TP Ward betting stats, splits & projections
Batter
Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.
Record by format
Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.
| overall | FIRST_CLASS | 82 | 4826 | 10852 | 34.0 | 44.5 | 5.5 | 78.0 | HIGH |
| overall | LIST_A | 11 | 407 | 443 | 37.0 | 91.9 | 9.3 | 45.4 | HIGH |
| overall | T20 | 9 | 200 | 147 | 22.2 | 136.1 | 18.4 | 36.7 | MEDIUM |
| overall | FIRST_CLASS | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4.0 | — | LOW |
Why we like it
Splits where TP Ward scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.
- Opposition: New South Wales (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
1228 runs off 2608 balls in 18 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 47.1 vs 44.5 overall, average 43.9 vs 34.0 overall.
- Opposition: Victoria (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
1086 runs off 2442 balls in 14 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 44.5 vs 44.5 overall, average 54.3 vs 34.0 overall.
- Venue: Junction Oval, Melbourne (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
546 runs off 1310 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 41.7 vs 44.5 overall, average 68.3 vs 34.0 overall.
- Venue: Adelaide Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
526 runs off 1174 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 44.8 vs 44.5 overall, average 43.8 vs 34.0 overall.
- Venue: Karen Rolton Oval, Adelaide (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
450 runs off 926 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 48.6 vs 44.5 overall, average 112.5 vs 34.0 overall.
- Venue: Cricket Central, Sydney (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
238 runs off 412 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 57.8 vs 44.5 overall, average 119.0 vs 34.0 overall.
Risks
Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.
- Opposition: Western Australia (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
440 runs off 1110 balls in 16 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 39.6 vs 44.5 overall, average 13.8 vs 34.0 overall.
- Venue: Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, Perth (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
336 runs off 822 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 40.9 vs 44.5 overall, average 16.8 vs 34.0 overall.
- Phase: new_ball (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
1146 runs off 2818 balls in 82 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 40.7 vs 44.5 overall, average 22.0 vs 34.0 overall.
- Opposition: New South Wales (LIST A)MEDIUM sample
106 runs off 142 balls in 4 LIST A matches — strike rate 74.6 vs 91.9 overall, average 26.5 vs 37.0 overall.
- Venue: Bellerive Oval, Hobart (LIST A)MEDIUM sample
110 runs off 139 balls in 4 LIST A matches — strike rate 79.1 vs 91.9 overall, average 27.5 vs 37.0 overall.
- Bowling type: PACE (LIST A)MEDIUM sample
208 runs off 235 balls in 11 LIST A matches — strike rate 88.5 vs 91.9 overall, average 20.8 vs 37.0 overall.
Against each opponent
Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.
| New South Wales | FIRST_CLASS | 18 | 1228 | 2608 | 43.9 | 47.1 | 5.2 | 75.2 | HIGH |
| South Australia | FIRST_CLASS | 14 | 1074 | 2484 | 41.3 | 43.2 | 5.2 | 78.8 | HIGH |
| Victoria | FIRST_CLASS | 14 | 1086 | 2442 | 54.3 | 44.5 | 5.6 | 78.2 | HIGH |
| Queensland | FIRST_CLASS | 20 | 998 | 2208 | 27.7 | 45.2 | 6.4 | 78.9 | HIGH |
| Western Australia | FIRST_CLASS | 16 | 440 | 1110 | 13.8 | 39.6 | 4.9 | 80.2 | HIGH |
| New South Wales | LIST_A | 4 | 106 | 142 | 26.5 | 74.6 | 6.3 | 54.9 | MEDIUM |
| Western Australia | LIST_A | 2 | 127 | 121 | 63.5 | 105.0 | 13.2 | 43.8 | MEDIUM |
| Queensland | LIST_A | 1 | 105 | 96 | 105.0 | 109.4 | 8.3 | 26.0 | LOW |
| Victoria | LIST_A | 2 | 44 | 58 | 22.0 | 75.9 | 8.6 | 51.7 | LOW |
| Sydney Thunder | T20 | 1 | 90 | 49 | 90.0 | 183.7 | 26.5 | 24.5 | LOW |
| Melbourne Renegades | T20 | 2 | 38 | 34 | 19.0 | 111.8 | 8.8 | 38.2 | LOW |
By venue
Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.
| Bellerive Oval, Hobart | FIRST_CLASS | 38 | 1852 | 4080 | 28.9 | 45.4 | 5.6 | 78.0 | HIGH |
| Junction Oval, Melbourne | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 546 | 1310 | 68.3 | 41.7 | 4.9 | 79.4 | HIGH |
| Sydney Cricket Ground | FIRST_CLASS | 8 | 530 | 1262 | 37.9 | 42.0 | 3.8 | 76.1 | HIGH |
| Adelaide Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 526 | 1174 | 43.8 | 44.8 | 6.0 | 78.9 | HIGH |
| Karen Rolton Oval, Adelaide | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 450 | 926 | 112.5 | 48.6 | 6.3 | 75.2 | HIGH |
| Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, Perth | FIRST_CLASS | 10 | 336 | 822 | 16.8 | 40.9 | 5.4 | 81.0 | HIGH |
| Allan Border Field, Brisbane | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 266 | 728 | 26.6 | 36.5 | 5.2 | 81.6 | HIGH |
| Cricket Central, Sydney | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 238 | 412 | 119.0 | 57.8 | 7.3 | 69.4 | HIGH |
| Bellerive Oval, Hobart | LIST_A | 4 | 110 | 139 | 27.5 | 79.1 | 6.5 | 51.1 | MEDIUM |
| Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, Perth | LIST_A | 1 | 112 | 114 | 112.0 | 98.2 | 11.4 | 43.0 | LOW |
| Allan Border Field, Brisbane | LIST_A | 1 | 105 | 96 | 105.0 | 109.4 | 8.3 | 26.0 | LOW |
| Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, Brisbane | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 34 | 76 | 8.5 | 44.7 | 10.5 | 84.2 | LOW |
| Bellerive Oval, Hobart | T20 | 5 | 85 | 73 | 17.0 | 116.4 | 16.4 | 41.1 | LOW |
| Melbourne Cricket Ground | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 48 | 62 | 12.0 | 77.4 | 16.1 | 74.2 | LOW |
| University of Tasmania Stadium, Launceston | LIST_A | 2 | 29 | 54 | 14.5 | 53.7 | 5.6 | 64.8 | LOW |
| Sydney Showground Stadium | T20 | 1 | 90 | 49 | 90.0 | 183.7 | 26.5 | 24.5 | LOW |
By country
Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.
| Unknown | FIRST_CLASS | 82 | 4826 | 10852 | 34.0 | 44.5 | 5.5 | 78.0 | HIGH |
| Unknown | LIST_A | 11 | 407 | 443 | 37.0 | 91.9 | 9.3 | 45.4 | HIGH |
| Unknown | T20 | 9 | 200 | 147 | 22.2 | 136.1 | 18.4 | 36.7 | MEDIUM |
By match phase
Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.
| old_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 68 | 3680 | 8034 | 40.9 | 45.8 | 5.3 | 76.5 | HIGH |
| new_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 82 | 1146 | 2818 | 22.0 | 40.7 | 6.1 | 82.2 | HIGH |
| middle | LIST_A | 7 | 259 | 300 | 51.8 | 86.3 | 6.3 | 41.7 | HIGH |
| powerplay | LIST_A | 10 | 132 | 125 | 33.0 | 105.6 | 16.0 | 54.4 | MEDIUM |
| powerplay | T20 | 9 | 144 | 112 | 24.0 | 128.6 | 18.8 | 41.1 | LOW |
| middle | T20 | 3 | 56 | 35 | 18.7 | 160.0 | 17.1 | 22.9 | LOW |
Against pace and spin
Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.
| PACE | FIRST_CLASS | 82 | 3084 | 7410 | 28.6 | 41.6 | 5.8 | 80.7 | HIGH |
| SPIN | FIRST_CLASS | 62 | 1432 | 2830 | 44.8 | 50.6 | 4.9 | 71.0 | HIGH |
| UNKNOWN | FIRST_CLASS | 26 | 310 | 612 | 155.0 | 50.7 | 5.2 | 77.1 | HIGH |
| PACE | LIST_A | 11 | 208 | 235 | 20.8 | 88.5 | 10.2 | 53.2 | MEDIUM |
| SPIN | LIST_A | 7 | 144 | 165 | — | 87.3 | 6.1 | 38.8 | MEDIUM |
| PACE | T20 | 8 | 108 | 81 | 21.6 | 133.3 | 19.8 | 42.0 | LOW |
| SPIN | T20 | 8 | 81 | 61 | 20.3 | 132.8 | 14.8 | 29.5 | LOW |
| UNKNOWN | LIST_A | 4 | 55 | 43 | 55.0 | 127.9 | 16.3 | 27.9 | LOW |
How these splits are used
The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.