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TKP Rajapaksha betting stats, splits & projections

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT201315020012.575.09.057.0MEDIUM
overallT209613738.645.7LOW

Why we like it

Splits where TKP Rajapaksha scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Phase: middle (T20)LOW sample

    74 runs off 73 balls in 3 T20 matches — strike rate 101.4 vs 75.0 overall, average 24.7 vs 12.5 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Bowling type: PACE (T20)MEDIUM sample

    75 runs off 133 balls in 10 T20 matches — strike rate 56.4 vs 75.0 overall, average 12.5 vs 12.5 overall.

  • Phase: powerplay (T20)MEDIUM sample

    76 runs off 127 balls in 13 T20 matches — strike rate 59.8 vs 75.0 overall, average 8.4 vs 12.5 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

MaliT201494949.0100.010.249.0LOW
MalawiT202264513.057.86.760.0LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Achimota Senior Secondary School A Field, AccraT202445922.074.68.554.2LOW
Integrated Polytechnic Regional CentreT202505125.098.09.849.0LOW

Bowling

Gymkhana Club Ground, NairobiT20487319.173.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownT201315020012.575.09.057.0MEDIUM

Bowling

UnknownT209613738.645.7LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

powerplayT2013761278.459.87.965.4MEDIUM
middleT203747324.7101.411.042.5LOW

Bowling

middleT20729327.846.5LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACET20107513312.556.45.360.2MEDIUM
UNKNOWNT207404210.095.29.550.0LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.