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Thomas Balkin betting stats, splits & projections

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallLIST_A1917—52.90.047.1LOW
overallT203101610.062.50.037.5LOW
overallFIRST_CLASS968225.141.0LOW
overallT208311968.619.8LOW
overallLIST_A785624.328.0LOW

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

Bowling

TasmaniaFIRST_CLASS968225.141.0LOW
VictoriaLIST_A422213.122.0LOW
South AustraliaLIST_A363415.734.0LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Bowling

Bellerive Oval, HobartFIRST_CLASS968225.141.0LOW
Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, BrisbaneT20659458.718.8LOW
Melbourne Cricket GroundLIST_A422213.122.0LOW
Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, BrisbaneLIST_A363415.734.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

Bowling

UnknownFIRST_CLASS968225.141.0LOW
UnknownT208311968.619.8LOW
UnknownLIST_A785624.328.0LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

Bowling

old_ballFIRST_CLASS968225.141.0LOW
middleLIST_A725024.225.0LOW
middleT20425938.419.7LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.