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W O'Rourke betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallFIRST_CLASS2412839812.832.23.583.4HIGH
overallTEST14382624.214.51.992.0MEDIUM
overallT2010495024.598.010.038.0LOW
overallODI46153.040.00.066.7LOW
overallFIRST_CLASS53202724963.128.4HIGH
overallTEST20471203493.524.6HIGH
overallT2010791503608.425.1HIGH
overallODI844798225.736.3HIGH

Why we like it

Splits where W O'Rourke scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: Otago Volts (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample

    50 runs off 96 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 52.1 vs 32.2 overall, not yet dismissed vs 12.8 overall.

  • Venue: University of Otago Oval (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample

    34 runs off 68 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 50.0 vs 32.2 overall, not yet dismissed vs 12.8 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: Central Stags (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    32 runs off 138 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 23.2 vs 32.2 overall, average 8.0 vs 12.8 overall.

  • Opposition: Auckland Aces (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample

    18 runs off 82 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 22.0 vs 32.2 overall, average 4.5 vs 12.8 overall.

  • Venue: Hagley Oval (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample

    14 runs off 60 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 23.3 vs 32.2 overall, average 7.0 vs 12.8 overall.

  • Bowling type: UNKNOWN (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample

    10 runs off 80 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 12.5 vs 32.2 overall, not yet dismissed vs 12.8 overall.

  • Phase: new_ball (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample

    16 runs off 88 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 18.2 vs 32.2 overall, average 8.0 vs 12.8 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

EnglandTEST6311854.416.82.792.4MEDIUM
Central StagsFIRST_CLASS4321388.023.22.989.9MEDIUM
Otago VoltsFIRST_CLASS65096—52.18.377.1LOW
Auckland AcesFIRST_CLASS618824.522.02.485.4LOW
Northern DistrictsFIRST_CLASS2840—20.00.085.0LOW
Wellington FirebirdsFIRST_CLASS42038—52.60.068.4LOW
Sri LankaTEST24362.011.10.091.7LOW

Bowling

Central StagsFIRST_CLASS1680750342.722.1HIGH
Auckland AcesFIRST_CLASS1248576162.836.0HIGH
Otago VoltsFIRST_CLASS1232642283.122.9HIGH
EnglandTEST956644204.032.2HIGH
Wellington FirebirdsFIRST_CLASS500262103.126.2HIGH
Northern DistrictsFIRST_CLASS34823644.159.0MEDIUM
Sri LankaTEST31718583.523.1MEDIUM
NottinghamshireFIRST_CLASS31225845.064.5MEDIUM
PakistanODI30925394.928.1MEDIUM
IndiaTEST23412973.318.4MEDIUM
AustraliaTEST2099822.849.0MEDIUM
South AfricaTEST1939392.910.3MEDIUM
BangladeshODI17316375.723.3MEDIUM
Northern DistrictsT20162183126.815.3MEDIUM
Sri LankaODI15813835.246.0MEDIUM
WellingtonT2014623689.729.5LOW
ZimbabweTEST1385432.318.0LOW
Central DistrictsT2013314776.621.0LOW
AucklandT2012017738.959.0LOW
PakistanT2012014357.228.6LOW
South AfricaODI10814127.870.5LOW
IndiaODI9610316.4103.0LOW
OtagoT20607827.839.0LOW
Birmingham BearsT20487239.024.0LOW
DurhamT20486838.522.7LOW
WorcestershireT20486267.810.3LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

McLean ParkFIRST_CLASS2321048.030.83.886.5LOW
Mainpower OvalFIRST_CLASS62878—35.92.682.1LOW
University of Otago OvalFIRST_CLASS23468—50.08.879.4LOW
Hagley OvalFIRST_CLASS614607.023.30.076.7LOW
Seddon Park, HamiltonTEST25585.08.61.796.6LOW
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchTEST15515.09.80.094.1LOW
Trent Bridge, NottinghamTEST119419.546.39.885.4LOW
Bert Sutcliffe Oval, LincolnFIRST_CLASS28404.020.05.095.0LOW
Seddon ParkFIRST_CLASS2840—20.00.085.0LOW
Basin Reserve, WellingtonTEST21371.02.70.094.6LOW
Galle International StadiumTEST24362.011.10.091.7LOW

Bowling

Hagley OvalFIRST_CLASS1386638202.831.9HIGH
Mainpower OvalFIRST_CLASS950548183.530.4HIGH
Saxton OvalFIRST_CLASS48016442.041.0HIGH
Basin Reserve, WellingtonTEST39225163.841.8HIGH
McLean ParkFIRST_CLASS384156122.413.0HIGH
Saxton Oval, NelsonFIRST_CLASS384160102.516.0HIGH
University of Otago OvalFIRST_CLASS38420283.225.3HIGH
Seddon ParkFIRST_CLASS34823644.159.0MEDIUM
Galle International StadiumTEST31718583.523.1MEDIUM
Seddon Park, HamiltonTEST313163133.112.5MEDIUM
Bert Sutcliffe Oval, LincolnFIRST_CLASS31216463.227.3MEDIUM
Trent Bridge, NottinghamFIRST_CLASS31225845.064.5MEDIUM
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchT20264372108.537.2MEDIUM
Fitzherbert Park, Palmerston NorthFIRST_CLASS2169822.749.0MEDIUM
M Chinnaswamy Stadium, BengaluruTEST19811473.516.3MEDIUM
Kennington Oval, LondonTEST18011633.938.7MEDIUM
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchTEST16816525.982.5MEDIUM
Cello Basin ReserveFIRST_CLASS16410083.712.5MEDIUM
Lord's, LondonTEST1627142.617.8MEDIUM
Gaddafi Stadium, LahoreODI14418727.893.5LOW
Trent Bridge, NottinghamTEST1436932.923.0LOW
Queens Sports Club, BulawayoTEST1385432.318.0LOW
Basin Reserve, WellingtonT2011616388.420.4LOW
National Stadium, KarachiODI1119074.912.9LOW
Dubai International Cricket StadiumODI9610316.4103.0LOW
Headingley, LeedsT209013298.814.7LOW
Seddon Park, HamiltonODI865043.512.5LOW
McLean Park, NapierODI847125.135.5LOW
Seddon Park, HamiltonT20666876.29.7LOW
Basin Reserve, WellingtonODI605005.0—LOW
Eden Park, AucklandODI605705.7—LOW
Rawalpindi Cricket StadiumODI604824.824.0LOW
Saxton Oval, NelsonODI594734.815.7LOW
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiODI546006.7—LOW
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandT20487529.437.5LOW
Gaddafi Stadium, LahoreT20485246.513.0LOW
Pukekura Park, New PlymouthT20435137.117.0LOW
Harare Sports ClubT20424526.422.5LOW
Bharat Ratna Shri Atal Bihari Vajpayee Ekana Cricket Stadium, LucknowT2038105316.635.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownFIRST_CLASS1811433814.333.74.184.6HIGH
UnknownTEST14382624.214.51.992.0MEDIUM
New ZealandFIRST_CLASS614607.023.30.076.7LOW
UnknownT2010495024.598.010.038.0LOW

Bowling

UnknownFIRST_CLASS39342086763.227.4HIGH
UnknownTEST20471203493.524.6HIGH
New ZealandFIRST_CLASS1386638202.831.9HIGH
UnknownT2010131425588.424.6HIGH
UnknownODI784750205.737.5HIGH
PakistanODI604824.824.0LOW
ZimbabweT20424526.422.5LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS2211231014.036.14.581.9HIGH
old_ballTEST13262132.912.21.492.0MEDIUM
new_ballFIRST_CLASS816888.018.20.088.6LOW
new_ballTEST61249—24.54.191.8LOW
deathT2010434121.5104.912.234.1LOW

Bowling

old_ballFIRST_CLASS42522310843.327.5HIGH
old_ballTEST1647989393.625.4HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS1068414122.334.5HIGH
powerplayT20480661258.326.4HIGH
middleODI452447105.944.7HIGH
new_ballTEST400214103.221.4HIGH
middleT20348433177.525.5MEDIUM
powerplayODI25820254.740.4MEDIUM
deathT20251409189.822.7MEDIUM
deathODI13414976.721.3LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACETEST7271803.915.02.893.3MEDIUM
SPINFIRST_CLASS18581607.336.33.882.5MEDIUM
PACEFIRST_CLASS166015830.038.05.182.3MEDIUM
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS81080—12.50.087.5LOW
SPINTEST89744.512.20.090.5LOW
PACET209444222.0104.811.935.7LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.