TC O'Connor betting stats, splits & projections
Bowler
Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.
Record by format
Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.
| overall | FIRST_CLASS | 12 | 264 | 388 | 22.0 | 68.0 | 9.8 | 73.2 | HIGH |
| overall | FIRST_CLASS | 1842 | 966 | 58 | 3.1 | 16.7 | HIGH |
Why we like it
Splits where TC O'Connor scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.
- Opposition: Northern Districts (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
210 runs off 246 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 85.4 vs 68.0 overall, average 105.0 vs 22.0 overall.
- Venue: University Oval, Dunedin (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
234 runs off 292 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 80.1 vs 68.0 overall, average 39.0 vs 22.0 overall.
- Bowling type: PACE (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
202 runs off 262 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 77.1 vs 68.0 overall, average 50.5 vs 22.0 overall.
- Phase: old_ball (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
186 runs off 236 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 78.8 vs 68.0 overall, average 18.6 vs 22.0 overall.
Risks
Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.
- Phase: new_ball (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
78 runs off 152 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 51.3 vs 68.0 overall, average 39.0 vs 22.0 overall.
- Bowling type: SPIN (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample
58 runs off 104 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 55.8 vs 68.0 overall, average 9.7 vs 22.0 overall.
Against each opponent
Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.
| Northern Districts | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 210 | 246 | 105.0 | 85.4 | 13.0 | 69.9 | MEDIUM |
| Auckland Aces | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 22 | 54 | 5.5 | 40.7 | 3.7 | 74.1 | LOW |
| Wellington Firebirds | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 20 | 40 | 10.0 | 50.0 | 5.0 | 75.0 | LOW |
Bowling
| Auckland Aces | FIRST_CLASS | 550 | 240 | 28 | 2.6 | 8.6 | HIGH |
| Northern Districts | FIRST_CLASS | 468 | 302 | 14 | 3.9 | 21.6 | HIGH |
| Wellington Firebirds | FIRST_CLASS | 372 | 230 | 8 | 3.7 | 28.8 | HIGH |
| Central Stags | FIRST_CLASS | 348 | 118 | 2 | 2.0 | 59.0 | MEDIUM |
| Canterbury | FIRST_CLASS | 104 | 76 | 6 | 4.4 | 12.7 | LOW |
By venue
Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.
| University Oval, Dunedin | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 234 | 292 | 39.0 | 80.1 | 11.6 | 69.9 | MEDIUM |
| Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 18 | 48 | 9.0 | 37.5 | 4.2 | 79.2 | LOW |
Bowling
| University Oval, Dunedin | FIRST_CLASS | 1020 | 602 | 24 | 3.5 | 25.1 | HIGH |
| Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland | FIRST_CLASS | 370 | 170 | 26 | 2.8 | 6.5 | HIGH |
| Molyneux Park, Alexandra | FIRST_CLASS | 348 | 118 | 2 | 2.0 | 59.0 | MEDIUM |
| Hagley Oval, Christchurch | FIRST_CLASS | 104 | 76 | 6 | 4.4 | 12.7 | LOW |
By country
Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.
| Unknown | FIRST_CLASS | 12 | 264 | 388 | 22.0 | 68.0 | 9.8 | 73.2 | HIGH |
Bowling
| Unknown | FIRST_CLASS | 1842 | 966 | 58 | 3.1 | 16.7 | HIGH |
By match phase
Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.
| old_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 10 | 186 | 236 | 18.6 | 78.8 | 12.7 | 72.9 | MEDIUM |
| new_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 8 | 78 | 152 | 39.0 | 51.3 | 5.3 | 73.7 | MEDIUM |
Bowling
| old_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 1182 | 624 | 36 | 3.2 | 17.3 | HIGH |
| new_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 660 | 342 | 22 | 3.1 | 15.5 | HIGH |
Against pace and spin
Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.
| PACE | FIRST_CLASS | 8 | 202 | 262 | 50.5 | 77.1 | 11.5 | 71.8 | MEDIUM |
| SPIN | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 58 | 104 | 9.7 | 55.8 | 7.7 | 75.0 | LOW |
How these splits are used
The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.