TC Jones betting stats, splits & projections
Batter
Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.
Record by format
Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.
| overall | FIRST_CLASS | 16 | 718 | 1128 | 27.6 | 63.7 | 8.7 | 70.7 | HIGH |
Why we like it
Splits where TC Jones scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.
- Opposition: Wellington Firebirds (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
314 runs off 416 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 75.5 vs 63.7 overall, average 39.3 vs 27.6 overall.
- Venue: Basin Reserve, Wellington (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
238 runs off 250 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 95.2 vs 63.7 overall, average 59.5 vs 27.6 overall.
Risks
Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.
- Venue: University Oval, Dunedin (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
236 runs off 416 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 56.7 vs 63.7 overall, average 16.9 vs 27.6 overall.
- Opposition: Northern Districts (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
120 runs off 222 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 54.1 vs 63.7 overall, average 15.0 vs 27.6 overall.
- Opposition: Auckland Aces (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
106 runs off 198 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 53.5 vs 63.7 overall, average 53.0 vs 27.6 overall.
- Venue: Hagley Oval, Christchurch (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
114 runs off 212 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 53.8 vs 63.7 overall, average 57.0 vs 27.6 overall.
- Venue: Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
106 runs off 198 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 53.5 vs 63.7 overall, average 53.0 vs 27.6 overall.
- Phase: new_ball (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
88 runs off 174 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 50.6 vs 63.7 overall, average 11.0 vs 27.6 overall.
Against each opponent
Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.
| Wellington Firebirds | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 314 | 416 | 39.3 | 75.5 | 11.5 | 67.8 | HIGH |
| Canterbury | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 158 | 266 | 26.3 | 59.4 | 7.5 | 70.7 | MEDIUM |
| Northern Districts | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 120 | 222 | 15.0 | 54.1 | 7.2 | 75.7 | MEDIUM |
| Auckland Aces | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 106 | 198 | 53.0 | 53.5 | 5.1 | 71.7 | MEDIUM |
By venue
Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.
| University Oval, Dunedin | FIRST_CLASS | 8 | 236 | 416 | 16.9 | 56.7 | 8.2 | 75.0 | HIGH |
| Basin Reserve, Wellington | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 238 | 250 | 59.5 | 95.2 | 15.2 | 60.0 | MEDIUM |
| Hagley Oval, Christchurch | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 114 | 212 | 57.0 | 53.8 | 5.7 | 70.8 | MEDIUM |
| Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 106 | 198 | 53.0 | 53.5 | 5.1 | 71.7 | MEDIUM |
| Seddon Park, Hamilton | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 24 | 52 | 6.0 | 46.2 | 7.7 | 84.6 | LOW |
By country
Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.
| Unknown | FIRST_CLASS | 16 | 718 | 1128 | 27.6 | 63.7 | 8.7 | 70.7 | HIGH |
By match phase
Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.
| old_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 14 | 630 | 954 | 35.0 | 66.0 | 9.0 | 69.6 | HIGH |
| new_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 10 | 88 | 174 | 11.0 | 50.6 | 6.9 | 77.0 | MEDIUM |
Against pace and spin
Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.
| PACE | FIRST_CLASS | 16 | 392 | 620 | 24.5 | 63.2 | 9.4 | 72.9 | HIGH |
| SPIN | FIRST_CLASS | 12 | 286 | 440 | 28.6 | 65.0 | 8.2 | 68.6 | HIGH |
| UNKNOWN | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 40 | 68 | — | 58.8 | 5.9 | 64.7 | LOW |
How these splits are used
The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.