
| Hagley Oval, Christchurch | T20 | 4 | 40 | 40 | 20.0 | 100.0 | 5.0 | 37.5 | LOW |
Bowling
| McLean Park | FIRST_CLASS | 132 | 94 | 4 | 4.3 | 23.5 | LOW |
| Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui | FIRST_CLASS | 108 | 32 | 0 | 1.8 | — | LOW |
| McLean Park, Napier | FIRST_CLASS | 108 | 44 | 0 | 2.4 | — | LOW |
| Pukekura Park, New Plymouth | T20 | 99 | 164 | 4 | 9.9 | 41.0 | LOW |
| Cobham Oval (New), Whangarei | FIRST_CLASS | 84 | 50 | 0 | 3.6 | — | LOW |
| Seddon Park | FIRST_CLASS | 60 | 30 | 2 | 3.0 | 15.0 | LOW |
| Fitzherbert Park, Palmerston North | T20 | 54 | 53 | 4 | 5.9 | 13.3 | LOW |
| McLean Park, Napier | T20 | 42 | 50 | 3 | 7.1 | 16.7 | LOW |
| Bay Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 40 | 54 | 2 | 8.1 | 27.0 | LOW |
By country
Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.
| Unknown | FIRST_CLASS | 114 | 7272 | 11348 | 46.6 | 64.1 | 7.9 | 67.0 | HIGH |
| Unknown | T20 | 75 | 1879 | 1293 | 33.6 | 145.3 | 18.4 | 27.0 | HIGH |
| New Zealand | T20 | 7 | 193 | 134 | 32.2 | 144.0 | 21.6 | 30.6 | MEDIUM |
Bowling
| Unknown | FIRST_CLASS | 604 | 340 | 8 | 3.4 | 42.5 | HIGH |
| Unknown | T20 | 246 | 354 | 12 | 8.6 | 29.5 | MEDIUM |
By match phase
Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.
| old_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 114 | 6622 | 10338 | 47.3 | 64.1 | 7.8 | 66.8 | HIGH |
| new_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 50 | 650 | 1010 | 40.6 | 64.4 | 8.9 | 69.1 | HIGH |
| middle | T20 | 68 | 1189 | 898 | 33.0 | 132.4 | 14.7 | 25.4 | HIGH |
| death | T20 | 36 | 633 | 331 | 33.3 | 191.2 | 28.7 | 21.8 | HIGH |
| powerplay | T20 | 34 | 250 | 198 | 35.7 | 126.3 | 20.2 | 45.5 | MEDIUM |
Bowling
| old_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 520 | 312 | 6 | 3.6 | 52.0 | HIGH |
| middle | T20 | 192 | 274 | 7 | 8.6 | 39.1 | MEDIUM |
| new_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 84 | 28 | 2 | 2.0 | 14.0 | LOW |
| death | T20 | 54 | 80 | 5 | 8.9 | 16.0 | LOW |
Against pace and spin
Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.
| PACE | FIRST_CLASS | 108 | 3142 | 5402 | 28.6 | 58.2 | 7.7 | 71.4 | HIGH |
| SPIN | FIRST_CLASS | 82 | 3202 | 4496 | 123.2 | 71.2 | 7.7 | 60.8 | HIGH |
| UNKNOWN | FIRST_CLASS | 44 | 928 | 1450 | 46.4 | 64.0 | 9.8 | 69.8 | HIGH |
| PACE | T20 | 71 | 1048 | 694 | 31.8 | 151.0 | 20.6 | 29.3 | HIGH |
| SPIN | T20 | 69 | 806 | 594 | 35.0 | 135.7 | 15.5 | 25.3 | HIGH |
| UNKNOWN | T20 | 27 | 218 | 139 | 36.3 | 156.8 | 23.0 | 26.6 | MEDIUM |
How these splits are used
The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.